Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #108
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #33
Rushville Regional Rank: #5
New Palestine Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 98.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Harrison (WL) Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/28 9/7 9/11 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/8 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 918 1,002 974 1,126 891 1,041 909 933 1,002 1,033 934
Team Adjusted Rating 973 974 935 859 1,041 909 933 918 969 999 877
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Harrison (WL) Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
479  Sierra Espinoza 9 21:17 21:23 21:24 21:22 21:54 20:35 21:11 21:17 22:27 21:02
772  Kasidi McClain 9 22:04 22:59 23:09 25:59 22:39 22:49 22:24 23:24 21:42 21:57
964  Brianna Wilkerson 10 22:28 23:42 23:07 22:38 22:30 23:19 22:23 22:29 22:23 22:40 22:12
1,021  Elisabeth Moss 12 22:37 22:13 22:18 22:22 22:02 21:52 22:42 22:46 22:44 23:01 23:24 22:37
1,034  Citlali Carmona 9 22:39 23:14 23:05 22:37 22:34 22:23 22:34
1,146  Mikail Hall 10 22:52 23:51 23:15 22:28 22:30 22:17 23:33 22:49 22:44 23:12 23:13
1,258  Issy Goolsby 10 23:06 23:33 23:18 24:06 23:03 23:31 22:56 22:45 22:36 23:00 23:35
Jada Suddarth 10 23:47 23:49 23:44 24:45 24:45 24:58 24:18 23:04 23:53 24:07 23:23 25:15
Aasha Watkins 9 23:48 22:41 24:31 23:18 24:30 23:19 23:59 23:57 24:02 23:43
Leslie Romero 9 23:57 23:23 24:44 24:26 23:45 23:46
Zoe Fisher 12 24:12 22:39 24:07 24:34 24:04 24:12
Bessie Kerr 12 24:28 24:53 23:44 25:24 23:39 23:56 24:27 25:32 24:13 25:30
Darby Hyatt 12 24:31 24:09 23:52 24:41 23:44 26:06 24:02 28:14
Makayla Coburn 10 24:48 24:39 24:54 24:36 25:50 24:51 24:29 24:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 98.3% 19.4 558 0.0 15.9 30.8 51.5
Regionals 100.0% 4.6 130 9.0 27.8 61.6 1.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.5 126 9.7 27.4 62.9 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 99.8% 109.4 88.4% 96.9%
Kasidi McClain 98.3% 147.0 0.6% 19.1%
Brianna Wilkerson 98.3% 160.6 0.0% 1.4%
Elisabeth Moss 98.3% 164.3 0.0% 0.3%
Citlali Carmona 98.3% 164.9 0.0% 0.2%
Mikail Hall 98.3% 169.6 0.0% 0.0%
Issy Goolsby 98.3% 173.7 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 100% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.8 7.4 14.2 20.7 19.7 10.8 6.3 4.0 2.7 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Kasidi McClain 100% 30.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.7 3.8 100.0% 100.0%
Brianna Wilkerson 100% 41.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Elisabeth Moss 100% 44.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Citlali Carmona 100% 45.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Mikail Hall 100% 49.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Issy Goolsby 100.0% 53.0 0.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 9.4 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.3 30.7 30.9 12.3 7.3 4.2 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Kasidi McClain 22.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.8 6.6 6.2 6.4
Brianna Wilkerson 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 3.4
Elisabeth Moss 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.3
Citlali Carmona 32.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2
Mikail Hall 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Issy Goolsby 38.5 0.0 0.0