Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#98
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Pace66.2#220
Improvement+4.3#32

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#137
First Shot+2.4#110
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#263
Layup/Dunks+4.6#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#244
Freethrows+1.5#81
Improvement+1.5#96

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#81
First Shot+2.4#99
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#75
Layups/Dunks+0.5#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#106
Freethrows-1.8#286
Improvement+2.8#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 257   Texas San Antonio W 69-66 88%     1 - 0 -5.1 -4.3 -0.8
  Nov 14, 2016 321   Prairie View L 78-84 94%     1 - 1 -19.3 -4.4 -14.6
  Nov 19, 2016 233   Lamar W 83-64 86%     2 - 1 +11.9 +10.8 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2016 122   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 63-71 49%     2 - 2 -3.1 +3.1 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2016 236   @ Oregon St. W 63-58 74%     3 - 2 +2.9 -3.2 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2016 255   @ Drake W 78-76 OT 76%     4 - 2 -0.9 -1.9 +0.9
  Dec 06, 2016 28   @ Marquette L 81-84 15%     4 - 3 +12.8 +11.7 +1.1
  Dec 10, 2016 301   Cal Poly W 73-59 92%     5 - 3 +2.5 +4.9 -0.1
  Dec 17, 2016 227   @ Pacific W 70-68 OT 72%     6 - 3 +0.4 +1.0 -0.5
  Dec 20, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 63-75 8%     6 - 4 +8.2 +2.5 +5.2
  Dec 28, 2016 118   @ New Mexico L 73-78 48%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +0.2 +1.0 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2016 54   Nevada W 77-76 40%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +8.2 +3.8 +4.3
  Jan 04, 2017 140   Wyoming W 85-70 71%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +13.8 +10.0 +3.3
  Jan 07, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. L 62-69 68%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -7.3 -11.7 +4.6
  Jan 11, 2017 215   @ Air Force L 72-81 70%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -10.0 +4.0 -14.8
  Jan 14, 2017 96   Boise St. W 89-80 59%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +11.2 +6.5 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2017 82   Colorado St. W 78-57 54%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +24.5 +11.8 +14.0
  Jan 21, 2017 54   @ Nevada W 81-76 23%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +17.3 +15.1 +2.3
  Jan 28, 2017 121   @ Utah St. L 65-78 49%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -8.1 -0.3 -8.9
  Feb 01, 2017 215   Air Force W 73-64 84%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +3.0 +0.1 +3.4
  Feb 04, 2017 80   San Diego St. L 67-70 53%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +0.7 +6.2 -5.8
  Feb 08, 2017 140   @ Wyoming L 100-102 4OT 53%     12 - 10 6 - 6 +1.9 +1.0 +1.5
  Feb 11, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. L 62-78 35%     12 - 11 6 - 7 -7.4 -1.7 -6.9
  Feb 15, 2017 206   San Jose St. W 77-59 82%     13 - 11 7 - 7 +12.6 +6.3 +7.1
  Feb 18, 2017 118   New Mexico W 71-61 67%     14 - 11 8 - 7 +10.1 +0.4 +10.1
  Feb 22, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. W 63-55 34%     15 - 11 9 - 7 +16.8 +10.4 +7.9
  Feb 28, 2017 96   @ Boise St. W 74-67 40%     16 - 11 10 - 7 +14.2 +7.5 +7.1
  Mar 04, 2017 231   UNLV W 72-59 86%     17 - 11 11 - 7 +6.0 -3.1 +8.9
  Mar 09, 2017 118   New Mexico W 65-60 57%     18 - 11 +7.6 -2.6 +10.6
  Mar 10, 2017 54   Nevada L 72-83 31%     18 - 12 -1.3 +2.9 -4.3
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%