Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#172
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#177
Pace65.9#260
Improvement+1.1#134

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#203
First Shot+0.7#159
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#294
Layup/Dunks-2.2#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#211
Freethrows+0.8#119
Improvement-1.1#240

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#98
Layups/Dunks+6.3#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#350
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#257
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+2.2#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 37.0 - 6.08.0 - 11.0
Quad 47.0 - 5.015.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 286   Oral Roberts W 84-50 81%     1 - 0 +24.2 -3.9 +25.3
  Nov 09, 2018 274   Robert Morris W 74-60 79%     2 - 0 +4.8 -6.7 +10.2
  Nov 11, 2018 330   Stetson W 83-70 90%     3 - 0 -1.5 -6.5 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2018 38   Nebraska L 62-85 14%     3 - 1 -11.9 -6.1 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2018 84   USC L 80-99 26%     3 - 2 -13.1 +5.8 -18.1
  Nov 24, 2018 56   @ Murray St. L 66-77 14%     3 - 3 +0.1 -4.5 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2018 232   @ Air Force L 69-88 52%     3 - 4 -20.3 -1.9 -19.1
  Dec 01, 2018 85   @ Oregon St. L 77-101 19%     3 - 5 -15.3 +5.6 -20.7
  Dec 05, 2018 117   Western Kentucky W 84-78 43%     4 - 5 +7.1 +13.7 -6.6
  Dec 15, 2018 195   @ North Dakota St. L 67-74 45%     4 - 6 -6.3 -10.4 +4.4
  Dec 18, 2018 248   @ Arkansas St. L 63-71 57%     4 - 7 -10.6 -13.5 +3.0
  Dec 22, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 93-72 88%     5 - 7 +7.6 +10.0 -3.4
  Jan 02, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois L 70-75 31%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5
  Jan 05, 2019 200   Valparaiso L 66-82 67%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -21.3 -5.7 -15.8
  Jan 08, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. W 72-57 47%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +15.2 -1.6 +16.4
  Jan 12, 2019 158   @ Bradley W 69-64 36%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +8.1 +7.7 +0.9
  Jan 16, 2019 223   Evansville L 64-70 71%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -12.3 -7.5 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2019 123   @ Drake L 63-74 26%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -4.9 -8.3 +3.6
  Jan 23, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago W 70-35 46%     8 - 11 3 - 4 +35.4 +23.6 +24.3
  Jan 26, 2019 158   Bradley W 55-37 57%     9 - 11 4 - 4 +15.6 -4.1 +23.8
  Jan 29, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso W 55-54 OT 46%     10 - 11 5 - 4 +1.3 -7.8 +9.2
  Feb 02, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa L 59-64 38%     10 - 12 5 - 5 -2.5 +4.1 -7.9
  Feb 06, 2019 143   Southern Illinois W 65-59 52%     11 - 12 6 - 5 +4.9 +6.3 -0.1
  Feb 10, 2019 186   Illinois St. W 66-65 64%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -3.3 +2.1 -5.2
  Feb 13, 2019 223   @ Evansville W 68-56 50%     13 - 12 8 - 5 +11.3 +7.1 +6.1
  Feb 17, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-61 26%     14 - 12 9 - 5 +9.9 +12.6 -1.6
  Feb 20, 2019 164   Northern Iowa L 43-63 59%     14 - 13 9 - 6 -23.1 -26.2 +1.5
  Feb 23, 2019 202   Indiana St. W 67-61 67%     15 - 13 10 - 6 +0.7 -1.1 +2.3
  Feb 27, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. L 57-65 42%     15 - 14 10 - 7 -6.7 -9.8 +2.4
  Mar 02, 2019 123   Drake L 62-73 45%     15 - 15 10 - 8 -10.4 -6.8 -4.4
  Mar 08, 2019 158   Bradley L 58-61 46%     15 - 16 -2.7 -1.4 -1.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%