Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#135
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#163
Pace65.6#271
Improvement+0.7#154

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#107
First Shot+2.1#114
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#129
Layup/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows-1.5#285
Improvement-4.1#327

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#173
First Shot+0.0#176
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#224
Layups/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#314
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement+4.9#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 1.01.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 23.0 - 3.04.0 - 6.0
Quad 34.0 - 9.08.0 - 15.0
Quad 47.0 - 2.015.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 114   Northern Kentucky L 85-88 2OT 55%     0 - 1 -1.8 -1.7 +0.4
  Nov 23, 2018 286   Oral Roberts W 87-66 81%     1 - 1 +14.0 +6.4 +7.4
  Nov 24, 2018 267   James Madison L 74-78 79%     1 - 2 -10.3 +11.4 -22.5
  Nov 25, 2018 187   @ Oakland W 92-72 54%     2 - 2 +21.2 +29.3 -5.5
  Nov 28, 2018 218   @ Green Bay L 83-85 61%     2 - 3 -2.4 +8.5 -10.9
  Dec 05, 2018 235   UC Davis W 71-62 81%     3 - 3 +1.9 -0.6 +2.8
  Dec 08, 2018 69   @ Butler L 68-95 23%     3 - 4 -17.0 +5.9 -25.6
  Dec 17, 2018 293   Western Illinois W 91-76 88%     4 - 4 +4.4 +12.0 -7.9
  Dec 20, 2018 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-65 34%     4 - 5 +3.7 -8.0 +11.7
  Dec 22, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 100-59 98%     5 - 5 +18.5 +9.7 +6.1
  Dec 29, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 60-88 3%     5 - 6 -3.8 -4.5 +1.8
  Jan 05, 2019 179   @ Ohio W 72-66 OT 52%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +7.7 +4.0 +3.8
  Jan 08, 2019 152   @ Miami (OH) W 83-70 45%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +16.7 +21.3 -3.3
  Jan 12, 2019 118   Akron W 73-56 56%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +17.9 +14.0 +5.8
  Jan 15, 2019 124   Central Michigan L 69-78 57%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -8.5 -7.4 -0.9
  Jan 19, 2019 141   @ Kent St. L 68-78 41%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -5.4 -3.3 -2.4
  Jan 22, 2019 22   Buffalo W 77-75 19%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +13.6 -1.6 +14.9
  Jan 26, 2019 118   @ Akron L 65-67 35%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +4.5 +2.4 +2.0
  Jan 29, 2019 179   Ohio W 71-60 72%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +7.2 -0.3 +7.6
  Feb 02, 2019 68   Toledo L 55-69 41%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -9.2 -9.5 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2019 134   Ball St. L 71-72 61%     10 - 11 5 - 5 -1.4 +0.2 -1.6
  Feb 09, 2019 151   @ Eastern Michigan L 49-57 45%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -4.3 -16.2 +11.1
  Feb 12, 2019 245   @ Western Michigan L 74-76 68%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -4.3 +0.8 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2019 112   Bowling Green L 67-87 54%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -18.6 -3.9 -15.3
  Feb 23, 2019 68   @ Toledo L 54-57 22%     10 - 15 5 - 9 +7.3 -8.4 +15.4
  Feb 26, 2019 245   Western Michigan W 70-65 83%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -2.9 -2.9 +0.2
  Mar 02, 2019 151   Eastern Michigan L 69-75 66%     11 - 16 6 - 10 -7.8 +0.4 -8.6
  Mar 05, 2019 124   @ Central Michigan W 89-86 36%     12 - 16 7 - 10 +9.1 +13.1 -4.1
  Mar 08, 2019 134   @ Ball St. W 64-57 39%     13 - 16 8 - 10 +12.2 -1.7 +14.1
  Mar 11, 2019 179   Ohio W 80-61 72%     14 - 16 +15.2 +11.1 +4.8
  Mar 14, 2019 68   Toledo W 80-76 31%     15 - 16 +11.5 +19.1 -7.1
  Mar 15, 2019 112   Bowling Green L 67-71 43%     15 - 17 +0.2 -3.4 +3.5
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%