Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#215
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#231
Pace65.7#229
Improvement-1.8#262

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#165
First Shot+1.5#130
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#284
Layup/Dunks-4.0#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#107
Freethrows+1.3#87
Improvement-1.5#251

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#267
First Shot-4.4#303
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#72
Layups/Dunks+3.5#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#347
Freethrows+1.9#65
Improvement-0.4#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 286   Jacksonville W 86-68 75%     1 - 0 +7.6 +12.1 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 87-62 92%     2 - 0 +5.8 +4.2 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2016 322   Stetson W 85-72 82%     3 - 0 -0.3 +0.1 -0.8
  Nov 25, 2016 105   Akron L 75-84 24%     3 - 1 -5.2 +4.7 -10.4
  Nov 26, 2016 159   East Carolina L 63-70 35%     3 - 2 -6.6 -5.4 -1.1
  Nov 30, 2016 90   @ New Mexico St. L 70-78 15%     3 - 3 -0.5 +8.2 -9.8
  Dec 03, 2016 130   Missouri St. W 83-70 40%     4 - 3 +12.2 +13.6 -0.6
  Dec 07, 2016 254   @ Army L 71-79 48%     4 - 4 -10.9 -7.2 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2016 194   Denver L 65-77 53%     4 - 5 -16.2 -5.7 -11.7
  Dec 19, 2016 72   Colorado L 68-75 20%     4 - 6 -1.8 +1.2 -3.6
  Dec 22, 2016 213   UC Davis W 77-67 59%     5 - 6 +4.2 +5.1 -0.8
  Dec 28, 2016 140   @ Wyoming L 72-84 24%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -8.1 -6.2 -0.5
  Dec 31, 2016 121   Utah St. W 78-73 37%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +4.8 +10.1 -4.9
  Jan 07, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. L 58-85 13%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -18.4 -8.5 -10.8
  Jan 11, 2017 98   Fresno St. W 81-72 30%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +11.0 +18.1 -6.3
  Jan 14, 2017 206   San Jose St. L 85-89 57%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -9.4 +14.5 -24.1
  Jan 18, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 76-83 8%     7 - 10 2 - 4 +5.3 +5.5 -0.1
  Jan 21, 2017 231   @ UNLV L 85-87 2OT 44%     7 - 11 2 - 5 -3.9 +3.2 -6.8
  Jan 24, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 60-57 24%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +6.7 +1.6 +5.6
  Feb 01, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. L 64-73 16%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -1.9 -0.1 -2.4
  Feb 04, 2017 140   Wyoming L 74-83 41%     8 - 13 3 - 7 -10.2 -0.4 -9.6
  Feb 08, 2017 118   New Mexico L 67-74 36%     8 - 14 3 - 8 -6.9 +3.6 -11.4
  Feb 11, 2017 96   @ Boise St. L 66-76 16%     8 - 15 3 - 9 -2.8 +0.4 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2017 54   Nevada L 59-78 16%     8 - 16 3 - 10 -11.8 -3.9 -10.6
  Feb 18, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. L 78-83 OT 38%     8 - 17 3 - 11 -5.3 -2.9 -1.9
  Feb 22, 2017 231   UNLV W 81-58 63%     9 - 17 4 - 11 +16.0 +10.5 +6.5
  Feb 25, 2017 121   @ Utah St. L 58-89 21%     9 - 18 4 - 12 -26.1 -7.8 -21.0
  Mar 01, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. L 38-51 13%     9 - 19 4 - 13 -4.2 -21.6 +15.7
  Mar 04, 2017 96   Boise St. L 70-98 29%     9 - 20 4 - 14 -25.8 -3.2 -22.6
  Mar 08, 2017 140   Wyoming W 83-68 32%     10 - 20 +16.3 +8.4 +7.3
  Mar 09, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 55-81 18%     10 - 21 -19.9 -8.8 -13.9
Projected Record 10.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%