Carmel
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #2
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 39.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 98.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flash Rock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference XC Town Twilight
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3
Team Rating 123 162 171 157 98 114 206 134
Team Adjusted Rating 101 101 132 98 114 136 134
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flash Rock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference XC Town Twilight
1  Annabel Pollert 12 17:17 17:57 17:26 17:14 17:07 17:03 17:03 17:57
9  Larkin Taylor 12 18:15 18:02 18:17 18:12 18:12 18:33 18:20
32  Olivia Ruch 9 18:55 18:29 18:33 19:07 18:35 19:03 19:05 19:18
77  Margo Halle 11 19:34 19:00 19:50 19:29 19:26 19:35
98  Riley Myers 11 19:45 19:29 19:56 19:50 19:16 19:40 20:18 19:39
103  Jade Gackowski 10 19:47 22:33 19:35 19:27 19:42 19:32 20:00 20:05
177  Ashley Kent 10 20:22 19:54 20:36 20:02 20:20 20:33
188  Elise Maurer 11 20:24 19:44 20:34 20:29 20:12 20:17 19:58 20:29 21:02
197  Anna Yoon 12 20:28 19:46 20:21 20:24 20:41 20:19 20:40 20:26
211  Berkley Taylor 9 20:31 20:10 20:32 20:22 20:24 20:36 20:40 20:39
250  Izzie Shin 11 20:39 21:05 20:40 20:41 20:44 20:04 20:24 21:00 20:31
273  Katie Zhuravlev 11 20:47 21:09 21:17 20:46 21:28 20:38 20:49 20:16 19:53
317  Maija Gilhooly 12 20:58 20:24 20:08 21:00 21:07 21:02 21:25
323  Kalinda Lee 11 21:00 20:57 21:18 20:54 21:03 20:43 21:12 20:43
354  Emma Meisner 12 21:07 21:48 20:52 20:59 21:05 21:10 21:11 21:00
384  Annabelle Inman 12 21:14 21:28 21:32 21:04 20:59 20:56 21:27
385  Molly Foley 10 21:14 21:10 20:25 21:24 21:12 21:05 21:36 21:19
425  Lily Kamstra 10 21:22 21:39 20:47 21:03 21:30 21:09 21:10 21:43 21:55
430  Jasmine Krebs 9 21:24 20:49 21:24 21:41 21:23 21:12 21:38 21:20
494  Gwendolyn Lower 9 21:33 21:28 21:22 21:31 21:25 21:46 21:46 21:25
575  Scarlett Gackowski 10 21:45 22:07 21:18 21:20 21:38 23:10 24:28
605  Abigail Schilt 10 21:51 22:46 21:47 22:14 21:52 21:18 21:27 21:52 22:03
616  Lauren Mathews 10 21:53 21:36 21:26 21:49 22:08 22:18 21:48 21:54
622  Caroline Maurer 10 21:54 21:23 21:50 22:05 22:16 21:52 21:29 21:56 21:49
837  Norah Oconnell 11 22:31 23:04 22:49 22:21 22:15 22:26
846  Audrina Olenslager 9 22:32 22:06 22:50 22:45 22:25 22:19 22:28 22:41
895  Ana Maurovich 10 22:39 22:00 22:34 23:19
963  Ella Weaver 11 22:48 23:23 22:15 23:04 23:11 22:39 22:03
970  Lydia Levy 9 22:49 22:45
990  Eimaan Ahmad 11 22:52 22:25 22:53 23:33 22:34 23:03 22:43 22:52
1,070  Madison Bowser 11 23:06 24:02 23:17 23:11 23:10 23:10 22:48 22:44 22:54
1,084  Sophia Snow 10 23:08 22:48 22:58 24:48 24:06 23:20 22:27
1,124  Sarina Patel 12 23:13 22:54 23:24 22:55 23:11 23:31 23:04
1,126  Frannie Anderson 11 23:13 22:52 23:22 23:20 23:00
1,198  Hanna Schaller 12 23:22 23:55 22:54 24:12 23:19 22:59 23:17
1,228  Gia Ferrettie 12 23:27 23:13 23:38 23:37 23:31 23:06
Ansley Lyons 11 23:31 23:46 23:37 23:27 23:41 23:03 23:20
Francesca Andersen 11 23:33 22:29 24:47
Margaret Meyer 9 23:33 23:04 23:53 23:38 23:26 23:34
Kate Hillabrandt 10 23:37 23:17 23:32 23:50 23:24 23:52
Demi Zhang 11 23:43 22:59 23:50 23:36 24:06 23:36 23:16 24:05
Malia Larger 12 23:44 23:04 23:36 23:03 23:43 23:58 24:45
Sally Baroudi 10 23:44 23:43 23:29 23:48 23:55 23:31 23:48
Evangeline Riego 12 23:44 23:53 23:24 23:49 23:15 24:51 23:36 23:41
Emma Awe 11 23:50 23:44 23:48 23:37 23:54 23:33 23:58 24:03
Morgan Martino 9 23:54 23:47 24:03 24:13 23:58 24:01 23:54
Eleanor Snopek 11 23:59 23:13 23:50 24:21 23:59
Susana Flores 9 24:01 22:53 23:48 24:15 24:39 24:11 23:51
Makenna Swearingen 11 24:03 24:19 24:10 23:36 24:08 23:56 23:59
Olivia Hall 10 24:42 23:12 24:19 23:35 24:55 25:30 25:56 23:28 26:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 2.1 140 39.7 28.6 17.7 8.8 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 44 95.7 4.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 31 95.9 4.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 1.0 72.9 17.8 5.7 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 10.5 0.3 1.7 2.7 5.3 6.8 6.5 7.8 8.4 7.3 6.6 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.6 3.8 3.5 2.8 2.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.8 100.0%
Olivia Ruch 100% 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.7 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 78.8 0.0 99.7%
Riley Myers 100% 98.6 97.5%
Jade Gackowski 100% 101.1 96.5%
Ashley Kent 100% 164.7 38.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 1.0 89.6 10.3 0.1 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 2.8 5.5 54.2 28.1 7.9 2.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Ruch 100% 7.3 0.1 3.5 10.4 15.6 15.3 14.7 15.4 12.1 7.4 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.2 6.7 8.7 10.3 11.5 10.0 9.2 7.8 6.6 5.1 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.0 1.8 0.9 100.0%
Riley Myers 100% 18.8 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.2 4.0 5.5 6.6 7.7 7.8 7.4 7.6 6.8 6.1 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.1 100.0%
Jade Gackowski 100% 19.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.2 3.6 4.5 5.3 6.6 7.1 6.9 7.5 6.6 6.2 5.9 4.9 5.3 4.4 100.0%
Ashley Kent 100% 37.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 1.0 100.0 0.0
Larkin Taylor 1.8 62.0 30.5 5.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
Olivia Ruch 5.3 0.1 4.1 21.8 18.1 17.0 22.5 12.6 3.1 0.7 0.0
Margo Halle 9.7 0.3 1.0 2.3 8.0 20.7 23.7 16.8 11.7 7.2 4.0 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Riley Myers 11.8 0.2 0.4 1.4 5.9 12.0 16.7 16.7 14.8 11.2 8.8 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jade Gackowski 12.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.3 9.3 15.2 17.9 15.0 12.7 9.0 6.7 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ashley Kent 19.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.5 4.3 6.5 10.5 10.6 12.4 11.4 10.0 8.5 6.4 5.1 3.9