All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC / NLC |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
| Team Rating |
372 | |
384 |
333 |
311 |
998 |
399 |
358 |
391 |
416 |
592 |
428 |
353 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
384 |
333 |
311 |
372 |
385 |
358 |
391 |
416 |
407 |
428 |
353 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC / NLC |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 71 |
Brooke Neal |
12 |
19:29 |
19:22 |
19:44 |
19:23 |
19:00 |
|
19:58 |
19:26 |
19:46 |
19:32 |
19:51 |
19:25 |
19:18 |
| 198 |
Morgan Gannon |
10 |
20:18 |
20:42 |
20:24 |
19:50 |
19:53 |
|
20:04 |
19:59 |
20:28 |
20:41 |
|
20:22 |
20:43 |
| 207 |
Mackenzie Holland |
10 |
20:20 |
20:22 |
21:32 |
20:52 |
20:27 |
|
20:36 |
20:22 |
20:34 |
20:07 |
|
20:51 |
20:05 |
| 261 |
Haley Makowski |
11 |
20:35 |
20:27 |
20:23 |
20:28 |
20:34 |
|
|
21:10 |
20:58 |
21:46 |
21:04 |
20:53 |
20:20 |
| 333 |
Aislynn Alkire |
12 |
20:50 |
19:52 |
20:43 |
20:33 |
20:12 |
|
20:41 |
21:10 |
20:43 |
20:50 |
|
21:37 |
20:56 |
| 349 |
Nicole Marshall |
11 |
20:53 |
20:42 |
21:10 |
20:47 |
20:46 |
|
20:49 |
20:41 |
20:38 |
21:15 |
|
21:00 |
21:01 |
| 358 |
Reagan Hoke |
11 |
20:54 |
21:32 |
20:37 |
20:44 |
20:47 |
|
20:52 |
20:45 |
20:37 |
21:10 |
|
22:04 |
|
| 359 |
Ava Gillis |
11 |
20:55 |
|
21:46 |
21:16 |
20:58 |
|
20:59 |
20:42 |
21:33 |
21:07 |
20:56 |
|
20:40 |
| 576 |
Kayla Edgerly |
11 |
21:37 |
21:25 |
21:03 |
20:31 |
21:07 |
|
21:19 |
23:16 |
21:59 |
21:28 |
22:25 |
|
|
| 673 |
Nikki Jerzak |
10 |
21:52 |
21:56 |
22:32 |
21:30 |
21:18 |
|
|
21:41 |
22:25 |
22:04 |
21:46 |
|
|
| 710 |
Cassidy Cripe |
12 |
21:57 |
22:14 |
21:47 |
21:41 |
|
21:37 |
21:39 |
22:30 |
21:56 |
22:36 |
22:01 |
|
|
| 730 |
Katie Cassbon |
11 |
21:59 |
21:34 |
21:03 |
|
21:29 |
|
22:02 |
|
|
23:03 |
|
|
|
| 805 |
Hannah Cussen |
11 |
22:10 |
21:52 |
22:26 |
22:28 |
|
21:51 |
22:29 |
22:14 |
22:13 |
22:11 |
21:48 |
|
|
| 868 |
Riley Keppler |
12 |
22:17 |
22:28 |
21:19 |
21:39 |
21:20 |
|
|
23:15 |
22:21 |
23:22 |
|
|
|
| 1,154 |
Alana Sandoval |
9 |
22:53 |
|
22:55 |
22:47 |
|
23:53 |
22:50 |
22:49 |
22:28 |
23:00 |
|
|
|
| 1,204 |
Megan Ungerecht |
11 |
22:59 |
22:36 |
23:15 |
25:05 |
|
23:00 |
23:14 |
22:37 |
22:56 |
22:34 |
|
|
|
| 1,328 |
Adriana Juarez |
12 |
23:16 |
22:48 |
22:20 |
22:09 |
|
22:44 |
22:56 |
23:23 |
24:45 |
24:36 |
|
|
|
| 1,394 |
Morgan Collins |
9 |
23:25 |
|
23:03 |
24:44 |
|
25:54 |
22:42 |
|
23:34 |
22:56 |
|
|
|
| 1,396 |
Sheela Soni |
10 |
23:25 |
22:52 |
23:16 |
23:23 |
|
23:13 |
|
23:16 |
23:32 |
23:48 |
|
|
|
|
Jasmin Pecina |
|
23:40 |
|
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
31.6% |
17.0 |
412 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
7.1 |
219 |
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
4.5 |
9.8 |
15.7 |
22.2 |
29.3 |
12.3 |
4.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.7 |
46 |
33.3 |
66.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
18 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brooke Neal |
66.1% |
59.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
50.4% |
57.6% |
| Morgan Gannon |
31.6% |
119.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
31.6% |
122.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Haley Makowski |
31.6% |
142.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
31.6% |
160.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Nicole Marshall |
31.6% |
163.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Reagan Hoke |
31.6% |
165.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brooke Neal |
100% |
21.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Morgan Gannon |
100% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Haley Makowski |
100% |
67.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
99.9% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
100% |
82.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Nicole Marshall |
100% |
86.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.3% |
| Reagan Hoke |
100% |
87.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brooke Neal |
100% |
2.5 |
9.0 |
21.9 |
40.1 |
22.9 |
4.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Morgan Gannon |
100% |
8.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
9.4 |
11.6 |
12.6 |
12.4 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
9.6 |
7.4 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
100% |
8.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.6 |
6.6 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
12.2 |
11.6 |
11.1 |
10.0 |
8.8 |
7.3 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Haley Makowski |
100% |
12.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
5.8 |
7.3 |
9.0 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
12.8 |
11.2 |
7.9 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
100% |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
6.1 |
8.1 |
10.7 |
12.5 |
12.3 |
10.3 |
8.7 |
6.2 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Marshall |
100% |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
6.2 |
9.0 |
11.4 |
12.4 |
11.8 |
10.2 |
7.7 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Reagan Hoke |
100% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
5.6 |
7.9 |
10.7 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
11.3 |
7.8 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brooke Neal |
1.0 |
99.2 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Morgan Gannon |
2.4 |
0.1 |
37.1 |
33.3 |
20.8 |
7.0 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Holland |
2.6 |
0.0 |
28.8 |
34.7 |
24.6 |
9.1 |
2.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Haley Makowski |
4.4 |
|
3.2 |
10.1 |
23.4 |
37.2 |
15.4 |
7.1 |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aislynn Alkire |
6.1 |
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
4.4 |
13.7 |
27.6 |
24.4 |
18.2 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicole Marshall |
6.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
8.9 |
21.7 |
26.0 |
25.1 |
7.4 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Reagan Hoke |
6.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
7.8 |
17.9 |
25.8 |
27.9 |
9.0 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
