Northrop
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #56
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #14
West Noble Regional Rank: #6
Northrop Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 22.6%
Advance to Regional 61.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 609 892 578 579 556 766 665 776 667 656
Team Adjusted Rating 708 578 579 556 766 665 631 667 656
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
238  Cassie Dove 9 20:27 20:00 20:02 19:50 20:01 20:29 20:10 20:42 21:27 21:22
292  Victoria Clibon 9 20:41 20:23 20:07 20:46 20:31 20:58 20:27 20:55 21:04
347  Summer Silvers-Barone 12 20:53 21:11 21:56 20:39 21:08 20:29 22:53 20:58 20:33 20:31 21:31
422  Alyssa Williams 11 21:07 22:41 21:09 20:52 21:13 20:47 21:26 21:09 21:16 20:56 21:22
1,109  Sophia Boner 9 22:48 23:45 23:33 22:46 23:04 23:15 23:32 23:01 23:08 22:24
1,369  Melody Patterson 10 23:20 23:40 23:17 23:51 22:51 23:53 23:17 23:03 23:24
Grace Gonzalez 11 23:34 27:33 25:57 25:45 24:46 24:15 24:55 23:40 24:03 23:36 23:09
Jazmin Colin 10 24:18 24:18 23:53 23:44 23:26 26:48 24:51
Nicole Bursova 11 24:37 24:56 25:20 24:41 25:13 24:02 24:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 22.6% 11.2 330 0.0 0.5 4.2 11.4 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 61.7% 5.9 165 0.1 22.5 19.9 19.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 5.5 168 0.1 61.6 31.8 6.3 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 0.0% 113.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 89.6% 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 86.6% 89.3%
Victoria Clibon 65.6% 69.4 0.0 55.6% 61.9%
Summer Silvers-Barone 39.1% 78.1 21.3% 28.2%
Alyssa Williams 25.0% 90.5 3.0% 6.1%
Sophia Boner 22.6% 150.8 0.0% 0.0%
Melody Patterson 22.6% 157.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 100.0% 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.3 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.7 5.2 99.9% 100.0%
Victoria Clibon 99.7% 31.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.1 99.3% 99.7%
Summer Silvers-Barone 97.1% 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 92.3% 96.8%
Alyssa Williams 85.4% 41.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 61.9% 81.0%
Sophia Boner 61.7% 66.0 0.0% 0.0%
Melody Patterson 61.7% 74.9 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 20.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.4 3.6 4.5 5.3 6.0 6.7 7.5 7.6 8.3 7.9 7.1 6.1 5.8
Victoria Clibon 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.2 4.3 4.8 5.8 7.2 7.1 7.3
Summer Silvers-Barone 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.5 2.9 4.0 4.8
Alyssa Williams 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3
Sophia Boner 54.7
Melody Patterson 57.0