All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
| Team Rating |
338 | |
368 |
315 |
328 |
318 |
293 |
304 |
357 |
707 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
352 |
315 |
328 |
318 |
293 |
304 |
357 |
338 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| 99 |
Jack Albright |
11 |
16:28 |
16:33 |
16:36 |
16:16 |
16:22 |
16:30 |
16:23 |
16:22 |
16:35 |
|
| 153 |
Jackson Meneely |
12 |
16:47 |
16:45 |
17:00 |
16:52 |
17:21 |
16:27 |
16:17 |
16:56 |
16:43 |
|
| 156 |
Nate Corcoran |
12 |
16:48 |
16:44 |
|
16:54 |
16:53 |
16:42 |
16:51 |
16:38 |
16:51 |
|
| 160 |
Isaac Lindsay |
10 |
16:49 |
17:04 |
16:54 |
16:38 |
16:35 |
16:57 |
16:54 |
16:45 |
16:48 |
|
| 289 |
Ryan Demattos |
10 |
17:10 |
17:55 |
17:01 |
17:02 |
16:41 |
17:06 |
17:00 |
17:20 |
17:33 |
|
| 324 |
Patrick Dimmett |
12 |
17:16 |
18:05 |
17:03 |
17:31 |
17:17 |
17:16 |
16:56 |
17:05 |
17:28 |
|
| 401 |
Jacob Lock |
11 |
17:25 |
18:19 |
18:00 |
17:59 |
17:59 |
17:07 |
17:07 |
16:51 |
17:19 |
|
| 474 |
Drew Decamp |
9 |
17:34 |
|
17:38 |
17:37 |
|
17:38 |
17:27 |
17:34 |
17:36 |
17:25 |
| 548 |
Emerson Spillman |
12 |
17:43 |
18:08 |
17:53 |
17:29 |
17:39 |
17:45 |
17:17 |
18:02 |
17:41 |
17:41 |
| 571 |
Collin Wood |
12 |
17:45 |
17:53 |
17:45 |
17:36 |
17:30 |
17:22 |
17:32 |
17:42 |
18:05 |
18:20 |
| 595 |
Henry Miller |
11 |
17:48 |
18:14 |
18:03 |
17:42 |
17:33 |
17:55 |
17:27 |
18:03 |
17:54 |
17:34 |
| 725 |
Ben Beardsley |
11 |
18:04 |
17:19 |
|
|
18:00 |
17:49 |
18:04 |
18:26 |
17:50 |
18:18 |
| 744 |
James Palmer |
12 |
18:05 |
18:00 |
17:56 |
17:57 |
18:44 |
|
18:15 |
17:51 |
|
18:05 |
| 773 |
Paul Tucker |
12 |
18:08 |
18:29 |
18:24 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
17:54 |
18:00 |
18:01 |
17:48 |
18:48 |
| 784 |
Nathan Davison |
12 |
18:09 |
17:31 |
18:16 |
17:51 |
18:04 |
18:33 |
18:11 |
|
|
|
| 852 |
Ben Bruggers |
12 |
18:16 |
18:47 |
|
18:12 |
17:55 |
17:58 |
18:26 |
18:21 |
18:19 |
18:14 |
| 892 |
Carver Pank |
9 |
18:19 |
|
18:14 |
18:18 |
18:14 |
18:07 |
18:24 |
18:24 |
18:19 |
18:21 |
| 902 |
Colin Edington |
9 |
18:20 |
|
18:11 |
18:22 |
18:13 |
18:11 |
19:10 |
18:26 |
18:10 |
18:13 |
| 948 |
Sully Spillman |
10 |
18:24 |
17:39 |
|
19:11 |
19:42 |
19:21 |
18:19 |
18:23 |
17:54 |
18:10 |
| 1,016 |
Henry Schwering |
12 |
18:28 |
|
18:29 |
18:07 |
18:49 |
18:43 |
19:17 |
18:23 |
18:08 |
18:13 |
| 1,057 |
Jackson Daniel |
12 |
18:31 |
17:30 |
|
|
|
17:47 |
|
19:08 |
|
18:45 |
| 1,118 |
Harrison Prifogle |
11 |
18:37 |
18:48 |
|
18:45 |
18:54 |
18:50 |
18:25 |
18:28 |
18:10 |
18:41 |
| 1,178 |
Sam Longenberger |
12 |
18:42 |
17:58 |
18:41 |
18:39 |
18:10 |
18:23 |
19:17 |
19:16 |
|
|
| 1,181 |
Brian Potter |
12 |
18:42 |
|
20:20 |
18:45 |
18:46 |
19:09 |
18:47 |
18:33 |
18:14 |
|
| 1,209 |
Andrew McLemore |
12 |
18:45 |
|
18:56 |
|
19:01 |
18:54 |
18:36 |
18:44 |
18:20 |
|
| 1,214 |
Porter Shaw |
9 |
18:45 |
|
18:34 |
18:33 |
|
18:54 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
| 1,269 |
Isaac Evans |
9 |
18:49 |
|
18:58 |
19:06 |
19:01 |
18:41 |
18:36 |
18:44 |
18:42 |
|
|
Jack Glier |
9 |
19:04 |
|
19:04 |
18:59 |
19:19 |
18:38 |
19:02 |
19:01 |
19:01 |
19:19 |
|
Isaac Kiell |
12 |
19:05 |
|
19:26 |
19:09 |
18:53 |
18:56 |
19:28 |
18:41 |
19:27 |
18:46 |
|
Alek Baloski |
11 |
19:16 |
|
|
19:21 |
19:09 |
18:53 |
|
19:11 |
19:12 |
19:46 |
|
Finn Bull |
12 |
19:18 |
18:54 |
|
18:34 |
18:43 |
19:19 |
|
|
19:59 |
19:50 |
|
Holden Herendeen |
12 |
19:18 |
|
|
19:00 |
19:41 |
19:52 |
19:28 |
19:01 |
19:25 |
18:51 |
|
James Glier |
12 |
19:21 |
19:24 |
|
20:04 |
19:19 |
19:18 |
19:32 |
19:18 |
18:57 |
19:19 |
|
Andrew Knudsen |
12 |
19:33 |
|
19:48 |
19:17 |
20:24 |
19:32 |
19:31 |
19:12 |
20:25 |
18:46 |
|
Camden Ritter |
10 |
19:37 |
|
19:52 |
19:54 |
20:40 |
19:21 |
18:49 |
19:20 |
19:30 |
19:59 |
|
Harry Callahan |
12 |
19:42 |
|
|
18:53 |
19:33 |
19:29 |
20:20 |
|
20:03 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
34.3% |
14.8 |
385 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.7 |
184 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.9 |
9.1 |
21.0 |
48.4 |
11.7 |
3.0 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.9 |
76 |
0.2 |
14.7 |
77.7 |
7.0 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Albright |
96.9% |
95.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
95.3% |
96.9% |
| Jackson Meneely |
59.1% |
132.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.7% |
51.6% |
| Nate Corcoran |
56.2% |
134.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33.3% |
47.1% |
| Isaac Lindsay |
52.4% |
137.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27.4% |
42.0% |
| Ryan Demattos |
34.4% |
181.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
2.4% |
| Patrick Dimmett |
34.3% |
195.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.8% |
| Jacob Lock |
34.3% |
212.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Albright |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jackson Meneely |
100% |
35.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Corcoran |
100% |
36.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Lindsay |
100% |
38.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Demattos |
100% |
64.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Patrick Dimmett |
100% |
73.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Lock |
100% |
89.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Albright |
7.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.2 |
14.5 |
25.1 |
17.9 |
13.2 |
7.9 |
5.9 |
4.1 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Jackson Meneely |
13.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
3.6 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
9.8 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
| Nate Corcoran |
13.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.0 |
4.8 |
6.5 |
7.9 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
9.3 |
8.6 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
| Isaac Lindsay |
14.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
5.3 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
8.9 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
| Ryan Demattos |
23.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
8.9 |
10.1 |
| Patrick Dimmett |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
| Jacob Lock |
29.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
|
