Pre-tourney Rankings
Duke
Atlantic Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.8#5
Expected Predictive Rating+22.2#4
Pace69.4#99
Improvement-2.0#262

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#5
Improvement-1.3#248

Defense
Total Defense+9.9#5
Improvement-0.7#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 10.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 59.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 98.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen77.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight55.5% n/a n/a
Final Four31.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game15.6% n/a n/a
National Champion7.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 327   Presbyterian W 113-44 99.5%    1 - 0 +54.4 -7.3 -7.3
  Nov 15, 2014 293   Fairfield W 109-59 99%     2 - 0 +40.1 -5.0 -5.0
  Nov 18, 2014 17   Michigan St. W 81-71 71%     3 - 0 +24.1 +7.1 +7.1
  Nov 21, 2014 68   Temple W 74-54 88%     4 - 0 +27.1 +3.5 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2014 50   Stanford W 70-59 84%     5 - 0 +20.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Nov 26, 2014 304   Furman W 93-54 99%     6 - 0 +27.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Nov 30, 2014 269   Army W 93-73 99%     7 - 0 +11.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Dec 03, 2014 3   @ Wisconsin W 80-70 34%     8 - 0 +33.9 +12.0 +12.0
  Dec 15, 2014 248   Elon W 75-62 99%     9 - 0 +5.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2014 67   Connecticut W 66-56 88%     10 - 0 +17.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2014 93   Toledo W 86-69 94%     11 - 0 +18.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 31, 2014 118   Wofford W 84-55 95%     12 - 0 +29.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Jan 03, 2015 91   Boston College W 85-62 94%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +24.9 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 07, 2015 117   @ Wake Forest W 73-65 89%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +14.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 11, 2015 32   @ North Carolina St. L 75-87 71%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +2.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 13, 2015 41   Miami (FL) L 74-90 88%     14 - 2 2 - 2 -8.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 17, 2015 16   @ Louisville W 63-52 60%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +28.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 19, 2015 73   Pittsburgh W 79-65 93%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +17.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2015 37   @ St. John's W 77-68 74%     17 - 2 +22.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 28, 2015 10   @ Notre Dame L 73-77 51%     17 - 3 4 - 3 +15.5 +9.8 +9.8
  Jan 31, 2015 6   @ Virginia W 69-63 41%     18 - 3 5 - 3 +28.3 +11.1 +11.1
  Feb 04, 2015 85   Georgia Tech W 72-66 94%     19 - 3 6 - 3 +8.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 07, 2015 10   Notre Dame W 90-60 72%     20 - 3 7 - 3 +43.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Feb 09, 2015 82   @ Florida St. W 73-70 85%     21 - 3 8 - 3 +11.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Feb 14, 2015 56   @ Syracuse W 80-72 78%     22 - 3 9 - 3 +19.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 18, 2015 9   North Carolina W 92-90 OT 71%     23 - 3 10 - 3 +16.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Feb 21, 2015 77   Clemson W 78-56 93%     24 - 3 11 - 3 +25.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 25, 2015 159   @ Virginia Tech W 91-86 OT 93%     25 - 3 12 - 3 +8.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Feb 28, 2015 56   Syracuse W 73-54 90%     26 - 3 13 - 3 +24.9 +3.0 +3.0
  Mar 04, 2015 117   Wake Forest W 94-51 95%     27 - 3 14 - 3 +43.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Mar 07, 2015 9   @ North Carolina W 84-77 50%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +26.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Mar 12, 2015 32   North Carolina St. W 77-53 80%     29 - 3 +35.1 +5.5 +5.5
  Mar 13, 2015 10   Notre Dame L 64-74 62%     29 - 4 +6.6 +8.3 +8.3
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.4 59.5 39.2 1.3 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.4 59.5 39.2 1.3 0.0 100.0%