Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#252
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#248
Pace70.9#150
Improvement+1.6#116

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#156
First Shot+0.4#159
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks-4.0#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#23
Freethrows-2.8#328
Improvement-0.4#199

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#321
First Shot-6.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#223
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement+1.9#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 68   @ Hawaii L 76-87 7%     0 - 1 +0.1 +7.1 -6.7
  Nov 15, 2015 141   Nevada L 62-83 24%     0 - 2 -19.2 -5.1 -14.1
  Nov 20, 2015 248   San Jose St. W 81-69 60%     1 - 2 +4.0 +2.6 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2015 164   Wyoming W 83-82 41%     2 - 2 -2.2 +11.5 -13.6
  Nov 28, 2015 164   @ Wyoming L 68-82 22%     2 - 3 -11.4 -2.3 -9.8
  Dec 01, 2015 282   @ Utah Valley W 76-72 48%     3 - 3 -1.0 -8.8 +7.4
  Dec 06, 2015 147   Nebraska Omaha L 97-100 36%     3 - 4 -4.9 +6.2 -10.7
  Dec 13, 2015 248   @ San Jose St. W 91-83 37%     4 - 4 +5.9 +8.2 -3.4
  Dec 16, 2015 158   @ North Dakota St. L 64-73 20%     4 - 5 -5.7 -1.0 -5.2
  Dec 19, 2015 136   @ Buffalo L 73-80 17%     4 - 6 -2.2 -5.5 +4.1
  Dec 22, 2015 38   @ Syracuse L 60-82 4%     4 - 7 -7.6 -5.1 -2.4
  Dec 31, 2015 342   @ Southern Utah L 82-93 72%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -22.5 -1.0 -21.2
  Jan 02, 2016 345   @ Northern Arizona W 74-72 OT 73%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -10.0 -10.9 +0.7
  Jan 07, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 71-64 68%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -3.5 +1.2 -4.0
  Jan 09, 2016 259   Portland St. L 70-77 63%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -16.0 -14.7 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 68-85 28%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -16.5 -4.6 -11.3
  Jan 16, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado L 76-78 56%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -9.1 -4.1 -4.9
  Jan 21, 2016 205   Eastern Washington W 85-71 51%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +8.2 -0.1 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2016 217   Idaho W 70-68 53%     8 - 11 4 - 4 -4.3 +1.3 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2016 153   Montana L 72-80 37%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -10.1 +3.8 -14.6
  Feb 04, 2016 259   @ Portland St. L 68-83 41%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -18.2 -10.3 -7.4
  Feb 06, 2016 278   @ Sacramento St. W 79-76 47%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -1.6 -0.3 -1.5
  Feb 11, 2016 345   Northern Arizona W 101-58 87%     10 - 13 6 - 6 +25.2 +28.6 +0.3
  Feb 13, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 80-73 86%     11 - 13 7 - 6 -10.3 -2.4 -7.8
  Feb 20, 2016 153   @ Montana L 78-87 19%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -5.3 +0.8 -5.5
  Feb 25, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 60-68 19%     11 - 15 7 - 8 -4.1 -9.2 +5.1
  Feb 27, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. L 69-76 46%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -11.5 -2.7 -9.0
  Mar 03, 2016 310   Northern Colorado W 81-63 76%     12 - 16 8 - 9 +5.1 +1.8 +3.9
  Mar 05, 2016 200   North Dakota W 89-82 49%     13 - 16 9 - 9 +1.7 +7.8 -6.8
  Mar 08, 2016 278   Sacramento St. L 75-79 58%     13 - 17 -11.5 +0.2 -11.8
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%