Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#326
Pace70.7#125
Improvement+2.5#83

Offense
Total Offense-9.7#341
First Shot-10.6#349
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#103
Layup/Dunks-4.2#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#342
Freethrows-1.3#272
Improvement+2.3#76

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#282
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#340
Layups/Dunks-0.4#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#253
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+0.2#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 30.0 - 4.00.0 - 9.0
Quad 48.0 - 11.08.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 110   @ SMU L 58-69 4%     0 - 1 -4.0 -10.8 +6.1
  Nov 13, 2018 95   @ BYU L 57-82 3%     0 - 2 -16.9 -19.8 +5.3
  Nov 17, 2018 251   @ Rice L 74-102 15%     0 - 3 -30.6 -12.5 -13.8
  Nov 19, 2018 15   @ Houston L 55-82 1%     0 - 4 -8.4 -0.3 -11.7
  Nov 23, 2018 348   Alabama A&M W 70-66 OT 68%     1 - 4 -14.8 -13.5 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2018 145   Louisiana Monroe L 52-80 12%     1 - 5 -29.2 -20.6 -11.6
  Dec 01, 2018 290   @ UTEP L 47-77 19%     1 - 6 -34.6 -24.0 -9.3
  Dec 03, 2018 78   @ Texas A&M L 59-80 3%     1 - 7 -12.0 -11.7 +0.7
  Dec 12, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 44-79 0.4%    1 - 8 -14.0 -15.6 +1.7
  Dec 15, 2018 336   Southern W 69-66 49%     2 - 8 -10.6 -12.8 +2.1
  Jan 02, 2019 306   Nicholls St. L 72-78 42%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -17.8 -7.6 -10.1
  Jan 05, 2019 331   McNeese St. W 66-61 53%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -9.6 -10.9 +1.6
  Jan 09, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-62 35%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -10.9 -4.4 -6.6
  Jan 12, 2019 302   @ Stephen F. Austin W 61-59 22%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -3.8 -12.4 +8.7
  Jan 19, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian L 69-78 7%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -5.9 -1.4 -4.4
  Jan 23, 2019 177   Sam Houston St. L 64-78 17%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -17.7 -6.8 -12.1
  Jan 26, 2019 237   SE Louisiana L 53-69 26%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -23.2 -21.2 -2.4
  Jan 30, 2019 253   @ New Orleans L 64-72 15%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -10.7 -9.2 -1.3
  Feb 02, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 80-75 22%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -0.8 -3.1 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2019 253   New Orleans L 73-81 OT 29%     5 - 15 3 - 7 -16.2 -9.7 -5.6
  Feb 09, 2019 331   @ McNeese St. W 74-72 32%     6 - 15 4 - 7 -7.0 -1.3 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2019 224   @ Lamar L 70-75 12%     6 - 16 4 - 8 -5.8 -8.4 +2.9
  Feb 16, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin W 87-72 40%     7 - 16 5 - 8 +3.7 +5.4 -2.6
  Feb 20, 2019 284   @ Houston Baptist L 54-92 18%     7 - 17 5 - 9 -42.1 -29.3 -8.6
  Feb 27, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 68-60 65%     8 - 17 6 - 9 -9.9 -7.9 -0.9
  Mar 02, 2019 237   @ SE Louisiana L 55-69 13%     8 - 18 6 - 10 -15.6 -8.3 -9.7
  Mar 06, 2019 306   @ Nicholls St. L 60-83 23%     8 - 19 6 - 11 -29.2 -17.7 -11.1
  Mar 09, 2019 303   Central Arkansas L 63-70 40%     8 - 20 6 - 12 -18.3 -14.9 -3.6
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%