All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
| Team Rating |
163 | |
373 |
146 |
150 |
360 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
166 |
146 |
150 |
168 |
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
| 7 |
Lucas Bartlett |
12 |
15:37 |
15:34 |
|
15:48 |
15:32 |
|
| 16 |
Jonah Kaul |
12 |
15:45 |
15:38 |
|
15:50 |
15:44 |
|
| 67 |
Grant Vannahmen |
11 |
16:20 |
16:37 |
|
16:13 |
16:15 |
|
| 77 |
Ben Meisner |
12 |
16:26 |
16:34 |
|
16:16 |
16:27 |
|
| 123 |
Carter Kellett |
10 |
16:41 |
16:31 |
16:48 |
16:36 |
16:35 |
16:49 |
| 147 |
Henry Nolan |
10 |
16:48 |
17:23 |
16:45 |
16:42 |
16:42 |
16:46 |
| 169 |
Zachary Judy |
12 |
16:54 |
17:18 |
17:01 |
16:43 |
16:39 |
16:56 |
| 170 |
Cooper Szotek |
12 |
16:54 |
16:40 |
|
17:24 |
16:42 |
|
| 194 |
Grant Parkevich |
11 |
16:59 |
16:58 |
|
16:56 |
16:42 |
17:16 |
| 243 |
Nolan Whetstone |
10 |
17:09 |
18:15 |
16:56 |
|
17:17 |
16:58 |
| 278 |
Trevor Walton |
12 |
17:15 |
17:28 |
|
17:06 |
17:11 |
|
| 285 |
Ren Yamada |
9 |
17:16 |
|
17:08 |
17:31 |
19:49 |
17:11 |
| 315 |
Graham Moore |
10 |
17:20 |
17:25 |
17:31 |
16:56 |
17:49 |
16:56 |
| 323 |
Charlie Moon |
9 |
17:21 |
|
17:08 |
17:22 |
17:21 |
17:25 |
| 358 |
Henry Lewis |
10 |
17:27 |
17:43 |
17:19 |
17:17 |
17:35 |
|
| 370 |
Nate Gaddy |
12 |
17:29 |
|
17:31 |
17:19 |
17:43 |
17:24 |
| 385 |
Jack Sims |
12 |
17:30 |
17:53 |
|
17:28 |
17:33 |
17:12 |
| 485 |
Drew Kuykendall |
11 |
17:43 |
17:44 |
17:35 |
17:39 |
17:51 |
17:42 |
| 490 |
Nixon Trisler |
11 |
17:44 |
17:39 |
17:45 |
17:37 |
18:30 |
17:30 |
| 508 |
Kerolos Khalil |
12 |
17:46 |
17:36 |
|
17:42 |
18:00 |
|
| 548 |
Luke Lory |
12 |
17:51 |
17:48 |
17:38 |
17:48 |
18:19 |
17:48 |
| 645 |
Easton Ulery |
11 |
18:02 |
18:10 |
17:52 |
18:12 |
18:14 |
17:28 |
| 671 |
Cameron Kenney |
9 |
18:04 |
|
17:45 |
18:04 |
18:27 |
18:02 |
| 686 |
Fletcher Jay |
10 |
18:06 |
17:51 |
18:15 |
18:11 |
18:07 |
17:57 |
| 762 |
Caden Wolpert |
9 |
18:14 |
|
18:38 |
18:27 |
18:01 |
17:44 |
| 773 |
Emil Borrisov |
9 |
18:15 |
|
18:13 |
18:30 |
18:07 |
18:08 |
| 793 |
Trey Courtney |
9 |
18:17 |
|
18:45 |
18:15 |
18:13 |
17:56 |
| 801 |
Sidharth Eswaran |
11 |
18:18 |
|
|
18:20 |
19:38 |
18:13 |
| 864 |
Noah Barrett |
11 |
18:24 |
|
|
18:21 |
18:31 |
18:18 |
| 887 |
Jaxson Kazak |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:27 |
18:26 |
18:33 |
18:17 |
| 925 |
Bryce Bontrager |
11 |
18:30 |
18:31 |
18:22 |
18:33 |
18:32 |
18:23 |
| 950 |
Sawyer Hargrove |
10 |
18:32 |
|
18:26 |
18:32 |
18:48 |
18:23 |
| 986 |
Gavin Smith |
9 |
18:35 |
|
18:27 |
18:31 |
18:49 |
|
| 992 |
Ryu Yamada |
9 |
18:36 |
|
18:26 |
18:33 |
18:38 |
18:43 |
| 994 |
Hudson Keetle |
11 |
18:36 |
|
18:26 |
18:35 |
19:12 |
18:23 |
| 1,012 |
Griffin Jay |
12 |
18:38 |
18:22 |
|
18:38 |
18:51 |
18:34 |
| 1,060 |
Nathan Yang |
12 |
18:42 |
18:16 |
18:44 |
18:45 |
19:05 |
18:28 |
| 1,078 |
Quinn Sullivan |
12 |
18:44 |
18:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,083 |
Porter Barry |
9 |
18:44 |
|
18:44 |
|
|
|
| 1,089 |
Suthirth Muddam |
11 |
18:44 |
18:39 |
|
18:50 |
|
20:15 |
| 1,109 |
Neil Adesara |
12 |
18:45 |
18:04 |
19:02 |
18:10 |
19:03 |
18:51 |
| 1,159 |
Christian Block |
11 |
18:49 |
18:27 |
18:40 |
19:21 |
|
|
| 1,189 |
Thomas Moehl |
10 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
18:49 |
| 1,210 |
Marcus Lord |
9 |
18:53 |
|
18:52 |
18:50 |
|
18:55 |
| 1,219 |
Kian Marsden |
11 |
18:53 |
|
18:54 |
19:09 |
|
18:34 |
| 1,246 |
Joey Palumbo |
9 |
18:56 |
|
18:59 |
18:44 |
18:41 |
19:24 |
| 1,257 |
Isaiah Thompson |
9 |
18:57 |
|
18:48 |
19:19 |
|
18:47 |
| 1,288 |
Drew Thorne |
9 |
18:59 |
|
19:23 |
18:41 |
19:10 |
18:47 |
|
Pranad Sowale |
11 |
19:00 |
18:26 |
|
19:24 |
|
18:56 |
|
Gabe Brigham |
12 |
19:00 |
|
19:03 |
19:05 |
18:50 |
18:57 |
|
Oscar Wiley |
11 |
19:02 |
|
18:43 |
19:05 |
19:36 |
18:52 |
|
Marcus Primason |
12 |
19:03 |
|
|
18:59 |
19:21 |
18:52 |
|
Luke Lehman |
9 |
19:05 |
|
19:15 |
19:10 |
19:11 |
18:24 |
|
John Norton |
12 |
19:10 |
19:04 |
|
19:18 |
|
|
|
Quinn Riley |
10 |
19:11 |
|
19:18 |
19:47 |
18:50 |
18:56 |
|
Will Heckaman |
11 |
19:20 |
18:57 |
19:07 |
19:21 |
19:26 |
19:45 |
|
Nathan Dsouza |
9 |
19:24 |
|
19:43 |
20:02 |
19:05 |
18:43 |
|
Skye Curry |
9 |
19:33 |
|
19:46 |
19:39 |
19:38 |
18:47 |
|
Eric Hwang |
10 |
20:45 |
|
20:55 |
|
21:49 |
18:20 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
3.8 |
175 |
10.4 |
23.6 |
20.8 |
16.2 |
10.1 |
6.7 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.4 |
64 |
63.4 |
31.2 |
4.6 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
27 |
95.0 |
4.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Bartlett |
100% |
9.5 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
16.3 |
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Vannahmen |
100% |
65.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
99.5% |
| Ben Meisner |
100% |
80.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
98.0% |
| Carter Kellett |
100% |
119.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.5% |
| Henry Nolan |
100% |
138.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
59.2% |
| Zachary Judy |
100% |
153.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Bartlett |
100% |
1.0 |
49.6 |
26.0 |
14.1 |
5.9 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
2.5 |
9.2 |
29.5 |
22.3 |
15.8 |
9.6 |
5.9 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Grant Vannahmen |
100% |
14.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Meisner |
100% |
18.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Carter Kellett |
100% |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Nolan |
100% |
33.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Zachary Judy |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Bartlett |
1.0 |
60.3 |
28.3 |
9.5 |
1.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jonah Kaul |
1.9 |
12.4 |
43.3 |
30.1 |
13.8 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grant Vannahmen |
4.9 |
|
|
1.2 |
9.0 |
43.0 |
24.2 |
12.4 |
5.4 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Meisner |
6.0 |
|
|
0.2 |
2.2 |
15.3 |
31.4 |
20.9 |
13.7 |
8.1 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carter Kellett |
9.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
9.3 |
13.9 |
15.7 |
15.7 |
12.3 |
9.1 |
6.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Henry Nolan |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
8.7 |
10.9 |
13.5 |
11.9 |
10.2 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
| Zachary Judy |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.4 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
10.7 |
10.6 |
9.2 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
|