Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #101
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #29
Rushville Regional Rank: #4
New Palestine Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/11 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/8 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 880 877 1,188 966 952 838 914 1,073 883 914 864
Team Adjusted Rating 845 913 889 944 838 900 885 883 900 862
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
594  Lauren Turk 10 21:40 21:04 21:29 22:12 21:31 22:02 21:38 21:36 21:42 21:46 21:40 21:25
618  Livia Ianni 10 21:43 22:10 21:47 22:00 21:18 21:28 21:41 22:04 21:48
764  Sara Mcgraw 9 22:03 21:44 22:07 22:22 21:30 22:29 22:06 22:11 21:49 22:10
866  Kylie Perkins 10 22:17 22:07 22:31 22:22 22:40 23:04 22:19 22:29 22:01
1,096  Ashley Flick 10 22:45 19:51 22:44
1,103  Michaela Payne 9 22:47 22:35 22:59
1,189  Amber Linton 12 22:57 23:25 23:12 23:00 22:50 23:00 23:06 22:34 22:59
1,245  Adelle Burkhardt 10 23:04 23:40 23:30 23:36 23:23 23:37 23:23 23:24 23:07 22:48
1,247  Alleigh Wilham 12 23:05 23:43 24:41 22:45 22:53 22:39 22:27 23:24 22:57 24:15
Emily Langston 11 23:44 22:56 23:46
Katie Baker 12 23:44 24:58 23:32 23:44 23:34 23:46 24:26 23:37
Trinity Gleitz 12 23:58 23:56 22:49 25:05 23:14 23:38 26:11
Peyton Jones 11 24:11 24:03 24:04 23:42 24:48 24:19
Christina Kurz 11 24:15 23:44 25:20 24:21 24:20 25:55 24:02 23:45 23:55 24:25
Mya Gonzalez 11 24:45 24:01 24:21 23:54 25:42 26:07 25:08 24:42 24:25
Hannah Cushing 11 26:09 24:52 24:51 26:50 27:21 26:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.4% 18.8 540 0.4 39.7 34.9 24.3
Regionals 100.0% 3.8 115 39.0 40.1 20.2 0.6
Sectionals 100% 3.8 111 0.0 40.4 39.0 20.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 99.5% 126.1 18.5% 70.4%
Livia Ianni 99.5% 128.9 18.5% 64.3%
Sara Mcgraw 99.4% 146.4 1.5% 21.1%
Kylie Perkins 99.4% 155.1 0.0% 6.2%
Ashley Flick 99.4% 167.2 0.0% 0.1%
Amber Linton 99.4% 171.0 0.0% 0.0%
Adelle Burkhardt 99.4% 173.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 100% 19.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.4 8.1 11.1 11.2 10.0 7.7 7.1 6.1 4.8 4.3 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Livia Ianni 100% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.0 5.9 9.1 10.1 9.0 8.9 7.0 6.1 5.6 4.9 4.3 100.0% 100.0%
Sara Mcgraw 100% 30.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.4 100.0% 100.0%
Kylie Perkins 100% 37.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Ashley Flick 100% 47.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Amber Linton 100% 50.4 100.0% 100.0%
Adelle Burkhardt 100.0% 52.4 0.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.7 9.3 13.6 13.9 11.7 8.9 7.2 6.2 4.8 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.9
Livia Ianni 13.8 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.4 11.4 11.6 10.8 9.4 8.4 7.0 5.7 5.2 4.1 3.7 3.0 2.8 2.2 1.6 1.4
Sara Mcgraw 21.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 4.0 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.7 5.7 6.2 6.0 6.2 6.0
Kylie Perkins 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.3 6.3
Ashley Flick 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7
Amber Linton 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Adelle Burkhardt 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0