Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+21.1#3
Expected Predictive Rating+21.8#6
Pace55.3#345
Improvement-1.0#226

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#3
Improvement+0.3#164

Defense
Total Defense+10.5#3
Improvement-1.3#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 16.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 70.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen81.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight62.3% n/a n/a
Final Four39.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game22.5% n/a n/a
National Champion11.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 244   Northern Kentucky W 62-31 99%     1 - 0 +23.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2014 162   Chattanooga W 89-45 98%     2 - 0 +41.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2014 79   Green Bay W 84-60 94%     3 - 0 +27.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2014 51   Boise St. W 78-54 91%     4 - 0 +30.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2014 129   UAB W 72-43 95%     5 - 0 +31.3 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2014 21   Georgetown W 68-65 78%     6 - 0 +16.0 +6.5 +6.5
  Nov 28, 2014 12   Oklahoma W 69-56 67%     7 - 0 +29.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2014 5   Duke L 70-80 66%     7 - 1 +6.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Dec 06, 2014 90   @ Marquette W 49-38 89%     8 - 1 +18.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2014 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 93-54 96%     9 - 1 +39.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 13, 2014 328   Nicholls St. W 86-43 99.6%    10 - 1 +28.1 -7.4 -7.4
  Dec 22, 2014 108   @ California W 68-56 90%     11 - 1 +18.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Dec 28, 2014 61   Buffalo W 68-56 93%     12 - 1 +17.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 31, 2014 76   Penn St. W 89-72 94%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +20.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2015 95   @ Northwestern W 81-58 89%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +30.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2015 38   Purdue W 62-55 89%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +14.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2015 177   @ Rutgers L 62-67 95%     15 - 2 3 - 1 -3.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 15, 2015 103   Nebraska W 70-55 96%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +16.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 20, 2015 22   Iowa W 82-50 85%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +42.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 24, 2015 64   @ Michigan W 69-64 OT 84%     18 - 2 6 - 1 +15.3 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 31, 2015 22   @ Iowa W 74-63 69%     19 - 2 7 - 1 +26.9 +7.9 +7.9
  Feb 03, 2015 43   Indiana W 92-78 90%     20 - 2 8 - 1 +20.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 07, 2015 95   Northwestern W 65-50 95%     21 - 2 9 - 1 +16.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 10, 2015 103   @ Nebraska W 65-55 90%     22 - 2 10 - 1 +16.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2015 49   Illinois W 68-49 91%     23 - 2 11 - 1 +25.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 18, 2015 76   @ Penn St. W 55-47 87%     24 - 2 12 - 1 +17.1 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 21, 2015 48   Minnesota W 63-53 91%     25 - 2 13 - 1 +16.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 24, 2015 31   @ Maryland L 53-59 75%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +8.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Mar 01, 2015 17   Michigan St. W 68-61 82%     26 - 3 14 - 2 +18.3 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 05, 2015 48   @ Minnesota W 76-63 80%     27 - 3 15 - 2 +25.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Mar 08, 2015 15   @ Ohio St. W 72-48 63%     28 - 3 16 - 2 +41.8 +8.9 +8.9
  Mar 13, 2015 64   Michigan W 71-60 89%     29 - 3 +18.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 14, 2015 38   Purdue W 71-51 84%     30 - 3 +30.3 +5.1 +5.1
  Mar 15, 2015 17   Michigan St. W 80-69 OT 75%     31 - 3 +25.1 +7.1 +7.1
Projected Record 31.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 2.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 70.0 29.5 0.5
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.3 70.0 29.5 0.5