Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#173
Pace71.7#134
Improvement-0.8#215

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot+2.5#101
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#188
Layup/Dunks-1.3#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#138
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-3.3#310

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#173
First Shot-1.4#212
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#46
Layups/Dunks+0.9#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#322
Freethrows+2.2#51
Improvement+2.5#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2015 289   @ Youngstown St. W 100-78 77%     1 - 0 +16.7 +7.9 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2015 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-69 51%     1 - 1 -4.8 -7.1 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2015 248   San Jose St. W 89-74 76%     2 - 1 +10.0 +8.6 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2015 175   Loyola Chicago W 82-74 62%     3 - 1 +7.2 +13.3 -5.8
  Nov 28, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee L 70-78 50%     3 - 2 -5.6 +4.8 -11.0
  Dec 02, 2015 281   Cleveland St. W 76-65 89%     4 - 2 +0.2 +6.4 -5.8
  Dec 06, 2015 122   @ Green Bay W 71-69 37%     5 - 2 +7.8 -1.6 +9.3
  Dec 09, 2015 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 72-75 52%     5 - 3 -1.0 -4.3 +3.3
  Dec 12, 2015 88   Oakland L 64-76 46%     5 - 4 -8.5 -15.4 +7.4
  Dec 19, 2015 312   Bethune-Cookman W 102-68 92%     6 - 4 +20.9 +17.7 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 95-62 95%     7 - 4 +16.5 +5.5 +8.1
  Dec 30, 2015 255   Northern Kentucky W 90-73 85%     8 - 4 +8.3 +11.3 -3.1
  Jan 06, 2016 160   @ Ball St. L 69-87 47%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -14.9 +0.4 -15.7
  Jan 09, 2016 244   @ Miami (OH) W 84-76 66%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +6.1 +9.8 -4.0
  Jan 12, 2016 163   Northern Illinois L 66-71 71%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -8.2 -6.1 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2016 99   Akron W 78-64 49%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +16.7 +7.6 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2016 246   @ Bowling Green W 81-74 66%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +5.1 +5.1 -0.2
  Jan 22, 2016 163   @ Northern Illinois L 49-58 49%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -6.3 -22.6 +16.8
  Jan 26, 2016 137   Ohio L 79-81 63%     11 - 8 3 - 4 -3.0 -0.8 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2016 136   Buffalo L 68-73 63%     11 - 9 3 - 5 -6.0 -10.4 +4.8
  Feb 02, 2016 184   Western Michigan W 89-62 74%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +22.7 +15.5 +7.5
  Feb 06, 2016 182   @ Kent St. W 82-67 52%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +16.8 +15.4 +2.6
  Feb 09, 2016 136   @ Buffalo W 71-69 41%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +6.8 +0.8 +6.0
  Feb 13, 2016 244   Miami (OH) W 93-49 83%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +36.3 +19.6 +16.9
  Feb 16, 2016 157   @ Central Michigan L 69-77 47%     15 - 10 7 - 6 -4.6 -10.7 +6.6
  Feb 20, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan L 85-91 47%     15 - 11 7 - 7 -2.7 +13.6 -16.4
  Feb 23, 2016 160   Ball St. W 77-67 69%     16 - 11 8 - 7 +7.3 +6.4 +1.3
  Feb 27, 2016 157   Central Michigan L 74-76 68%     16 - 12 8 - 8 -4.5 +1.3 -5.9
  Mar 01, 2016 184   @ Western Michigan L 64-70 54%     16 - 13 8 - 9 -4.4 -10.1 +5.9
  Mar 04, 2016 159   Eastern Michigan L 75-79 69%     16 - 14 8 - 10 -6.6 -4.3 -2.0
  Mar 07, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan L 60-69 47%     16 - 15 -5.7 -12.1 +6.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%