Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#93
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#102
Pace70.9#66
Improvement-2.4#276

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#93
Improvement+0.6#151

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#93
Improvement-2.9#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 202   Northern Arizona W 71-58 82%     1 - 0 +8.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2014 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 78-87 20%     1 - 1 +4.7 +6.8 +6.8
  Nov 21, 2014 47   @ Oregon L 68-78 23%     1 - 2 +2.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Nov 24, 2014 201   Bucknell W 92-65 82%     2 - 2 +22.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 25, 2014 190   Detroit Mercy L 79-82 73%     2 - 3 -4.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Nov 29, 2014 157   @ Oakland L 79-81 56%     2 - 4 +1.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Dec 03, 2014 114   @ Cleveland St. W 59-54 44%     3 - 4 +11.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Dec 06, 2014 326   Chicago St. W 87-59 95%     4 - 4 +13.7 -7.2 -7.2
  Dec 13, 2014 298   Arkansas St. W 73-65 92%     5 - 4 -2.7 -5.3 -5.3
  Dec 17, 2014 182   Robert Morris W 83-57 80%     6 - 4 +21.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2014 300   @ McNeese St. W 83-69 82%     7 - 4 +9.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 29, 2014 5   @ Duke L 69-86 6%     7 - 5 +5.7 +11.3 +11.3
  Jan 03, 2015 244   @ Northern Kentucky W 57-55 73%     8 - 5 +0.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 06, 2015 88   Central Michigan L 62-65 59%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -0.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 09, 2015 106   Akron W 84-67 64%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +18.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 14, 2015 224   @ Ohio W 80-73 69%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +6.7 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 17, 2015 140   Western Michigan L 78-81 OT 71%     10 - 7 2 - 2 -4.1 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2015 125   @ Kent St. L 60-67 47%     10 - 8 2 - 3 -1.4 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 24, 2015 101   Bowling Green W 71-67 63%     11 - 8 3 - 3 +5.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2015 211   Miami (OH) W 70-65 82%     12 - 8 4 - 3 -0.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 31, 2015 171   @ Northern Illinois W 80-69 59%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +13.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 04, 2015 130   Eastern Michigan W 84-60 70%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +23.3 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 07, 2015 249   @ Ball St. W 72-61 74%     15 - 8 7 - 3 +9.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2015 61   @ Buffalo W 92-88 28%     16 - 8 8 - 3 +14.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 13, 2015 125   Kent St. L 75-76 OT 68%     16 - 9 8 - 4 -1.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 18, 2015 106   @ Akron W 68-66 42%     17 - 9 9 - 4 +8.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 21, 2015 140   @ Western Michigan W 97-87 50%     18 - 9 10 - 4 +14.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2015 171   Northern Illinois L 82-84 78%     18 - 10 10 - 5 -5.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 28, 2015 249   Ball St. W 70-59 88%     19 - 10 11 - 5 +3.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Mar 03, 2015 88   @ Central Michigan L 77-85 37%     19 - 11 11 - 6 +0.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Mar 06, 2015 130   @ Eastern Michigan L 59-85 49%     19 - 12 11 - 7 -20.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Mar 12, 2015 130   Eastern Michigan W 78-67 60%     20 - 12 +13.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Mar 13, 2015 88   Central Michigan L 66-75 47%     20 - 13 -3.6 +2.7 +2.7
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%