All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invite |
Eagle Classic |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
| Team Rating |
169 | |
153 |
175 |
175 |
174 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
153 |
175 |
175 |
174 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invite |
Eagle Classic |
|---|
| 29 |
Stelle Banwart |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:35 |
18:43 |
18:43 |
18:41 |
| 32 |
Lilly Gahl |
9 |
18:48 |
|
18:32 |
18:28 |
19:31 |
18:51 |
| 38 |
Letty Banwart |
11 |
18:57 |
19:09 |
19:07 |
18:50 |
18:46 |
18:45 |
| 93 |
Jane Porzel |
12 |
19:41 |
20:17 |
19:13 |
19:31 |
19:43 |
19:50 |
| 148 |
Addy Hughes |
9 |
20:10 |
|
20:19 |
21:34 |
19:50 |
20:19 |
| 222 |
Elizabeth Anderson |
10 |
20:31 |
19:54 |
|
23:50 |
|
20:43 |
| 231 |
Megan Race |
12 |
20:35 |
20:02 |
20:45 |
20:41 |
20:32 |
20:25 |
| 283 |
Allison Bruggers |
12 |
20:46 |
20:14 |
21:06 |
|
20:25 |
20:58 |
| 291 |
Sydney Roberts |
9 |
20:49 |
|
20:31 |
20:48 |
20:48 |
20:57 |
| 307 |
Kora Schuitman |
11 |
20:52 |
20:55 |
|
20:57 |
20:23 |
20:53 |
| 314 |
Leah Perrin |
10 |
20:55 |
22:48 |
21:01 |
20:59 |
20:23 |
20:38 |
| 317 |
Olivia van Gelder |
11 |
20:56 |
23:11 |
20:59 |
20:49 |
20:38 |
20:44 |
| 341 |
Sylvie Hall-Feldhaus |
10 |
21:03 |
20:38 |
21:02 |
21:18 |
20:59 |
21:01 |
| 374 |
Delaney Schmidt |
12 |
21:11 |
20:43 |
21:47 |
21:03 |
21:02 |
21:10 |
| 449 |
Violet Strong |
9 |
21:26 |
|
21:27 |
21:31 |
21:17 |
21:18 |
| 474 |
Lila Donahue |
10 |
21:29 |
|
21:16 |
22:01 |
21:10 |
21:27 |
| 542 |
Sarah Heinzen |
9 |
21:40 |
|
|
24:12 |
21:27 |
21:48 |
| 543 |
Clara Carlson |
12 |
21:40 |
21:14 |
21:42 |
22:09 |
21:33 |
21:26 |
| 578 |
Carisa Miller |
9 |
21:46 |
|
21:38 |
21:48 |
21:45 |
|
| 579 |
Emma Niziolek |
9 |
21:46 |
|
21:36 |
21:50 |
|
|
| 582 |
Adeline Toops |
9 |
21:46 |
|
21:41 |
21:47 |
21:47 |
21:44 |
| 616 |
Cam Fitzpatrick |
10 |
21:52 |
21:35 |
21:55 |
|
21:30 |
22:31 |
| 636 |
Elsa Johnson |
11 |
21:57 |
22:46 |
22:07 |
21:09 |
21:24 |
22:25 |
| 650 |
Liora DeVelvis |
12 |
21:59 |
21:56 |
22:31 |
21:42 |
22:06 |
21:44 |
| 806 |
Lucy Bostian |
12 |
22:28 |
22:00 |
|
23:26 |
21:48 |
22:38 |
| 831 |
Brynn Dedman |
9 |
22:31 |
|
22:36 |
22:11 |
23:16 |
22:10 |
| 896 |
Claire Niziolek |
11 |
22:40 |
|
22:52 |
22:27 |
|
22:39 |
| 940 |
Ellisyn Hayes |
9 |
22:46 |
|
22:45 |
|
|
|
| 980 |
Kaitlyn Hopkins |
11 |
22:53 |
22:24 |
22:46 |
23:13 |
22:52 |
|
| 994 |
Avery Hughes |
11 |
22:55 |
22:15 |
22:41 |
22:54 |
23:03 |
23:21 |
| 1,000 |
Teagan Stalbaum |
12 |
22:56 |
|
22:25 |
23:01 |
23:19 |
22:49 |
| 1,006 |
Addisyn Hoffman |
12 |
22:57 |
21:15 |
23:05 |
22:50 |
22:56 |
23:18 |
| 1,072 |
Alice Colvin |
9 |
23:06 |
|
23:11 |
22:59 |
22:58 |
23:09 |
| 1,147 |
Julia Weaver |
11 |
23:17 |
|
23:13 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
Julianna Smith |
9 |
23:33 |
|
23:22 |
23:44 |
23:08 |
23:47 |
|
Adelaide Schmidt |
9 |
23:44 |
|
23:29 |
24:00 |
23:47 |
23:33 |
|
Sophia Koons |
11 |
23:52 |
22:33 |
24:45 |
24:01 |
23:28 |
|
|
Kylie Houchens |
9 |
24:18 |
|
23:17 |
|
24:40 |
24:34 |
|
JoJo Bruggers |
9 |
24:58 |
|
25:41 |
20:48 |
|
26:07 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
5.8 |
216 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
8.5 |
14.5 |
20.2 |
18.4 |
15.0 |
9.2 |
5.0 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
69 |
4.3 |
92.6 |
3.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
45 |
3.7 |
96.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Stelle Banwart |
100% |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Lilly Gahl |
100% |
31.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jane Porzel |
100% |
95.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.7% |
| Addy Hughes |
100% |
146.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.6% |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
100% |
186.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.9% |
| Megan Race |
100% |
190.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Stelle Banwart |
100% |
5.7 |
|
0.0 |
3.5 |
14.0 |
19.0 |
19.8 |
17.6 |
13.1 |
7.4 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lilly Gahl |
100% |
6.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.6 |
8.2 |
12.8 |
17.9 |
19.3 |
16.1 |
11.8 |
7.0 |
2.9 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
8.2 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.5 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
12.6 |
17.9 |
20.1 |
16.3 |
8.3 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jane Porzel |
100% |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Addy Hughes |
100% |
31.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
100% |
45.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Race |
100% |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Stelle Banwart |
4.2 |
|
3.9 |
14.8 |
24.2 |
28.6 |
18.3 |
8.5 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lilly Gahl |
4.9 |
|
2.0 |
8.3 |
16.1 |
26.2 |
27.7 |
16.1 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Letty Banwart |
6.1 |
|
0.3 |
2.3 |
5.6 |
12.1 |
24.0 |
41.3 |
9.8 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jane Porzel |
11.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
8.6 |
13.8 |
12.7 |
13.0 |
13.8 |
12.3 |
10.4 |
7.1 |
4.4 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Addy Hughes |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
7.5 |
10.5 |
13.5 |
15.4 |
13.2 |
11.3 |
7.3 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
21.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
4.3 |
6.8 |
8.9 |
11.4 |
12.7 |
12.1 |
10.7 |
8.2 |
7.0 |
| Megan Race |
21.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
7.7 |
10.4 |
11.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
9.9 |
7.9 |
|
