Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.6#10
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#9
Pace64.5#242
Improvement+3.7#43

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#28
Improvement+2.2#73

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#11
Improvement+1.5#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 12.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 41.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.0% n/a n/a
Final Four14.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.2% n/a n/a
National Champion2.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 51   Connecticut L 62-66 71%     0 - 1 +5.8 -3.4 +9.0
  Nov 13, 2012 5   Kansas W 67-64 40%     1 - 1 +21.2 +10.2 +11.4
  Nov 18, 2012 170   Texas Southern W 69-41 95%     2 - 1 +24.5 -5.8 +30.7
  Nov 20, 2012 47   Boise St. W 74-70 80%     3 - 1 +10.8 +3.3 +7.7
  Nov 23, 2012 206   Oakland W 70-52 96%     4 - 1 +12.6 -8.9 +21.6
  Nov 25, 2012 233   Louisiana W 63-60 97%     5 - 1 -4.3 -12.1 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2012 12   @ Miami (FL) L 59-67 39%     5 - 2 +10.5 +4.7 +4.5
  Dec 01, 2012 288   Nicholls St. W 84-39 99%     6 - 2 +33.6 +8.5 +27.2
  Dec 05, 2012 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-44 98%     7 - 2 +21.4 +3.4 +19.2
  Dec 08, 2012 171   Loyola Chicago W 73-61 95%     8 - 2 +8.5 +6.3 +3.5
  Dec 18, 2012 210   @ Bowling Green W 64-53 91%     9 - 2 +11.8 -1.6 +14.1
  Dec 22, 2012 88   Texas W 67-56 89%     10 - 2 +13.2 -5.2 +18.0
  Dec 31, 2012 27   @ Minnesota L 63-76 50%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +2.6 -0.9 +3.3
  Jan 05, 2013 73   Purdue W 84-61 86%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +26.8 +11.7 +14.1
  Jan 10, 2013 36   @ Iowa W 62-59 54%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +17.6 -1.7 +19.4
  Jan 13, 2013 123   Nebraska W 66-56 92%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +9.6 -1.2 +11.5
  Jan 16, 2013 143   @ Penn St. W 81-72 84%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +13.8 +13.3 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2013 7   Ohio St. W 59-56 58%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +16.4 +0.3 +16.5
  Jan 22, 2013 14   @ Wisconsin W 49-47 39%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +20.4 +0.9 +20.0
  Jan 27, 2013 3   @ Indiana L 70-75 23%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +18.3 +5.4 +12.9
  Jan 31, 2013 48   Illinois W 80-75 80%     17 - 4 7 - 2 +11.8 +15.5 -3.4
  Feb 06, 2013 27   Minnesota W 61-50 73%     18 - 4 8 - 2 +20.1 +7.4 +15.4
  Feb 09, 2013 73   @ Purdue W 78-65 70%     19 - 4 9 - 2 +23.3 +16.2 +7.7
  Feb 12, 2013 9   Michigan W 75-52 60%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +35.9 +10.1 +27.5
  Feb 16, 2013 123   @ Nebraska W 73-64 81%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +15.1 +13.3 +2.9
  Feb 19, 2013 3   Indiana L 68-72 45%     21 - 5 11 - 3 +12.8 +1.3 +11.4
  Feb 24, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. L 60-68 34%     21 - 6 11 - 4 +11.9 +2.8 +8.4
  Mar 03, 2013 9   @ Michigan L 57-58 36%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +18.3 -5.1 +23.3
  Mar 07, 2013 14   Wisconsin W 58-43 64%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +26.9 +0.8 +27.6
  Mar 10, 2013 125   Northwestern W 71-61 92%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +9.5 +15.7 -3.7
  Mar 15, 2013 36   Iowa W 59-56 66%     24 - 7 +14.4 +0.6 +14.1
  Mar 16, 2013 7   Ohio St. L 58-61 46%     24 - 8 +13.6 +4.1 +9.0
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.5 12.4 29.5 49.6 8.4 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 12.4 29.5 49.6 8.4 0.1 100.0%