Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#129
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#145
Pace67.7#136
Improvement+4.5#24

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#129
Improvement+3.7#25

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#129
Improvement+0.8#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 176   Louisiana Monroe L 65-74 72%     0 - 1 -12.7 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 20, 2014 255   South Florida L 71-73 OT 83%     0 - 2 -10.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2014 313   Jackson St. W 58-50 91%     1 - 2 -4.2 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 26, 2014 3   Wisconsin L 43-72 5%     1 - 3 -7.9 +10.5 +10.5
  Nov 27, 2014 39   Florida L 47-56 22%     1 - 4 +1.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Nov 28, 2014 40   UCLA L 76-88 23%     1 - 5 -1.8 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 04, 2014 153   Morehead St. W 58-48 67%     2 - 5 +7.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 07, 2014 72   Illinois St. L 74-78 45%     2 - 6 -0.3 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 14, 2014 247   UNC Asheville W 79-71 83%     3 - 6 +0.3 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2014 36   LSU L 70-79 30%     3 - 7 -1.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 22, 2014 162   @ Chattanooga L 67-83 48%     3 - 8 -13.2 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 27, 2014 9   @ North Carolina L 58-89 6%     3 - 9 -11.2 +9.9 +9.9
  Jan 04, 2015 150   @ Middle Tennessee W 54-49 44%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +8.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2015 292   Florida Atlantic W 66-57 87%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -0.9 -4.9 -4.9
  Jan 10, 2015 272   Florida International W 70-53 85%     6 - 9 3 - 0 +8.3 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 15, 2015 84   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-74 27%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +5.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 17, 2015 303   @ Southern Miss W 63-56 77%     7 - 10 4 - 1 +1.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 22, 2015 147   Charlotte W 81-76 OT 64%     8 - 10 5 - 1 +3.5 -0.7 -0.7
  Jan 24, 2015 70   Old Dominion W 81-68 44%     9 - 10 6 - 1 +16.7 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 29, 2015 99   @ UTEP L 69-71 32%     9 - 11 6 - 2 +5.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Jan 31, 2015 205   @ Texas San Antonio W 65-57 56%     10 - 11 7 - 2 +8.7 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 05, 2015 84   Louisiana Tech W 80-60 48%     11 - 11 8 - 2 +22.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 07, 2015 303   Southern Miss W 78-68 89%     12 - 11 9 - 2 -1.1 -5.6 -5.6
  Feb 12, 2015 232   @ North Texas L 64-67 62%     12 - 12 9 - 3 -3.9 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 14, 2015 198   @ Rice L 73-82 2OT 55%     12 - 13 9 - 4 -7.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 19, 2015 144   Western Kentucky W 71-66 64%     13 - 13 10 - 4 +3.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Feb 21, 2015 271   Marshall W 72-54 85%     14 - 13 11 - 4 +9.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Feb 28, 2015 150   Middle Tennessee W 100-95 3OT 66%     15 - 13 12 - 4 +3.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Mar 05, 2015 292   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-62 73%     15 - 14 12 - 5 -7.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Mar 07, 2015 272   @ Florida International L 66-70 69%     15 - 15 12 - 6 -6.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Mar 12, 2015 144   Western Kentucky W 53-52 53%     16 - 15 +2.5 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 13, 2015 84   Louisiana Tech W 72-62 OT 37%     17 - 15 +15.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 14, 2015 150   Middle Tennessee W 73-60 55%     18 - 15 +14.0 +0.5 +0.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.4 5.4 50.5 42.3 1.8
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.4 5.4 50.5 42.3 1.8