Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
25 Wofford 100.0%   6   26 - 4 18 - 0 26 - 4 18 - 0 +13.5      +9.6 13 +3.9 77 65.7 265 +15.9 19 +20.9 1
61 Furman 12.9%   22 - 7 13 - 5 22 - 7 13 - 5 +8.1      +3.1 93 +4.9 52 67.0 226 +8.1 64 +6.1 4
89 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   22 - 9 13 - 5 22 - 9 13 - 5 +5.7      +2.9 99 +2.8 100 68.1 199 +6.5 81 +6.5 3
97 UNC Greensboro 26.3%   26 - 6 15 - 3 26 - 6 15 - 3 +5.2      +1.2 143 +4.0 73 68.3 188 +11.8 35 +11.5 2
159 Samford 0.0%   16 - 16 6 - 12 16 - 16 6 - 12 +0.2      +1.1 148 -0.9 190 71.7 100 -1.7 188 -5.4 7
203 Mercer 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 12 9 - 20 6 - 12 -2.6      -0.6 192 -2.0 229 66.8 232 -5.5 253 -5.0 6
265 Chattanooga 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 11 9 - 20 7 - 11 -6.1      -2.3 246 -3.9 274 66.7 233 -6.1 264 -2.6 5
278 The Citadel 0.0%   9 - 18 4 - 14 9 - 18 4 - 14 -6.7      +0.8 152 -7.5 343 82.5 8 -4.8 237 -8.2 10
283 Western Carolina 0.0%   6 - 25 4 - 14 6 - 25 4 - 14 -6.9      -2.0 239 -4.9 301 73.2 75 -9.0 307 -8.2 9
295 VMI 0.0%   8 - 21 4 - 14 8 - 21 4 - 14 -7.9      -1.9 231 -6.1 327 76.7 32 -7.3 281 -8.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wofford 1.0 100.0
Furman 3.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 3.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 2.0 100.0
Samford 6.0 100.0
Mercer 6.0 100.0
Chattanooga 5.0 100.0
The Citadel 8.0 100.0
Western Carolina 8.0 100.0
VMI 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wofford 18 - 0 100.0
Furman 13 - 5 100.0
East Tennessee St. 13 - 5 100.0
UNC Greensboro 15 - 3 100.0
Samford 6 - 12 100.0
Mercer 6 - 12 100.0
Chattanooga 7 - 11 100.0
The Citadel 4 - 14 100.0
Western Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
VMI 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wofford 100.0% 100.0
Furman
East Tennessee St.
UNC Greensboro
Samford
Mercer
Chattanooga
The Citadel
Western Carolina
VMI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wofford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6   0.0 0.6 7.0 22.9 35.0 32.9 1.5 0.1
Furman 12.9% 0.0% 12.9% 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 0.4 87.1 12.9%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 26.3% 0.0% 26.3% 0.2 1.2 8.4 16.4 0.2 73.7 26.3%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wofford 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.4% 24.7% 8.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Furman 12.9% 12.7% 5.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 26.3% 23.5% 10.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.4 63.5 33.8 2.8
1st Round 100.0% 1.2 83.9 15.8 0.3
2nd Round 65.8% 0.7 34.2 63.6 2.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 25.2% 0.3 74.8 25.0 0.2
Elite Eight 8.1% 0.1 91.9 8.1 0.0
Final Four 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Final Game 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Champion 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2