Pre-tourney Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#21
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#18
Pace61.0#337
Improvement+6.0#8

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#83
First Shot+3.4#81
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks+0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
Freethrows-0.1#196
Improvement+5.7#10

Defense
Total Defense+11.2#4
First Shot+8.9#7
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#8
Layups/Dunks+3.7#45
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
Freethrows+2.2#41
Improvement+0.3#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 34.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round75.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.3% n/a n/a
Final Four3.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5.0 - 4.05.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.07.0 - 5.0
Quad 27.0 - 3.014.0 - 8.0
Quad 38.0 - 0.022.0 - 8.0
Quad 43.0 - 0.025.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 340   Kennesaw St. W 56-41 99%     1 - 0 -2.1 -21.3 +19.9
  Nov 12, 2018 304   Denver W 64-56 98%     2 - 0 -3.4 -17.1 +13.6
  Nov 16, 2018 260   Eastern Kentucky W 95-68 96%     3 - 0 +21.2 +7.0 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2018 128   Penn W 64-48 86%     4 - 0 +18.9 -2.5 +22.2
  Nov 19, 2018 67   Missouri W 82-67 75%     5 - 0 +22.6 +22.6 +1.6
  Nov 24, 2018 175   Lehigh W 77-58 94%     6 - 0 +15.4 -3.3 +18.2
  Dec 01, 2018 27   @ Marquette L 71-83 44%     6 - 1 +4.2 -0.4 +5.6
  Dec 08, 2018 121   @ Tulsa L 46-47 78%     6 - 2 +5.4 -18.4 +23.7
  Dec 15, 2018 116   Georgia St. W 71-59 89%     7 - 2 +13.1 -1.4 +14.6
  Dec 19, 2018 109   Southern Miss W 55-51 88%     8 - 2 +5.5 -11.8 +17.7
  Dec 22, 2018 142   Vanderbilt W 69-58 92%     9 - 2 +9.9 -2.6 +12.5
  Dec 29, 2018 155   George Mason W 59-58 93%     10 - 2 -1.2 -5.9 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2019 30   Texas L 47-67 68%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -10.3 -12.1 -2.3
  Jan 05, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 57-63 27%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +15.0 -0.8 +15.6
  Jan 09, 2019 82   West Virginia W 71-69 86%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +5.2 +5.6 -0.2
  Jan 12, 2019 16   @ Iowa St. W 58-57 37%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +19.0 +0.2 +18.9
  Jan 16, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma W 74-61 51%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +27.3 +18.6 +10.2
  Jan 19, 2019 47   TCU W 65-55 75%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +17.7 +7.0 +12.3
  Jan 22, 2019 9   Texas Tech W 58-45 47%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +28.5 +4.0 +26.3
  Jan 26, 2019 78   @ Texas A&M L 53-65 70%     15 - 5 -3.0 -12.5 +9.1
  Feb 02, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-57 70%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +27.0 +20.8 +9.8
  Feb 05, 2019 17   Kansas W 74-67 59%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +19.3 +7.6 +11.6
  Feb 09, 2019 40   @ Baylor W 70-63 53%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +20.8 +14.9 +7.1
  Feb 12, 2019 30   @ Texas W 71-64 47%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +22.3 +17.4 +6.2
  Feb 16, 2019 16   Iowa St. L 64-78 58%     19 - 6 9 - 3 -1.6 +3.6 -7.1
  Feb 18, 2019 82   @ West Virginia W 65-51 71%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +22.7 +6.2 +18.8
  Feb 23, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 85-46 85%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +42.4 +23.3 +23.8
  Feb 25, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 49-64 38%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +2.8 -6.1 +6.6
  Mar 02, 2019 40   Baylor W 66-60 73%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +14.3 +0.1 +14.5
  Mar 04, 2019 47   @ TCU W 64-52 55%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +25.2 +8.8 +18.4
  Mar 09, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 68-53 71%     24 - 7 14 - 4 +23.7 +11.2 +14.7
  Mar 14, 2019 47   TCU W 70-61 66%     25 - 7 +19.5 +6.5 +13.4
  Mar 15, 2019 16   Iowa St. L 59-63 48%     25 - 8 +11.2 -5.5 +16.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.1 4.3 30.0 47.9 16.4 1.4 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.1 4.3 30.0 47.9 16.4 1.4 0.0 100.0%