Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#248
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#221
Pace69.8#146
Improvement+1.8#109

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#209
First Shot-2.0#247
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#105
Layup/Dunks-2.6#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#263
Freethrows+1.6#66
Improvement+1.7#97

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#284
First Shot-1.8#229
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#339
Layups/Dunks-1.6#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#108
Freethrows-3.1#337
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 35.0 - 7.05.0 - 13.0
Quad 46.0 - 6.011.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 157   @ Abilene Christian L 73-94 21%     0 - 1 -17.9 -2.6 -13.8
  Nov 16, 2018 113   @ Grand Canyon L 72-96 13%     0 - 2 -17.2 -3.3 -12.1
  Nov 23, 2018 263   UNC Wilmington L 64-78 53%     0 - 3 -20.0 -15.9 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2018 313   Eastern Illinois L 86-90 OT 65%     0 - 4 -13.3 -3.7 -9.1
  Nov 25, 2018 183   Gardner-Webb W 77-69 35%     1 - 4 +6.6 +5.1 +1.9
  Dec 01, 2018 175   @ Lehigh L 70-82 24%     1 - 5 -10.1 -4.4 -5.9
  Dec 04, 2018 223   Evansville W 87-77 54%     2 - 5 +3.7 +5.7 -2.8
  Dec 08, 2018 45   @ Minnesota L 56-72 5%     2 - 6 -2.6 -4.9 +1.0
  Dec 14, 2018 165   Florida Atlantic W 75-71 2OT 42%     3 - 6 +0.7 -6.0 +6.2
  Dec 18, 2018 172   Missouri St. W 71-63 43%     4 - 6 +4.5 -3.9 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2018 33   @ Syracuse L 52-82 4%     4 - 7 -15.5 -6.9 -11.7
  Jan 03, 2019 178   @ Louisiana W 94-83 25%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +12.9 +6.4 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 75-85 18%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -5.6 +1.0 -6.8
  Jan 10, 2019 214   South Alabama W 66-65 51%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -4.6 -8.3 +3.8
  Jan 12, 2019 249   Troy L 85-90 OT 61%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -13.1 +0.5 -13.3
  Jan 17, 2019 150   @ Texas Arlington L 59-68 19%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -5.2 -6.2 +0.6
  Jan 19, 2019 138   @ Texas St. L 64-77 17%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -8.0 -2.4 -5.8
  Jan 24, 2019 201   Appalachian St. W 82-81 OT 50%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -4.3 -5.8 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina L 64-77 42%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -16.4 -15.0 -0.5
  Feb 02, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 84-83 34%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -0.2 +4.1 -4.4
  Feb 07, 2019 214   @ South Alabama L 62-70 31%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -8.1 -3.2 -6.0
  Feb 09, 2019 249   @ Troy L 79-84 39%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -7.6 +2.9 -10.5
  Feb 14, 2019 138   Texas St. L 74-84 32%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -10.6 +5.0 -15.7
  Feb 16, 2019 150   Texas Arlington W 83-79 36%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +2.3 +4.4 -2.5
  Feb 23, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-65 55%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +0.3 -3.1 +3.3
  Feb 28, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. L 60-76 13%     10 - 16 6 - 9 -9.3 -7.8 -2.2
  Mar 02, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern L 70-81 13%     10 - 17 6 - 10 -4.0 -3.1 -0.4
  Mar 07, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe W 73-72 34%     11 - 17 7 - 10 -0.2 +1.9 -2.0
  Mar 09, 2019 178   Louisiana L 87-90 OT 44%     11 - 18 7 - 11 -6.7 +5.3 -11.8
  Mar 12, 2019 214   @ South Alabama L 67-75 31%     11 - 19 -8.1 -0.9 -7.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%