Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
99 Akron 0.6%   25 - 8 13 - 5 25 - 8 13 - 5 +5.6      +3.7 86 +1.8 118 68.9 204 +6.8 88 +5.0 1
128 Toledo 0.0%   16 - 15 8 - 10 16 - 15 8 - 10 +2.5      +2.3 113 +0.1 173 71.7 134 -0.8 173 -1.5 9
136 Buffalo 100.0%   14   19 - 14 10 - 8 19 - 14 10 - 8 +1.9      +0.7 158 +1.3 139 78.6 26 +2.6 130 +1.2 6
137 Ohio 0.0%   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +1.9      +4.5 71 -2.6 238 73.0 98 +3.0 125 +2.5 2
157 Central Michigan 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 +0.5      +3.8 84 -3.4 264 67.0 253 -0.9 177 +1.4 3
159 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   14 - 15 9 - 9 14 - 15 9 - 9 +0.3      +1.3 144 -0.9 195 74.4 80 +0.7 156 +0.2 8
160 Ball St. 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +0.2      -0.7 188 +0.9 148 63.6 324 -0.3 169 +1.3 5
163 Northern Illinois 0.0%   17 - 12 9 - 9 17 - 12 9 - 9 -0.2      -2.9 242 +2.7 105 70.5 159 +1.4 145 +0.6 7
182 Kent St. 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 -1.1      +0.8 152 -1.9 221 69.0 201 +1.3 147 +1.4 4
184 Western Michigan 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -1.4      -1.2 199 -0.1 182 70.6 157 -3.2 213 -2.8 10
244 Miami (OH) 0.0%   12 - 20 6 - 12 12 - 20 6 - 12 -4.8      -5.2 303 +0.3 167 63.1 329 -3.5 216 -3.4 11
246 Bowling Green 0.0%   13 - 18 5 - 13 13 - 18 5 - 13 -4.8      -2.9 240 -2.0 224 70.7 156 -2.8 207 -5.1 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 1.0 100.0
Toledo 9.0 100.0
Buffalo 3.0 100.0
Ohio 2.0 100.0
Central Michigan 3.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 7.0 100.0
Ball St. 3.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Western Michigan 10.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 11.0 100.0
Bowling Green 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 13 - 5 100.0
Toledo 8 - 10 100.0
Buffalo 10 - 8 100.0
Ohio 11 - 7 100.0
Central Michigan 10 - 8 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Ball St. 10 - 8 100.0
Northern Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
Kent St. 10 - 8 100.0
Western Michigan 7 - 11 100.0
Miami (OH) 6 - 12 100.0
Bowling Green 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Toledo
Buffalo
Ohio
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Ball St.
Northern Illinois
Kent St.
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.4 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.6%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 1.9 64.1 34.0
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.4 0.6
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
2nd Round 6.2% 0.1 93.8 6.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0