Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#295
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#281
Pace76.7#32
Improvement+4.2#30

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#231
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#319
Layup/Dunks-4.3#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#36
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement+3.2#51

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#327
First Shot-6.1#329
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#181
Layups/Dunks-4.9#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#241
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement+1.0#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 5.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 30.0 - 4.00.0 - 16.0
Quad 48.0 - 5.08.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 93   @ Pittsburgh L 55-94 8%     0 - 1 -30.9 -13.0 -17.4
  Nov 14, 2018 335   South Carolina Upstate W 78-72 79%     1 - 1 -10.3 -4.7 -5.9
  Nov 18, 2018 7   @ Kentucky L 82-92 1%     1 - 2 +12.2 +19.8 -7.6
  Nov 23, 2018 330   @ Stetson W 87-79 OT 54%     2 - 2 -1.0 -3.3 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2018 204   American L 64-74 40%     2 - 3 -15.4 -12.4 -2.7
  Dec 01, 2018 292   @ Longwood L 45-65 39%     2 - 4 -25.0 -27.7 +2.3
  Dec 05, 2018 12   @ Virginia Tech L 68-89 1%     2 - 5 -1.9 -0.1 -0.7
  Dec 09, 2018 265   @ Chattanooga L 65-83 33%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -21.3 -11.8 -9.2
  Dec 12, 2018 199   @ Presbyterian L 70-103 21%     2 - 7 -32.6 -6.3 -26.6
  Dec 21, 2018 301   North Alabama W 89-68 62%     3 - 7 +10.0 +3.6 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2018 159   @ Samford L 68-96 15%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -25.0 -11.7 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 68-71 17%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -0.6 -5.2 +4.7
  Jan 10, 2019 61   Furman L 57-89 11%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -26.7 -18.2 -5.2
  Jan 12, 2019 25   Wofford L 76-90 5%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -3.3 +0.8 -3.2
  Jan 17, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 82-85 7%     3 - 12 0 - 6 +5.4 +9.5 -4.0
  Jan 19, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 91-83 57%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -1.7 +11.7 -13.4
  Jan 24, 2019 203   @ Mercer L 68-88 22%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -19.8 -3.7 -16.6
  Jan 26, 2019 278   @ The Citadel L 82-84 35%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -5.9 -5.2 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-93 8%     4 - 15 1 - 9 -19.1 -2.3 -16.3
  Feb 07, 2019 265   Chattanooga L 70-71 54%     4 - 16 1 - 10 -9.9 -4.3 -5.6
  Feb 09, 2019 159   Samford L 77-84 OT 30%     4 - 17 1 - 11 -9.6 -11.5 +3.1
  Feb 14, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 84-95 2%     4 - 18 1 - 12 +5.2 +9.8 -3.7
  Feb 16, 2019 61   @ Furman L 62-96 5%     4 - 19 1 - 13 -23.2 -6.5 -15.5
  Feb 21, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 70-94 16%     4 - 20 1 - 14 -21.1 -4.6 -15.4
  Feb 23, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 83-78 36%     5 - 20 2 - 14 +0.9 -0.3 +0.8
  Feb 28, 2019 203   Mercer W 84-71 40%     6 - 20 3 - 14 +7.6 +12.9 -4.4
  Mar 02, 2019 278   The Citadel W 81-78 56%     7 - 20 4 - 14 -6.5 -5.5 -1.2
  Mar 08, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 96-83 46%     8 - 20 +6.1 +14.6 -9.0
  Mar 09, 2019 25   Wofford L 72-99 3%     8 - 21 -13.5 -3.2 -8.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%