Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.1#344
Expected Predictive Rating-19.5#352
Pace64.2#296
Improvement-2.6#290

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#287
First Shot-1.3#224
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#343
Layup/Dunks+0.6#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense-11.0#353
First Shot-10.2#353
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#262
Layups/Dunks-6.8#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#311
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement-1.9#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 30.0 - 7.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 42.0 - 15.02.0 - 25.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 37-87 0.4%    0 - 1 -29.0 -21.1 -9.6
  Nov 16, 2018 130   Montana L 66-93 6%     0 - 2 -24.3 -2.2 -23.9
  Nov 17, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 80-78 OT 12%     1 - 2 -0.1 +0.2 -0.4
  Nov 18, 2018 165   Florida Atlantic L 68-71 9%     1 - 3 -3.5 +5.6 -9.4
  Nov 21, 2018 194   Northern Colorado L 64-90 17%     1 - 4 -30.8 -11.1 -19.6
  Nov 25, 2018 329   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-80 28%     1 - 5 -20.9 -4.2 -17.7
  Dec 09, 2018 18   @ LSU L 50-91 1%     1 - 6 -23.2 -17.6 -5.0
  Dec 17, 2018 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 57-63 8%     1 - 7 -5.9 -12.3 +6.2
  Dec 19, 2018 91   @ DePaul L 71-81 3%     1 - 8 -1.8 +2.6 -4.8
  Jan 02, 2019 331   McNeese St. L 77-88 48%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -25.6 +1.9 -28.4
  Jan 05, 2019 306   Nicholls St. W 65-58 37%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -4.8 -10.0 +5.7
  Jan 12, 2019 177   @ Sam Houston St. L 52-66 7%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -12.1 -19.2 +6.4
  Jan 16, 2019 303   Central Arkansas L 60-77 36%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -28.3 -16.3 -12.9
  Jan 19, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin L 71-74 36%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -14.3 -1.9 -12.6
  Jan 23, 2019 224   @ Lamar L 81-87 OT 10%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -6.8 +1.8 -8.2
  Jan 26, 2019 253   New Orleans L 52-61 25%     2 - 14 1 - 6 -17.2 -13.4 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2019 284   Houston Baptist L 92-96 30%     2 - 15 1 - 7 -13.7 +2.0 -15.3
  Feb 02, 2019 253   @ New Orleans L 72-89 13%     2 - 16 1 - 8 -19.7 -6.8 -11.2
  Feb 09, 2019 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-70 16%     2 - 17 1 - 9 -13.4 +2.0 -17.3
  Feb 13, 2019 237   @ SE Louisiana L 64-70 11%     2 - 18 1 - 10 -7.6 -5.0 -3.0
  Feb 16, 2019 157   Abilene Christian L 48-68 12%     2 - 19 1 - 11 -22.4 -19.4 -5.4
  Feb 20, 2019 224   Lamar L 58-76 20%     2 - 20 1 - 12 -24.3 -14.1 -11.7
  Feb 23, 2019 302   @ Stephen F. Austin L 54-81 19%     2 - 21 1 - 13 -32.8 -19.8 -13.2
  Feb 27, 2019 337   @ Northwestern St. L 60-68 35%     2 - 22 1 - 14 -19.0 -7.3 -12.8
  Mar 02, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-74 OT 31%     2 - 23 1 - 15 -11.9 -0.3 -11.7
  Mar 06, 2019 284   @ Houston Baptist L 111-118 15%     2 - 24 1 - 16 -11.1 +19.6 -29.8
  Mar 09, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian L 52-81 5%     2 - 25 1 - 17 -25.9 -11.5 -18.1
Projected Record 2.0 - 25.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%