Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#143
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#162
Pace65.2#278
Improvement-0.5#208

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#167
First Shot-0.1#184
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#135
Layup/Dunks+1.5#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#204
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement+0.2#179

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#135
First Shot+2.0#108
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#253
Layups/Dunks+1.1#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#288
Freethrows+3.3#12
Improvement-0.7#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.01.0 - 6.0
Quad 37.0 - 5.08.0 - 11.0
Quad 49.0 - 4.017.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 7   @ Kentucky L 59-71 4%     0 - 1 +10.2 -1.3 +11.1
  Nov 12, 2018 22   Buffalo L 53-62 17%     0 - 2 +2.6 -11.2 +13.3
  Nov 17, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-48 91%     1 - 2 +16.6 +0.0 +16.8
  Nov 19, 2018 318   Howard W 83-69 90%     2 - 2 +1.7 -2.1 +3.3
  Nov 22, 2018 225   Massachusetts L 62-84 69%     2 - 3 -25.6 -14.9 -10.3
  Nov 23, 2018 121   Tulsa W 79-69 43%     3 - 3 +13.6 +10.9 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. W 82-67 47%     4 - 3 +17.5 +19.4 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2018 329   @ SIU Edwardsville W 82-61 84%     5 - 3 +12.1 +5.1 +7.2
  Dec 05, 2018 102   Saint Louis W 61-56 49%     6 - 3 +6.9 -9.8 +16.6
  Dec 08, 2018 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 83-73 79%     7 - 3 +3.2 +11.8 -8.0
  Dec 12, 2018 56   Murray St. L 52-80 35%     7 - 4 -22.4 -16.6 -7.1
  Dec 15, 2018 22   @ Buffalo L 65-73 8%     7 - 5 +9.2 +1.3 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2018 190   Winthrop L 71-79 73%     7 - 6 -12.6 -5.1 -7.6
  Jan 02, 2019 172   Missouri St. W 75-70 69%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +1.5 +1.1 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa W 58-51 47%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +9.5 -1.2 +11.9
  Jan 08, 2019 123   @ Drake L 70-82 33%     9 - 7 2 - 1 -5.9 +6.7 -13.7
  Jan 12, 2019 200   Valparaiso L 61-65 75%     9 - 8 2 - 2 -9.3 -0.5 -9.5
  Jan 15, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. L 58-59 52%     9 - 9 2 - 3 +0.3 -8.4 +8.6
  Jan 20, 2019 158   Bradley L 54-57 65%     9 - 10 2 - 4 -5.4 -8.1 +2.1
  Jan 23, 2019 164   Northern Iowa W 70-62 68%     10 - 10 3 - 4 +4.9 -1.9 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 50-75 34%     10 - 11 3 - 5 -19.1 -12.8 -9.2
  Jan 30, 2019 202   Indiana St. W 88-73 75%     11 - 11 4 - 5 +9.7 +9.8 -0.8
  Feb 02, 2019 158   @ Bradley W 72-68 44%     12 - 11 5 - 5 +7.1 +10.3 -2.8
  Feb 06, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. L 59-65 48%     12 - 12 5 - 6 -3.9 +0.7 -5.9
  Feb 09, 2019 223   Evansville W 78-73 77%     13 - 12 6 - 6 -1.3 +4.0 -5.2
  Feb 12, 2019 123   Drake L 69-72 54%     13 - 13 6 - 7 -2.4 -0.6 -2.0
  Feb 16, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. W 79-57 56%     14 - 13 7 - 7 +22.2 +8.7 +14.0
  Feb 20, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso L 52-55 55%     14 - 14 7 - 8 -2.7 -15.6 +12.7
  Feb 24, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago W 63-53 55%     15 - 14 8 - 8 +10.4 +0.3 +11.5
  Feb 27, 2019 223   @ Evansville W 98-91 59%     16 - 14 9 - 8 +6.3 +18.0 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2019 186   Illinois St. W 72-63 72%     17 - 14 10 - 8 +4.7 -1.6 +6.3
  Mar 08, 2019 164   Northern Iowa L 58-61 58%     17 - 15 -3.3 -8.9 +5.3
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%