Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#240
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#219
Pace58.7#341
Improvement+0.3#159

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#230
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#306
Layup/Dunks-3.7#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#42
Freethrows+1.3#93
Improvement-2.5#296

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#242
First Shot-3.7#287
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#47
Layups/Dunks+0.7#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+2.8#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 80   @ San Diego St. L 59-69 11%     0 - 1 -1.2 +5.8 -9.0
  Nov 14, 2016 162   Samford L 65-83 41%     0 - 2 -20.4 -5.4 -16.6
  Nov 17, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 68-88 2%     0 - 3 +0.3 -2.3 +3.7
  Nov 20, 2016 318   Nicholls St. W 81-72 78%     1 - 3 -4.0 +4.1 -7.8
  Nov 22, 2016 340   Bethune-Cookman W 96-91 3OT 88%     2 - 3 -12.6 -3.3 -10.2
  Nov 26, 2016 90   New Mexico St. L 51-56 24%     2 - 4 -2.6 -9.7 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2016 58   USC L 55-76 14%     2 - 5 -14.2 -10.9 -5.1
  Dec 03, 2016 323   @ Northern Arizona W 80-65 63%     3 - 5 +6.7 +2.4 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2016 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 82-75 62%     4 - 5 -1.0 +8.4 -9.4
  Dec 11, 2016 328   UC Santa Barbara W 77-68 82%     5 - 5 -5.6 +7.7 -12.4
  Dec 22, 2016 315   @ North Texas W 69-68 61%     6 - 5 -6.8 -3.3 -3.4
  Dec 29, 2016 104   @ San Francisco L 74-80 15%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +0.5 +12.9 -12.8
  Dec 31, 2016 22   @ St. Mary's L 60-72 2%     6 - 7 0 - 2 +6.7 +12.6 -9.1
  Jan 05, 2017 227   Pacific L 53-56 57%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -9.7 -18.6 +8.7
  Jan 07, 2017 292   @ Pepperdine W 76-68 53%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +2.3 +0.0 +2.5
  Jan 12, 2017 110   Santa Clara L 57-59 30%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -1.3 -1.3 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2017 74   BYU W 88-75 18%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +18.0 +16.6 +1.3
  Jan 19, 2017 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 69-62 24%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +9.4 +9.9 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2017 104   San Francisco L 43-60 27%     9 - 10 3 - 5 -15.6 -18.8 +0.4
  Jan 26, 2017 1   @ Gonzaga L 43-79 1%     9 - 11 3 - 6 -9.1 -13.5 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2017 265   @ Portland W 68-52 46%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +12.3 +12.2 +4.1
  Feb 02, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount L 53-72 42%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -21.6 -0.9 -27.7
  Feb 04, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 27-71 5%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -30.3 -31.6 -11.2
  Feb 09, 2017 227   @ Pacific L 58-61 38%     10 - 14 4 - 9 -4.6 -7.1 +2.1
  Feb 11, 2017 292   Pepperdine L 60-65 72%     10 - 15 4 - 10 -15.8 -12.5 -4.0
  Feb 16, 2017 74   @ BYU L 70-82 9%     10 - 16 4 - 11 -1.9 +3.3 -5.4
  Feb 18, 2017 110   @ Santa Clara W 60-58 2OT 16%     11 - 16 5 - 11 +7.7 -3.0 +11.0
  Feb 23, 2017 1   Gonzaga L 38-96 2%     11 - 17 5 - 12 -36.2 -19.8 -23.3
  Feb 25, 2017 265   Portland W 85-82 65%     12 - 17 6 - 12 -5.8 +18.7 -24.1
  Mar 03, 2017 265   Portland L 55-60 56%     12 - 18 -11.3 -10.5 -1.6
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%