Carmel
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #1
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 49.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 107 157 164 153 94
Team Adjusted Rating 96 96 129 94
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic
Annabel Pollert 12 17:14 17:57 17:25 17:12 17:06 17:01
Larkin Taylor 12 18:10 18:02 18:15 18:09
25  Olivia Ruch 9 18:38 18:27 18:30 19:05 18:32
85  Margo Halle 11 19:33 19:00 19:47
88  Riley Myers 11 19:37 19:27 19:53 19:48 19:13
92  Jade Gackowski 10 19:41 22:33 19:33 19:24 19:39
159  Ashley Kent 10 20:13 19:54 20:34 19:59 20:17
175  Elise Maurer 11 20:18 19:44 20:31 20:25 20:09 20:14
184  Berkley Taylor 9 20:21 20:08 20:28 20:19 20:20
187  Anna Yoon 12 20:21 19:46 20:17 20:21 20:37
244  Izzie Shin 11 20:37 21:05 20:38 20:37 20:41 20:00
263  Maija Gilhooly 12 20:42 20:24 20:05 20:57 21:04
329  Kalinda Lee 11 21:00 20:54 21:14 20:51 20:59
337  Katie Zhuravlev 11 21:03 21:09 21:14 20:42 21:25 20:35
339  Emma Meisner 12 21:03 21:48 20:48 20:56 21:01
354  Molly Foley 10 21:06 21:10 20:22 21:21 21:09 21:02
373  Lily Kamstra 10 21:11 21:39 20:45 21:00 21:27 21:06
411  Jasmine Krebs 9 21:20 20:46 21:20 21:38 21:20
432  Annabelle Inman 12 21:23 21:28 21:29 21:00
443  Gwendolyn Lower 9 21:25 21:25 21:18 21:28 21:22
476  Scarlett Gackowski 10 21:30 22:07 21:15 21:16 21:34
561  Lauren Mathews 10 21:43 21:33 21:22 21:46 22:04
614  Abigail Schilt 10 21:52 22:46 21:44 22:09 21:49 21:14
623  Caroline Maurer 10 21:54 21:23 21:46 22:01 22:13 21:48
800  Francesca Andersen 11 22:27 22:25
821  Audrina Olenslager 9 22:30 22:03 22:46 22:41 22:21
855  Ana Maurovich 10 22:35 21:56 22:30 23:14
903  Norah Oconnell 11 22:42 23:04 22:45 22:17
934  Eimaan Ahmad 11 22:46 22:22 22:49 23:30 22:30
995  Ella Weaver 11 22:55 23:20 22:11 23:01
1,032  Sarina Patel 12 23:01 22:54 23:20 22:51
1,108  Frannie Anderson 11 23:11 22:52 23:18 23:15
1,134  Madison Bowser 11 23:15 24:02 23:14 23:07 23:06 23:06
1,163  Malia Larger 12 23:19 23:04 23:31 22:59 23:39
1,179  Kate Hillabrandt 10 23:22 23:13 23:27
1,185  Gia Ferrettie 12 23:22 23:10 23:33
Margaret Meyer 9 23:30 23:00 23:48 23:34
Evangeline Riego 12 23:33 23:49 23:19 23:45 23:11
Ansley Lyons 11 23:37 23:46 23:33 23:22 23:38
Sally Baroudi 10 23:38 23:40 23:24 23:44
Sophia Snow 10 23:39 22:48 22:55 24:43 24:02
Demi Zhang 11 23:40 22:59 23:45 23:33 24:01
Emma Awe 11 23:46 23:44 23:44 23:32 23:50
Hanna Schaller 12 23:47 23:55 22:50 24:07
Morgan Martino 9 23:48 23:43 23:57 24:09 23:53
Eleanor Snopek 11 23:52 23:13 23:46 24:16 23:55
Susana Flores 9 23:55 22:50 23:43 24:11 24:34
Makenna Swearingen 11 24:01 24:15 24:05 23:32 24:03
Olivia Hall 10 24:18 23:12 24:15 23:30 24:51 25:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 1.9 130 49.4 28.8 13.4 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 40 95.6 4.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 96.2 3.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 1.0 65.0 23.9 7.9 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 9.8 0.3 1.4 3.5 5.7 7.7 7.6 8.8 8.5 7.8 6.6 6.5 5.9 4.8 3.9 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Olivia Ruch 100% 25.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.1 3.8 4.4 4.1 4.3 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 82.7 99.6%
Riley Myers 100% 89.5 0.0 99.1%
Jade Gackowski 100% 96.7 98.4%
Ashley Kent 100% 155.0 56.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 1.0 87.3 12.7 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 2.6 6.0 77.4 11.5 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Ruch 100% 4.9 1.4 28.9 21.5 15.2 12.1 9.5 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 5.8 8.9 10.3 10.5 9.5 8.8 7.9 6.4 5.6 4.5 3.8 3.1 2.7 2.0 1.5 100.0%
Riley Myers 100% 16.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 4.0 5.6 7.3 8.5 9.0 8.1 8.5 7.9 6.5 5.7 5.2 4.5 3.6 2.6 2.2 100.0%
Jade Gackowski 100% 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.4 4.0 5.6 6.5 7.3 7.8 8.1 8.6 7.7 6.8 5.8 4.9 4.2 3.7 3.2 100.0%
Ashley Kent 100% 33.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.0 2.7 2.8 3.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 1.0 100.0
Larkin Taylor 1.6 82.9 12.4 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.0
Olivia Ruch 3.7 2.0 31.2 25.2 16.6 13.0 10.8 1.1 0.1
Margo Halle 9.6 0.2 0.7 2.3 13.3 22.0 18.9 15.4 10.2 7.1 4.8 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1
Riley Myers 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 8.8 15.4 17.4 17.6 13.7 9.6 6.4 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0
Jade Gackowski 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.4 9.6 15.4 16.4 15.0 13.0 9.6 6.8 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ashley Kent 17.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.5 5.4 9.1 12.8 13.5 14.2 11.0 8.9 5.9 5.0 3.6 2.4 1.5