Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#314
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#311
Pace74.6#41
Improvement+2.3#71

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#188
First Shot-0.8#199
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#160
Layup/Dunks-3.0#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#208
Freethrows-0.2#185
Improvement+4.8#9

Defense
Total Defense-9.6#346
First Shot-8.3#347
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#301
Layups/Dunks-0.2#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.6#351
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-2.5#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 23   @ Wisconsin L 47-79 1%     0 - 1 -13.7 -6.5 -12.9
  Nov 14, 2016 20   @ Oklahoma St. L 90-102 1%     0 - 2 +7.0 +11.2 -2.9
  Nov 19, 2016 124   Chattanooga L 64-75 13%     0 - 3 -8.8 -6.1 -2.8
  Nov 20, 2016 254   @ Army W 81-76 24%     1 - 3 +2.1 -0.2 +1.8
  Nov 26, 2016 160   @ Western Michigan L 63-80 12%     1 - 4 -14.2 -10.6 -3.5
  Nov 29, 2016 235   Arkansas Little Rock L 87-89 OT 38%     1 - 5 -9.2 +2.2 -11.1
  Dec 01, 2016 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 63-87 21%     1 - 6 -25.8 -14.4 -10.5
  Dec 03, 2016 26   @ Butler L 58-82 1%     1 - 7 -6.2 -2.6 -5.8
  Dec 10, 2016 235   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-70 22%     1 - 8 -13.1 -7.3 -6.8
  Dec 13, 2016 21   @ Michigan L 53-97 1%     1 - 9 -25.1 -11.3 -16.4
  Dec 16, 2016 136   Arkansas St. L 77-89 19%     1 - 10 -13.1 -3.8 -8.2
  Dec 19, 2016 203   @ Morehead St. L 85-111 17%     1 - 11 -25.9 -0.8 -21.7
  Dec 22, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. L 62-98 8%     1 - 12 -30.4 -19.6 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2016 246   Sam Houston St. W 67-65 40%     2 - 12 1 - 0 -5.7 -13.4 +7.5
  Jan 02, 2017 233   Lamar L 75-78 38%     2 - 13 1 - 1 -10.1 +3.8 -14.2
  Jan 05, 2017 305   @ Abilene Christian W 81-76 36%     3 - 13 2 - 1 -1.6 +4.6 -6.2
  Jan 12, 2017 219   @ Houston Baptist W 89-78 19%     4 - 13 3 - 1 +9.9 +11.5 -1.9
  Jan 14, 2017 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 81-88 18%     4 - 14 3 - 2 -7.4 +2.7 -9.7
  Jan 18, 2017 319   @ McNeese St. L 72-82 42%     4 - 15 3 - 3 -18.1 -0.5 -18.1
  Jan 21, 2017 189   New Orleans L 63-81 27%     4 - 16 3 - 4 -21.8 +0.2 -24.9
  Jan 25, 2017 228   @ Stephen F. Austin L 76-78 21%     4 - 17 3 - 5 -3.7 +6.5 -10.3
  Jan 28, 2017 309   Incarnate Word L 80-81 58%     4 - 18 3 - 6 -13.4 -4.6 -8.7
  Feb 02, 2017 300   Northwestern St. W 107-97 54%     5 - 18 4 - 6 -1.3 +18.7 -20.8
  Feb 04, 2017 249   SE Louisiana W 68-66 41%     6 - 18 5 - 6 -5.8 -5.2 -0.6
  Feb 09, 2017 305   Abilene Christian W 84-73 55%     7 - 18 6 - 6 -0.6 +7.6 -8.0
  Feb 11, 2017 318   Nicholls St. W 106-83 61%     8 - 18 7 - 6 +10.0 +22.6 -13.5
  Feb 16, 2017 318   @ Nicholls St. L 89-96 OT 41%     8 - 19 7 - 7 -15.0 -5.3 -8.3
  Feb 18, 2017 189   @ New Orleans L 61-84 14%     8 - 20 7 - 8 -21.8 -4.6 -18.9
  Feb 22, 2017 249   @ SE Louisiana L 70-87 24%     8 - 21 7 - 9 -19.7 +3.2 -23.9
  Feb 25, 2017 228   Stephen F. Austin L 85-90 OT 37%     8 - 22 7 - 10 -11.8 +7.0 -18.6
  Mar 04, 2017 300   @ Northwestern St. L 83-97 35%     8 - 23 7 - 11 -20.3 +0.0 -19.4
  Mar 08, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. L 69-77 31%     8 - 24 -13.1 +0.7 -14.3
Projected Record 8.0 - 24.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%