Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#47
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#24
Pace70.5#75
Improvement+1.5#113

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#47
Improvement+3.3#33

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#47
Improvement-1.7#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 11.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.5% n/a n/a
Second Round44.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 335   Coppin St. W 107-65 98%     1 - 0 +26.1 -7.9 -7.9
  Nov 17, 2014 190   Detroit Mercy W 83-66 90%     2 - 0 +12.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 21, 2014 93   Toledo W 78-68 77%     3 - 0 +11.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 24, 2014 64   Michigan L 63-70 58%     3 - 1 +0.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 25, 2014 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-77 45%     3 - 2 -3.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 30, 2014 264   Portland St. W 81-59 94%     4 - 2 +13.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Dec 07, 2014 44   Mississippi L 73-79 60%     4 - 3 +0.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Dec 13, 2014 49   @ Illinois W 77-70 40%     5 - 3 +19.1 +6.1 +6.1
  Dec 17, 2014 260   Cal St. Northridge W 79-56 94%     6 - 3 +14.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Dec 20, 2014 282   Delaware St. W 83-70 95%     7 - 3 +3.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2014 109   UC Santa Barbara W 82-78 OT 80%     8 - 3 +4.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 29, 2014 102   UC Irvine W 69-67 OT 79%     9 - 3 +3.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 03, 2015 96   Oregon St. W 71-59 78%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +13.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 08, 2015 2   Arizona L 62-80 18%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +1.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Jan 10, 2015 65   Arizona St. W 59-56 69%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +7.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Jan 15, 2015 167   @ Washington St. L 99-108 OT 74%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -6.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 18, 2015 116   @ Washington L 77-85 62%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -1.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 22, 2015 142   USC W 75-67 84%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +6.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 24, 2015 40   UCLA W 82-64 59%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +25.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 28, 2015 2   @ Arizona L 56-90 8%     13 - 7 4 - 4 -8.9 +12.6 +12.6
  Jan 30, 2015 65   @ Arizona St. W 68-67 OT 47%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +11.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 04, 2015 116   Washington W 78-74 80%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +4.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 08, 2015 167   Washington St. W 95-72 88%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +19.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Feb 11, 2015 142   @ USC W 80-75 69%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +9.5 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 14, 2015 40   @ UCLA L 63-72 37%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +4.1 +6.5 +6.5
  Feb 18, 2015 83   Colorado W 73-60 74%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +15.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 22, 2015 8   Utah W 69-58 32%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +25.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 25, 2015 108   @ California W 80-69 61%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +17.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Mar 01, 2015 50   @ Stanford W 73-70 40%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +15.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Mar 04, 2015 96   @ Oregon St. W 65-62 59%     22 - 8 13 - 5 +10.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 12, 2015 83   Colorado W 93-85 65%     23 - 8 +13.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 13, 2015 8   Utah W 67-64 23%     24 - 8 +20.4 +8.7 +8.7
  Mar 14, 2015 2   Arizona L 52-80 12%     24 - 9 -5.8 +11.1 +11.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 97.5% 97.5% 7.8 0.1 1.8 9.6 25.1 35.1 21.8 3.9 0.2 2.5 97.5%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 7.8 0.1 1.8 9.6 25.1 35.1 21.8 3.9 0.2 2.5 97.5%