Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#136
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#130
Pace78.6#26
Improvement+3.7#40

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#158
First Shot+0.1#166
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#133
Layup/Dunks+2.3#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows+2.0#47
Improvement+3.6#26

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#139
First Shot+0.6#158
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#106
Layups/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
Freethrows-0.2#183
Improvement+0.1#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2015 118   @ Old Dominion L 58-77 34%     0 - 1 -13.0 -11.5 -1.1
  Nov 18, 2015 44   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-89 14%     0 - 2 -8.4 -5.5 -1.6
  Nov 21, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 86-68 92%     1 - 2 +4.4 +10.3 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2015 152   Vermont W 77-71 54%     2 - 2 +6.8 +0.4 +6.2
  Nov 28, 2015 231   Canisius W 98-96 OT 80%     3 - 2 -5.0 +0.2 -5.6
  Dec 02, 2015 83   St. Bonaventure L 58-60 42%     3 - 3 +1.9 -14.4 +16.2
  Dec 05, 2015 17   @ Duke L 59-82 7%     3 - 4 -4.4 -12.6 +9.8
  Dec 07, 2015 18   @ Iowa St. L 63-84 7%     3 - 5 -2.7 -10.8 +10.1
  Dec 12, 2015 317   Binghamton W 80-64 92%     4 - 5 +2.3 +3.0 -1.4
  Dec 19, 2015 252   Montana St. W 80-73 83%     5 - 5 -1.4 -9.6 +7.4
  Dec 22, 2015 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-90 12%     5 - 6 -6.4 -5.6 +2.4
  Dec 29, 2015 270   Delaware W 99-79 86%     6 - 6 +10.3 +6.9 +0.7
  Jan 05, 2016 99   Akron L 71-75 47%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -1.3 +1.5 -3.0
  Jan 08, 2016 182   @ Kent St. W 76-67 50%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +10.8 -0.8 +11.2
  Jan 12, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-81 45%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -8.7 -8.3 +0.4
  Jan 16, 2016 157   Central Michigan W 74-61 66%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +10.5 -5.6 +15.8
  Jan 19, 2016 244   @ Miami (OH) W 77-60 64%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +15.1 +10.5 +5.6
  Jan 23, 2016 184   @ Western Michigan L 71-91 51%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -18.4 -1.7 -16.4
  Jan 26, 2016 160   Ball St. W 76-64 67%     10 - 9 4 - 3 +9.3 +1.5 +7.6
  Jan 30, 2016 128   @ Toledo W 73-68 37%     11 - 9 5 - 3 +10.4 -4.0 +14.0
  Feb 02, 2016 163   @ Northern Illinois W 90-78 47%     12 - 9 6 - 3 +14.7 +8.2 +4.7
  Feb 06, 2016 159   Eastern Michigan W 80-70 67%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +7.4 -1.0 +7.7
  Feb 09, 2016 128   Toledo L 69-71 59%     13 - 10 7 - 4 -2.4 -5.2 +2.8
  Feb 12, 2016 137   Ohio L 75-94 61%     13 - 11 7 - 5 -20.0 -9.3 -8.8
  Feb 16, 2016 99   @ Akron L 70-80 26%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -1.5 -1.4 +0.1
  Feb 20, 2016 246   Bowling Green W 88-74 82%     14 - 12 8 - 6 +6.3 +4.9 +0.2
  Feb 23, 2016 182   Kent St. W 87-70 72%     15 - 12 9 - 6 +13.0 +8.4 +4.1
  Feb 27, 2016 137   @ Ohio L 96-103 OT 39%     15 - 13 9 - 7 -2.2 +2.7 -3.5
  Mar 01, 2016 244   Miami (OH) L 59-67 82%     15 - 14 9 - 8 -15.7 -13.5 -2.4
  Mar 04, 2016 246   @ Bowling Green W 87-83 65%     16 - 14 10 - 8 +2.1 +8.2 -6.4
  Mar 10, 2016 244   Miami (OH) W 94-81 74%     17 - 14 +8.2 +13.7 -6.6
  Mar 11, 2016 137   Ohio W 88-74 50%     18 - 14 +15.9 +8.3 +6.9
  Mar 12, 2016 99   Akron W 64-61 36%     19 - 14 +8.6 -4.5 +13.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.3 0.0 1.9 64.1 34.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 1.9 64.1 34.0