Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#172
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#149
Pace73.7#50
Improvement+1.3#105

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#198
First Shot+1.5#129
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#328
Layup/Dunks+3.2#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#274
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+2.9#43

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot+1.4#124
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#234
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#38
Freethrows-0.6#205
Improvement-1.6#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% n/a n/a
First Round98.9% n/a n/a
Second Round2.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2016 248   North Florida L 75-76 69%     0 - 1 -6.2 -4.5 -1.7
  Nov 26, 2016 165   @ Wright St. L 79-83 39%     0 - 2 -1.4 -1.7 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 57-55 40%     1 - 2 +4.4 -5.0 +9.5
  Dec 07, 2016 167   @ North Dakota St. W 74-56 39%     2 - 2 +20.5 +4.5 +16.6
  Dec 10, 2016 153   @ Northern Iowa L 70-78 37%     2 - 3 -4.9 +7.6 -12.9
  Dec 16, 2016 167   North Dakota St. L 70-87 59%     2 - 4 -19.5 -3.3 -16.5
  Dec 20, 2016 65   @ Iowa L 73-84 15%     2 - 5 +0.0 +0.1 +0.4
  Dec 29, 2016 250   @ Portland St. L 62-99 60%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -39.8 -19.7 -17.0
  Dec 31, 2016 283   @ Sacramento St. W 90-82 OT 68%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +2.8 +6.2 -3.9
  Jan 05, 2017 323   Northern Arizona W 68-63 89%     4 - 6 2 - 1 -8.3 -11.4 +3.0
  Jan 07, 2017 334   Southern Utah W 95-65 92%     5 - 6 3 - 1 +14.1 +2.7 +9.1
  Jan 12, 2017 243   @ Montana St. W 90-85 58%     6 - 6 4 - 1 +2.6 +5.7 -3.6
  Jan 14, 2017 198   @ Montana L 70-76 48%     6 - 7 4 - 2 -5.6 -5.1 -0.4
  Jan 19, 2017 184   Weber St. W 83-77 62%     7 - 7 5 - 2 +2.5 +3.2 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2017 332   Idaho St. W 89-64 92%     8 - 7 6 - 2 +9.5 +8.1 +1.9
  Jan 26, 2017 334   @ Southern Utah W 91-89 84%     9 - 7 7 - 2 -8.8 +6.7 -15.5
  Jan 28, 2017 323   @ Northern Arizona L 67-68 78%     9 - 8 7 - 3 -9.3 -9.7 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2017 284   Northern Colorado W 87-77 OT 83%     10 - 8 8 - 3 -0.3 +6.1 -7.0
  Feb 09, 2017 186   Eastern Washington W 95-86 63%     11 - 8 9 - 3 +5.4 +15.2 -10.0
  Feb 11, 2017 221   Idaho W 88-65 72%     12 - 8 10 - 3 +16.7 +19.2 -0.7
  Feb 16, 2017 332   @ Idaho St. W 77-61 83%     13 - 8 11 - 3 +5.6 -2.1 +7.9
  Feb 18, 2017 184   @ Weber St. W 77-68 43%     14 - 8 12 - 3 +10.6 +0.2 +10.3
  Feb 25, 2017 284   @ Northern Colorado W 84-81 OT 69%     15 - 8 13 - 3 -2.2 -1.0 -1.7
  Mar 02, 2017 283   Sacramento St. L 53-57 83%     15 - 9 13 - 4 -14.2 -17.9 +3.0
  Mar 04, 2017 250   Portland St. W 82-73 77%     16 - 9 14 - 4 +1.2 -2.4 +3.0
  Mar 09, 2017 250   Portland St. W 95-72 69%     17 - 9 +17.7 +6.5 +8.6
  Mar 10, 2017 221   Idaho W 69-64 64%     18 - 9 +1.2 -2.6 +4.0
  Mar 11, 2017 184   Weber St. W 93-89 OT 53%     19 - 9 +3.1 +7.6 -4.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.2 0.0 1.2 74.4 24.4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 1.2 74.4 24.4