Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#201
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#252
Pace76.9#29
Improvement+0.5#162

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#144
First Shot+2.6#102
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#274
Layup/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#109
Freethrows+1.3#84
Improvement-0.9#230

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#264
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#250
Layups/Dunks-2.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement+1.3#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 33.0 - 9.03.0 - 16.0
Quad 45.0 - 5.08.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 55   @ Alabama L 73-81 10%     0 - 1 +3.7 +3.5 +0.6
  Nov 15, 2018 10   Purdue L 70-92 4%     0 - 2 -4.3 +1.8 -5.7
  Nov 16, 2018 88   Wichita St. L 76-82 22%     0 - 3 -0.3 +8.6 -9.0
  Nov 18, 2018 134   Ball St. L 86-94 OT 32%     0 - 4 -5.6 -0.9 -3.0
  Nov 30, 2018 261   @ East Carolina L 81-83 52%     0 - 5 -5.0 +4.2 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2018 318   Howard W 100-86 82%     1 - 5 +1.7 +4.6 -4.8
  Dec 08, 2018 309   NC Central W 82-73 81%     2 - 5 -2.9 +0.0 -3.3
  Dec 15, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 69-76 20%     2 - 6 -0.6 -1.0 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2018 76   @ Georgetown L 73-83 14%     2 - 7 -0.8 -5.0 +5.4
  Dec 30, 2018 102   @ Saint Louis L 55-83 17%     2 - 8 -20.5 -9.0 -12.7
  Jan 03, 2019 214   @ South Alabama L 73-79 41%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -6.1 -4.9 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 249   @ Troy L 85-89 50%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -6.6 +7.1 -13.6
  Jan 10, 2019 150   Texas Arlington L 72-82 47%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -11.7 -2.5 -8.8
  Jan 12, 2019 138   Texas St. L 69-70 43%     2 - 12 0 - 4 -1.6 +0.5 -2.1
  Jan 19, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-89 33%     2 - 13 0 - 5 -14.8 -4.7 -9.0
  Jan 24, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. L 81-82 OT 50%     2 - 14 0 - 6 -3.6 -4.4 +1.0
  Jan 26, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-73 45%     3 - 14 1 - 6 +2.8 -3.1 +5.5
  Jan 31, 2019 178   Louisiana W 104-77 55%     4 - 14 2 - 6 +23.3 +10.1 +8.8
  Feb 02, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe W 85-84 45%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -0.2 +9.2 -9.4
  Feb 07, 2019 138   @ Texas St. L 71-74 24%     5 - 15 3 - 7 +2.0 +3.9 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2019 150   @ Texas Arlington L 68-78 27%     5 - 16 3 - 8 -6.2 +0.4 -6.7
  Feb 16, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina W 88-79 53%     6 - 16 4 - 8 +5.6 +6.5 -1.6
  Feb 21, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 75-80 36%     6 - 17 4 - 9 -3.9 +4.7 -8.8
  Feb 23, 2019 111   Georgia Southern L 69-92 35%     6 - 18 4 - 10 -21.6 -12.1 -6.7
  Feb 28, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 75-81 26%     6 - 19 4 - 11 -1.6 +1.2 -3.0
  Mar 03, 2019 178   @ Louisiana W 90-80 34%     7 - 19 5 - 11 +11.9 +6.2 +4.6
  Mar 07, 2019 249   Troy W 72-64 71%     8 - 19 6 - 11 -0.1 -5.0 +5.0
  Mar 09, 2019 214   South Alabama L 71-78 62%     8 - 20 6 - 12 -12.6 -5.1 -7.6
  Mar 12, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 80-89 26%     8 - 21 -4.6 +3.4 -7.9
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%