Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.3#16
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#13
Pace67.7#135
Improvement-5.8#347

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#16
Improvement-2.0#284

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#16
Improvement-3.8#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 64.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round81.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.7% n/a n/a
Final Four5.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 48   Minnesota W 81-68 69%     1 - 0 +22.3 +4.6 +4.6
  Nov 17, 2014 310   Jacksonville St. W 88-39 98%     2 - 0 +37.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Nov 21, 2014 271   Marshall W 85-67 97%     3 - 0 +9.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Nov 24, 2014 344   Savannah St. W 87-26 99%     4 - 0 +44.2 -8.4 -8.4
  Nov 26, 2014 114   Cleveland St. W 45-33 90%     5 - 0 +12.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 02, 2014 15   Ohio St. W 64-55 59%     6 - 0 +21.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 05, 2014 272   Florida International W 82-57 97%     7 - 0 +16.3 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 09, 2014 43   Indiana W 94-74 67%     8 - 0 +29.8 +4.9 +4.9
  Dec 14, 2014 178   UNC Wilmington W 68-57 95%     9 - 0 +7.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2014 144   @ Western Kentucky W 76-67 83%     10 - 0 +13.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 23, 2014 260   Cal St. Northridge W 80-55 97%     11 - 0 +16.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Dec 27, 2014 1   Kentucky L 50-58 25%     11 - 1 +13.4 +10.7 +10.7
  Dec 30, 2014 137   Long Beach St. W 63-48 92%     12 - 1 +13.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 04, 2015 117   @ Wake Forest W 85-76 78%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +15.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2015 77   Clemson W 58-52 85%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +9.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 10, 2015 9   @ North Carolina L 71-72 30%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +18.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Jan 13, 2015 159   Virginia Tech W 78-63 93%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +12.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 17, 2015 5   Duke L 52-63 40%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +5.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Jan 25, 2015 73   @ Pittsburgh W 80-68 68%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +21.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2015 91   @ Boston College W 81-72 74%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +16.7 +3.8 +3.8
  Jan 31, 2015 9   North Carolina W 78-68 OT 51%     18 - 3 6 - 2 +24.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Feb 03, 2015 41   @ Miami (FL) W 63-55 56%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +20.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 07, 2015 6   @ Virginia L 47-52 22%     19 - 4 7 - 3 +17.3 +11.1 +11.1
  Feb 11, 2015 73   Pittsburgh W 69-56 84%     20 - 4 8 - 3 +16.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 14, 2015 32   North Carolina St. L 65-74 72%     20 - 5 8 - 4 -0.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 18, 2015 56   @ Syracuse L 59-69 60%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +1.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 21, 2015 41   Miami (FL) W 55-53 76%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +9.1 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 23, 2015 85   @ Georgia Tech W 52-51 71%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +9.5 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 28, 2015 82   @ Florida St. W 81-59 71%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +30.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Mar 04, 2015 10   Notre Dame L 59-71 52%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +1.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Mar 07, 2015 6   Virginia W 59-57 42%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +18.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Mar 12, 2015 9   North Carolina L 60-70 40%     24 - 8 +6.9 +8.5 +8.5
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.5 13.7 50.8 27.1 7.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.5 13.7 50.8 27.1 7.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 100.0%