NorthWood
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #109
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #32
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #10
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 1.3%
Advance to Regional 25.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Northwood Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/27 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 925 920 941 968 1,092 1,217 906 924
Team Adjusted Rating 888 836 827 890 869 863 869
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Northwood Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
483  Kaitlin Burden 10 21:18 22:27 21:32 21:24 20:43 21:14 21:27 21:17 21:32
706  Emilie Allen 10 21:57 22:45 21:57 21:25 21:30 22:31 21:54 21:53 21:54 22:30
834  Megan Miller 12 22:12 22:22
1,112  Mia Wellington 12 22:48 22:26 23:09 23:26 22:36 22:38
1,177  Reese Barhydt 11 22:55 23:18 22:28 22:38 23:19 22:51 22:56 23:07
Jenna Markham 10 23:57 24:17 23:58 24:08 23:44 23:37 24:20
Molly Smith 12 25:09 24:07 25:33 24:56 26:01 25:19 25:02 24:38
Morgan Jenkins 10 25:12 23:29 25:01 24:47 25:04 25:03 25:25 25:38
Karlie Fielstra 12 25:14 25:56 26:36 25:17 24:38 24:40 25:22
Abigail Vorhis 11 25:29 24:02 25:08 26:34 25:47 24:57 25:27
MacKenzie Brewer 10 25:31 25:43 25:45 24:58 25:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 1.3% 19.6 473 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0
Regionals 25.5% 7.1 175 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.3 12.0 8.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 6.1 144 0.4 3.6 7.3 14.2 29.1 35.2 10.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlin Burden 87.0% 107.6 86.8% 87.0%
Emilie Allen 9.8% 126.0 8.6% 9.2%
Megan Miller 2.2% 131.8 0.9% 1.3%
Mia Wellington 1.3% 146.6 0.0% 0.0%
Reese Barhydt 1.3% 149.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlin Burden 100% 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.0 6.1 6.4 7.2 6.9 7.3 6.3 100.0% 100.0%
Emilie Allen 97.9% 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 97.2% 97.9%
Megan Miller 86.0% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.2% 85.2%
Mia Wellington 28.8% 59.0 4.4% 9.9%
Reese Barhydt 26.7% 61.0 1.5% 4.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlin Burden 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.4 5.7 9.6 11.7 11.6 11.6 11.5 10.0 8.4 6.1 4.2 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.2
Emilie Allen 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.9 2.8 4.6 6.2 7.7 8.8 9.8 9.7 9.1
Megan Miller 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.4 6.8
Mia Wellington 36.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
Reese Barhydt 38.0 0.0 0.1