Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#203
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#253
Pace66.8#232
Improvement-3.9#320

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot+0.0#177
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#219
Layup/Dunks+3.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#225
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#229
First Shot-1.4#214
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#243
Layups/Dunks+1.0#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#284
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement-4.0#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 13.0
Quad 32.0 - 3.02.0 - 16.0
Quad 47.0 - 4.09.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 147   @ UAB L 67-75 26%     0 - 1 -3.8 -10.2 +7.1
  Nov 13, 2018 116   @ Georgia St. L 60-62 19%     0 - 2 +4.7 -5.3 +9.8
  Nov 16, 2018 297   Tennessee Martin W 77-60 78%     1 - 2 +6.2 -1.4 +8.4
  Nov 20, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-42 96%     2 - 2 +14.8 +3.7 +13.7
  Nov 24, 2018 31   @ North Carolina St. L 74-78 6%     2 - 3 +11.2 +4.9 +6.4
  Dec 01, 2018 278   @ The Citadel L 69-79 55%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -13.9 -12.1 -1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 165   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-68 32%     2 - 5 -1.7 -7.3 +5.8
  Dec 08, 2018 111   Georgia Southern L 74-89 35%     2 - 6 -13.6 +3.3 -17.3
  Dec 18, 2018 28   @ Florida L 63-71 5%     2 - 7 +7.9 +4.8 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2018 263   UNC Wilmington W 77-73 72%     3 - 7 -4.8 -2.9 -1.8
  Dec 29, 2018 127   Harvard L 67-71 30%     3 - 8 -1.0 -1.6 +0.4
  Jan 03, 2019 61   @ Furman L 58-71 11%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -2.2 -6.3 +3.7
  Jan 05, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 74-78 5%     3 - 10 0 - 3 +12.2 +7.5 +4.7
  Jan 10, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 84-80 75%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -5.7 +8.7 -14.2
  Jan 12, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 68-72 OT 30%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -1.1 +1.4 -2.8
  Jan 17, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga L 70-73 53%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -6.3 +2.9 -9.6
  Jan 19, 2019 159   @ Samford W 93-87 30%     5 - 12 2 - 5 +9.0 +13.0 -4.6
  Jan 24, 2019 295   VMI W 88-68 78%     6 - 12 3 - 5 +9.3 +10.0 -0.2
  Jan 26, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 81-88 16%     6 - 13 3 - 6 +0.9 +4.6 -2.9
  Jan 31, 2019 25   Wofford L 67-76 11%     6 - 14 3 - 7 +1.7 +2.9 -2.1
  Feb 02, 2019 61   Furman L 63-74 23%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -5.7 +0.0 -6.8
  Feb 09, 2019 278   The Citadel L 61-67 75%     6 - 16 3 - 9 -15.5 -21.5 +6.1
  Feb 14, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 74-65 56%     7 - 16 4 - 9 +4.9 -1.8 +6.7
  Feb 16, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-88 15%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -10.6 -1.3 -8.8
  Feb 21, 2019 159   Samford W 65-62 50%     8 - 17 5 - 10 +0.4 -10.8 +11.2
  Feb 23, 2019 265   Chattanooga W 74-69 73%     9 - 17 6 - 10 -3.9 +6.4 -9.6
  Feb 28, 2019 295   @ VMI L 71-84 60%     9 - 18 6 - 11 -18.1 -2.2 -16.7
  Mar 02, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 47-74 32%     9 - 19 6 - 12 -24.6 -25.2 +1.7
  Mar 09, 2019 61   Furman L 74-85 16%     9 - 20 -2.9 +6.6 -9.6
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%