Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.4#6
Expected Predictive Rating+22.2#5
Pace53.7#349
Improvement-4.3#337

Offense
Total Offense+9.7#6
Improvement-5.6#346

Defense
Total Defense+9.7#6
Improvement+1.3#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 5.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 42.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 94.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen75.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight52.6% n/a n/a
Final Four28.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game14.4% n/a n/a
National Champion6.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 209   @ James Madison W 79-51 95%     1 - 0 +28.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 16, 2014 212   Norfolk St. W 67-39 98%     2 - 0 +22.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 18, 2014 343   South Carolina St. W 75-55 99.6%    3 - 0 +3.4 -8.3 -8.3
  Nov 21, 2014 69   George Washington W 59-42 92%     4 - 0 +20.9 +1.9 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2014 331   Tennessee St. W 79-36 99.5%    5 - 0 +27.9 -7.6 -7.6
  Nov 28, 2014 100   La Salle W 64-56 91%     6 - 0 +12.3 +2.1 +2.1
  Nov 29, 2014 177   Rutgers W 45-26 96%     7 - 0 +18.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 03, 2014 31   @ Maryland W 76-65 70%     8 - 0 +25.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 06, 2014 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 74-57 71%     9 - 0 +30.7 +6.8 +6.8
  Dec 18, 2014 114   Cleveland St. W 70-54 95%     10 - 0 +16.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 21, 2014 94   Harvard W 76-27 94%     11 - 0 +50.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 30, 2014 30   Davidson W 83-72 85%     12 - 0 +19.3 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 03, 2015 41   @ Miami (FL) W 89-80 2OT 74%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +21.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 07, 2015 32   North Carolina St. W 61-51 85%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +18.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 10, 2015 10   @ Notre Dame W 62-56 49%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +25.5 +9.8 +9.8
  Jan 13, 2015 77   Clemson W 65-42 92%     16 - 0 4 - 0 +26.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 17, 2015 91   @ Boston College W 66-51 86%     17 - 0 5 - 0 +22.7 +3.8 +3.8
  Jan 22, 2015 85   Georgia Tech W 57-28 93%     18 - 0 6 - 0 +31.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2015 159   @ Virginia Tech W 50-47 93%     19 - 0 7 - 0 +6.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 31, 2015 5   Duke L 63-69 59%     19 - 1 7 - 1 +10.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Feb 02, 2015 9   @ North Carolina W 75-64 48%     20 - 1 8 - 1 +30.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Feb 07, 2015 16   Louisville W 52-47 78%     21 - 1 9 - 1 +16.5 +5.7 +5.7
  Feb 11, 2015 32   @ North Carolina St. W 51-47 70%     22 - 1 10 - 1 +18.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Feb 14, 2015 117   Wake Forest W 61-60 95%     23 - 1 11 - 1 +1.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 16, 2015 73   Pittsburgh W 61-49 92%     24 - 1 12 - 1 +15.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 22, 2015 82   Florida St. W 51-41 93%     25 - 1 13 - 1 +12.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 25, 2015 117   @ Wake Forest W 70-34 89%     26 - 1 14 - 1 +42.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 28, 2015 159   Virginia Tech W 69-57 97%     27 - 1 15 - 1 +9.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 02, 2015 56   @ Syracuse W 59-47 77%     28 - 1 16 - 1 +23.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Mar 07, 2015 16   @ Louisville L 57-59 58%     28 - 2 16 - 2 +15.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Mar 12, 2015 82   Florida St. W 58-44 89%     29 - 2 +19.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 13, 2015 9   North Carolina L 67-71 59%     29 - 3 +12.9 +8.5 +8.5
Projected Record 29.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.6 42.5 51.4 6.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.6 42.5 51.4 6.0 0.0 100.0%