Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#30
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#32
Pace70.9#70
Improvement-0.7#207

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#30
Improvement-1.0#224

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#30
Improvement+0.3#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% n/a n/a
First Round89.3% n/a n/a
Second Round42.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2014 307   Campbell W 86-51 97%     1 - 0 +23.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2014 9   North Carolina L 72-90 29%     1 - 1 -1.1 +8.5 +8.5
  Nov 26, 2014 267   @ Central Florida W 95-69 90%     2 - 1 +23.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 29, 2014 178   UNC Wilmington W 72-49 91%     3 - 1 +19.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 03, 2014 147   Charlotte W 92-86 88%     4 - 1 +4.5 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 06, 2014 333   Stetson W 90-59 99%     5 - 1 +15.3 -7.8 -7.8
  Dec 10, 2014 174   @ Montana W 110-99 80%     6 - 1 +13.3 +1.1 +1.1
  Dec 13, 2014 299   Niagara W 78-58 97%     7 - 1 +9.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 20, 2014 281   @ College of Charleston W 80-68 91%     8 - 1 +8.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 30, 2014 6   @ Virginia L 72-83 15%     8 - 2 +11.3 +11.1 +11.1
  Jan 03, 2015 62   Richmond W 81-67 73%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +19.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 07, 2015 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-71 40%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +7.7 +6.8 +6.8
  Jan 10, 2015 268   Saint Louis W 89-54 96%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +26.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Jan 14, 2015 121   @ Massachusetts W 71-63 70%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +13.7 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 17, 2015 62   @ Richmond L 63-89 52%     11 - 4 3 - 2 -15.3 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 20, 2015 54   Dayton W 77-60 69%     12 - 4 4 - 2 +23.2 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 24, 2015 195   @ George Mason W 80-73 OT 83%     13 - 4 5 - 2 +8.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 31, 2015 158   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-75 78%     13 - 5 5 - 3 -1.9 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 04, 2015 105   St. Bonaventure L 61-62 83%     13 - 6 5 - 4 +0.1 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 07, 2015 207   Duquesne W 95-69 93%     14 - 6 6 - 4 +20.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 11, 2015 195   George Mason W 92-71 92%     15 - 6 7 - 4 +16.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 14, 2015 100   @ La Salle W 77-69 65%     16 - 6 8 - 4 +15.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 18, 2015 69   @ George Washington W 65-63 56%     17 - 6 9 - 4 +11.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Feb 21, 2015 188   Fordham W 76-57 92%     18 - 6 10 - 4 +14.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 25, 2015 59   @ Rhode Island W 60-59 51%     19 - 6 11 - 4 +11.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 28, 2015 69   George Washington W 77-66 76%     20 - 6 12 - 4 +14.9 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 05, 2015 34   Virginia Commonwealth W 82-55 63%     21 - 6 13 - 4 +34.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Mar 07, 2015 207   @ Duquesne W 107-78 84%     22 - 6 14 - 4 +29.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 13, 2015 100   La Salle W 67-66 75%     23 - 6 +5.3 +2.1 +2.1
  Mar 14, 2015 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 73-93 52%     23 - 7 -9.2 +5.4 +5.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 91.0% 91.0% 9.7 0.0 0.1 1.4 8.4 26.2 38.1 16.5 0.3 9.0 91.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.0% 0.0% 91.0% 9.7 0.0 0.1 1.4 8.4 26.2 38.1 16.5 0.3 9.0 91.0%