Carmel
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #2
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 10.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 81.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 163 373 146 150 360
Team Adjusted Rating 166 146 150 168
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic
Lucas Bartlett 12 15:37 15:34 15:48 15:32
16  Jonah Kaul 12 15:45 15:38 15:50 15:44
67  Grant Vannahmen 11 16:20 16:37 16:13 16:15
77  Ben Meisner 12 16:26 16:34 16:16 16:27
123  Carter Kellett 10 16:41 16:31 16:48 16:36 16:35 16:49
147  Henry Nolan 10 16:48 17:23 16:45 16:42 16:42 16:46
169  Zachary Judy 12 16:54 17:18 17:01 16:43 16:39 16:56
170  Cooper Szotek 12 16:54 16:40 17:24 16:42
194  Grant Parkevich 11 16:59 16:58 16:56 16:42 17:16
243  Nolan Whetstone 10 17:09 18:15 16:56 17:17 16:58
278  Trevor Walton 12 17:15 17:28 17:06 17:11
285  Ren Yamada 9 17:16 17:08 17:31 19:49 17:11
315  Graham Moore 10 17:20 17:25 17:31 16:56 17:49 16:56
323  Charlie Moon 9 17:21 17:08 17:22 17:21 17:25
358  Henry Lewis 10 17:27 17:43 17:19 17:17 17:35
370  Nate Gaddy 12 17:29 17:31 17:19 17:43 17:24
385  Jack Sims 12 17:30 17:53 17:28 17:33 17:12
485  Drew Kuykendall 11 17:43 17:44 17:35 17:39 17:51 17:42
490  Nixon Trisler 11 17:44 17:39 17:45 17:37 18:30 17:30
508  Kerolos Khalil 12 17:46 17:36 17:42 18:00
548  Luke Lory 12 17:51 17:48 17:38 17:48 18:19 17:48
645  Easton Ulery 11 18:02 18:10 17:52 18:12 18:14 17:28
671  Cameron Kenney 9 18:04 17:45 18:04 18:27 18:02
686  Fletcher Jay 10 18:06 17:51 18:15 18:11 18:07 17:57
762  Caden Wolpert 9 18:14 18:38 18:27 18:01 17:44
773  Emil Borrisov 9 18:15 18:13 18:30 18:07 18:08
793  Trey Courtney 9 18:17 18:45 18:15 18:13 17:56
801  Sidharth Eswaran 11 18:18 18:20 19:38 18:13
864  Noah Barrett 11 18:24 18:21 18:31 18:18
887  Jaxson Kazak 9 18:26 18:27 18:26 18:33 18:17
925  Bryce Bontrager 11 18:30 18:31 18:22 18:33 18:32 18:23
950  Sawyer Hargrove 10 18:32 18:26 18:32 18:48 18:23
986  Gavin Smith 9 18:35 18:27 18:31 18:49
992  Ryu Yamada 9 18:36 18:26 18:33 18:38 18:43
994  Hudson Keetle 11 18:36 18:26 18:35 19:12 18:23
1,012  Griffin Jay 12 18:38 18:22 18:38 18:51 18:34
1,060  Nathan Yang 12 18:42 18:16 18:44 18:45 19:05 18:28
1,078  Quinn Sullivan 12 18:44 18:32
1,083  Porter Barry 9 18:44 18:44
1,089  Suthirth Muddam 11 18:44 18:39 18:50 20:15
1,109  Neil Adesara 12 18:45 18:04 19:02 18:10 19:03 18:51
1,159  Christian Block 11 18:49 18:27 18:40 19:21
1,189  Thomas Moehl 10 18:51 18:49
1,210  Marcus Lord 9 18:53 18:52 18:50 18:55
1,219  Kian Marsden 11 18:53 18:54 19:09 18:34
1,246  Joey Palumbo 9 18:56 18:59 18:44 18:41 19:24
1,257  Isaiah Thompson 9 18:57 18:48 19:19 18:47
1,288  Drew Thorne 9 18:59 19:23 18:41 19:10 18:47
Pranad Sowale 11 19:00 18:26 19:24 18:56
Gabe Brigham 12 19:00 19:03 19:05 18:50 18:57
Oscar Wiley 11 19:02 18:43 19:05 19:36 18:52
Marcus Primason 12 19:03 18:59 19:21 18:52
Luke Lehman 9 19:05 19:15 19:10 19:11 18:24
John Norton 12 19:10 19:04 19:18
Quinn Riley 10 19:11 19:18 19:47 18:50 18:56
Will Heckaman 11 19:20 18:57 19:07 19:21 19:26 19:45
Nathan Dsouza 9 19:24 19:43 20:02 19:05 18:43
Skye Curry 9 19:33 19:46 19:39 19:38 18:47
Eric Hwang 10 20:45 20:55 21:49 18:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 3.8 175 10.4 23.6 20.8 16.2 10.1 6.7 4.8 2.9 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 64 63.4 31.2 4.6 0.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 27 95.0 4.8 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Bartlett 100% 9.5 0.1 2.0 5.3 6.7 7.1 6.9 7.3 6.1 5.8 5.9 5.2 4.6 3.8 4.3 3.6 3.7 3.0 2.6 2.7 1.6 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 0.9 100.0%
Jonah Kaul 100% 16.3 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.4 3.6 4.0 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.9 4.2 3.6 3.7 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.9 100.0%
Grant Vannahmen 100% 65.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 99.5%
Ben Meisner 100% 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
Carter Kellett 100% 119.8 78.5%
Henry Nolan 100% 138.5 59.2%
Zachary Judy 100% 153.9 40.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Bartlett 100% 1.0 49.6 26.0 14.1 5.9 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jonah Kaul 100% 2.5 9.2 29.5 22.3 15.8 9.6 5.9 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Grant Vannahmen 100% 14.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 2.9 3.5 3.9 5.4 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.1 6.5 7.2 6.6 6.1 5.8 4.1 3.7 2.9 2.6 1.9 1.6 100.0%
Ben Meisner 100% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.5 3.3 4.7 5.3 5.5 6.3 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.1 5.7 5.6 4.7 4.4 3.7 100.0%
Carter Kellett 100% 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.3 5.1 100.0%
Henry Nolan 100% 33.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 100.0%
Zachary Judy 100% 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Bartlett 1.0 60.3 28.3 9.5 1.8 0.0
Jonah Kaul 1.9 12.4 43.3 30.1 13.8 0.4
Grant Vannahmen 4.9 1.2 9.0 43.0 24.2 12.4 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1
Ben Meisner 6.0 0.2 2.2 15.3 31.4 20.9 13.7 8.1 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Carter Kellett 9.6 0.0 0.3 1.5 9.3 13.9 15.7 15.7 12.3 9.1 6.4 4.5 4.0 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Henry Nolan 11.7 0.1 0.2 2.5 5.4 8.7 10.9 13.5 11.9 10.2 8.1 6.6 5.1 4.6 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.3
Zachary Judy 14.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.4 5.6 7.7 10.7 10.6 9.2 8.5 7.8 7.4 5.5 5.3 3.8 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.6 1.0