Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#114
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#114
Pace69.6#148
Improvement-0.9#224

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#87
First Shot+2.1#115
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#84
Layup/Dunks+3.5#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#92
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement+0.4#161

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#148
First Shot+0.5#156
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-2.3#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#44
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-1.3#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 37.0 - 4.07.0 - 6.0
Quad 417.0 - 2.024.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 135   @ Northern Illinois W 88-85 2OT 45%     1 - 0 +8.1 +2.6 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2018 347   UNC Asheville W 77-50 97%     2 - 0 +8.6 -9.8 +17.1
  Nov 17, 2018 316   Manhattan W 59-53 93%     3 - 0 -6.3 -10.8 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2018 167   Coastal Carolina W 89-83 76%     4 - 0 +2.6 +13.1 -10.5
  Nov 24, 2018 48   @ Central Florida L 53-66 19%     4 - 1 +0.2 -9.2 +8.6
  Nov 27, 2018 262   @ Morehead St. W 93-71 75%     5 - 1 +18.9 +13.2 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2018 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-60 84%     6 - 1 +11.3 +0.7 +9.5
  Dec 04, 2018 32   @ Cincinnati L 65-78 16%     6 - 2 +1.7 +6.4 -6.0
  Dec 08, 2018 260   @ Eastern Kentucky L 74-76 75%     6 - 3 -5.0 -1.7 -3.3
  Dec 16, 2018 152   Miami (OH) W 72-66 71%     7 - 3 +4.2 +6.9 -2.1
  Dec 20, 2018 135   Northern Illinois W 65-62 66%     8 - 3 +2.6 -8.7 +11.3
  Dec 28, 2018 207   IUPUI W 92-77 81%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +9.6 +11.3 -2.4
  Dec 30, 2018 208   Illinois-Chicago W 73-58 81%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +9.6 +0.2 +9.6
  Jan 03, 2019 187   @ Oakland L 74-76 60%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -0.8 +2.6 -3.5
  Jan 05, 2019 255   @ Detroit Mercy W 95-73 74%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +19.3 +20.5 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2019 132   Wright St. W 68-64 66%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +3.8 +0.5 +3.6
  Jan 17, 2019 289   @ Cleveland St. W 91-76 79%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +10.5 +19.6 -8.2
  Jan 19, 2019 266   @ Youngstown St. W 82-74 76%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +4.6 +5.3 -0.6
  Jan 24, 2019 218   Green Bay W 87-65 82%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +16.1 +4.2 +10.2
  Jan 26, 2019 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-60 91%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +2.2 -4.2 +6.6
  Feb 01, 2019 207   @ IUPUI L 77-83 64%     16 - 5 8 - 2 -5.9 +5.9 -12.0
  Feb 03, 2019 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-69 64%     16 - 6 8 - 3 -1.9 -4.7 +2.9
  Feb 07, 2019 255   Detroit Mercy W 97-65 87%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +23.7 +16.1 +7.5
  Feb 09, 2019 187   Oakland W 79-64 78%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +10.7 +1.1 +9.5
  Feb 15, 2019 132   @ Wright St. L 77-81 45%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +1.3 +9.1 -7.9
  Feb 21, 2019 266   Youngstown St. W 76-69 88%     19 - 7 11 - 4 -1.9 +5.8 -6.8
  Feb 23, 2019 289   Cleveland St. L 77-83 90%     19 - 8 11 - 5 -16.0 -7.1 -8.6
  Feb 28, 2019 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 65-55 81%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +4.8 -1.4 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2019 218   @ Green Bay W 86-82 66%     21 - 8 13 - 5 +3.6 +1.1 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2019 255   Detroit Mercy W 99-88 87%     22 - 8 +2.7 +15.0 -12.6
  Mar 11, 2019 187   Oakland W 64-63 70%     23 - 8 -0.5 -14.1 +13.5
  Mar 12, 2019 132   Wright St. W 77-66 55%     24 - 8 +13.5 +10.0 +4.2
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.7 0.3 32.6 67.0 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.3 32.6 67.0 0.0