Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 UNC Asheville 0.0%   21 - 9 15 - 3 21 - 9 15 - 3 +3.1      +1.8 121 +1.3 129 67.6 186 +3.4 111 +3.4 2
115 Winthrop 100.0%   14   24 - 6 15 - 3 24 - 6 15 - 3 +2.9      +1.0 144 +2.0 108 73.9 48 +5.4 95 +3.4 1
180 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 7 16 - 14 11 - 7 -0.7      -0.4 179 -0.3 183 71.4 88 -2.8 212 -4.0 4
214 Liberty 0.0%   16 - 13 14 - 4 16 - 13 14 - 4 -3.4      -4.1 274 +0.7 157 58.1 342 -2.4 206 +2.2 3
269 High Point 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 9 12 - 16 9 - 9 -6.6      -4.6 288 -1.9 229 64.4 258 -6.7 263 -6.7 5
287 Campbell 0.0%   14 - 17 7 - 11 14 - 17 7 - 11 -7.9      -3.4 260 -4.6 297 62.9 288 -7.0 267 -10.0 8
298 Radford 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 10 12 - 18 8 - 10 -8.7      -6.7 325 -2.0 231 61.4 314 -6.6 260 -8.1 6
311 Charleston Southern 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 11 9 - 19 7 - 11 -9.9      -0.9 190 -9.1 344 68.2 162 -10.7 320 -9.7 7
347 Longwood 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -17.7      -9.0 338 -8.7 342 73.9 49 -17.3 345 -16.9 9
350 Presbyterian 0.0%   3 - 25 1 - 17 3 - 25 1 - 17 -19.8      -11.8 350 -8.1 335 61.0 319 -18.1 347 -24.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
UNC Asheville 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 1.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 4.0 100.0
Liberty 3.0 100.0
High Point 5.0 100.0
Campbell 7.0 100.0
Radford 6.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 7.0 100.0
Longwood 9.0 100.0
Presbyterian 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Asheville 15 - 3 100.0
Winthrop 15 - 3 100.0
Gardner-Webb 11 - 7 100.0
Liberty 14 - 4 100.0
High Point 9 - 9 100.0
Campbell 7 - 11 100.0
Radford 8 - 10 100.0
Charleston Southern 7 - 11 100.0
Longwood 3 - 15 100.0
Presbyterian 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0
Gardner-Webb
Liberty
High Point
Campbell
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.6 40.0 58.2 0.2
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0