Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#192
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#191
Pace73.3#73
Improvement-0.5#206

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#265
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#327
Layup/Dunks+5.0#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#331
Freethrows+1.1#100
Improvement+1.2#121

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#137
First Shot+1.0#140
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#144
Layups/Dunks-2.1#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#43
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement-1.7#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 6.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 32.0 - 4.02.0 - 14.0
Quad 412.0 - 3.014.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 59   @ Arizona St. L 94-102 2OT 12%     0 - 1 +3.1 +1.0 +4.3
  Nov 15, 2018 48   Central Florida L 52-68 13%     0 - 2 -5.6 -12.6 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2018 153   Wake Forest L 59-66 39%     0 - 3 -6.1 -13.3 +7.2
  Nov 18, 2018 279   Monmouth W 87-63 68%     1 - 3 +17.3 +3.4 +10.8
  Nov 21, 2018 105   @ Hofstra L 71-80 19%     1 - 4 -1.6 -6.4 +5.1
  Nov 24, 2018 272   @ Sacramento St. L 82-87 OT 56%     1 - 5 -8.6 -8.1 +0.6
  Dec 05, 2018 137   Loyola Marymount L 49-59 44%     1 - 6 -10.6 -19.0 +7.7
  Dec 10, 2018 35   @ St. Mary's L 66-81 7%     1 - 7 -0.8 +9.8 -12.9
  Dec 16, 2018 81   @ San Francisco L 54-68 16%     1 - 8 -5.2 -13.5 +7.5
  Dec 22, 2018 38   @ Nebraska L 62-86 8%     1 - 9 -10.1 -8.7 +0.3
  Dec 29, 2018 319   Portland W 79-64 85%     2 - 9 +1.7 +3.8 -1.6
  Jan 01, 2019 51   @ Washington L 76-84 10%     2 - 10 +4.4 +7.9 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2019 185   @ Hawaii L 68-79 38%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -9.7 -6.7 -2.7
  Jan 12, 2019 80   UC Irvine L 46-63 30%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -13.6 -21.7 +7.5
  Jan 17, 2019 312   UC Riverside W 69-61 83%     3 - 12 1 - 2 -4.0 -3.9 +0.7
  Jan 19, 2019 217   @ Long Beach St. W 92-90 OT 43%     4 - 12 2 - 2 +1.7 +0.4 +0.9
  Jan 24, 2019 170   UC Santa Barbara W 81-60 56%     5 - 12 3 - 2 +17.6 +10.5 +8.3
  Jan 26, 2019 332   @ Cal Poly W 80-63 75%     6 - 12 4 - 2 +7.8 +10.2 -0.5
  Jan 30, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 78-71 72%     7 - 12 5 - 2 -1.1 -3.3 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2019 80   @ UC Irvine L 53-60 15%     7 - 13 5 - 3 +2.0 -12.4 +14.2
  Feb 09, 2019 312   @ UC Riverside W 77-54 67%     8 - 13 6 - 3 +16.6 +2.4 +14.9
  Feb 13, 2019 217   Long Beach St. W 85-82 65%     9 - 13 7 - 3 -2.8 -1.7 -1.5
  Feb 16, 2019 252   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-71 52%     10 - 13 8 - 3 +4.4 -4.1 +8.1
  Feb 21, 2019 235   UC Davis W 62-58 69%     11 - 13 9 - 3 -3.1 -7.5 +4.7
  Feb 23, 2019 170   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-82 34%     11 - 14 9 - 4 -12.9 -6.7 -5.9
  Feb 28, 2019 332   Cal Poly W 86-75 88%     12 - 14 10 - 4 -3.7 +0.4 -4.7
  Mar 02, 2019 235   @ UC Davis L 59-66 48%     12 - 15 10 - 5 -8.6 -11.6 +3.1
  Mar 09, 2019 185   Hawaii L 59-71 59%     12 - 16 10 - 6 -16.3 -11.6 -5.7
  Mar 14, 2019 235   UC Davis W 75-71 OT 59%     13 - 16 -0.3 -1.0 +0.5
  Mar 15, 2019 170   UC Santa Barbara W 64-58 45%     14 - 16 +5.4 -0.8 +7.1
  Mar 16, 2019 80   UC Irvine L 64-92 22%     14 - 17 -21.8 +3.6 -28.7
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%