IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bryant
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#315
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.7	#86
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#229

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.1	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.2%	6.9%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.4	15.6

.500 or above	18.1%	41.9%	16.5%
.500 or above in Conference	35.8%	55.5%	34.5%
Conference Champion	3.3%	7.9%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	17.3%	5.7%	18.1%

First Four	1.2%	2.7%	1.1%
First Round	1.7%	5.5%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.5	0.0 - 0.5
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 1.0
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.5	0.1 - 2.5
Quad 3	1.2 - 5.9	1.3 - 8.4
Quad 4	9.2 - 10.1	10.4 - 18.6

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	103	@ Rhode Island	L	69-82	6%
Nov 11, 2018	244	@ Seattle	L	73-77	25%
Nov 14, 2018	178	St. Peter's	L	63-71	31%
Nov 18, 2018	260	@ Navy	L	69-72	29%
Nov 25, 2018	207	@ Brown	L	78-84	21%
Nov 28, 2018	122	Yale	L	72-84	20%
Dec 01, 2018	316	New Hampshire	W	72-71	60%
Dec 07, 2018	229	@ Columbia	L	79-84	24%
Dec 12, 2018	193	Hartford	L	72-79	36%
Dec 21, 2018	276	Dartmouth	L	73-76	49%
Dec 29, 2018	34	@ Iowa	L	73-93	2%
Jan 03, 2019	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	78-77	61%
Jan 05, 2019	225	LIU Brooklyn	L	79-84	42%
Jan 10, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	73-71	48%
Jan 12, 2019	324	@ Sacred Heart	W	76-75	43%
Jan 19, 2019	233	Robert Morris	L	72-77	43%
Jan 21, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	74-83	30%
Jan 24, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	L	72-73	59%
Jan 26, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	78-82	47%
Jan 31, 2019	215	@ Wagner	L	70-76	23%
Feb 02, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	72-73	39%
Feb 07, 2019	233	@ Robert Morris	L	72-77	26%
Feb 09, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	74-83	15%
Feb 14, 2019	324	Sacred Heart	W	76-75	63%
Feb 16, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	78-82	28%
Feb 21, 2019	215	Wagner	L	70-76	42%
Feb 23, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	73-71	67%
Feb 28, 2019	318	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	78-77	40%
Mar 02, 2019	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	79-84	24%
Projected Record						10.4 - 18.6	7.4 - 10.6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0		3.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	1.8	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0				5.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.4	3.0	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0					7.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.0	2.2	0.5	0.0	0.0						9.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.8	4.6	2.6	0.5	0.0								10.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	3.3	5.3	2.5	0.4	0.0									12.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.8	3.6	5.7	2.6	0.3	0.0										13.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.6	4.2	5.1	2.4	0.4	0.0											14.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.6	2.2	4.5	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0												13.6	9th
10th	0.4	1.5	3.1	3.2	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0													11.3	10th

Total	0.4	1.5	3.6	5.6	8.6	10.0	11.2	11.9	11.4	9.9	8.5	6.5	4.6	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
16-2	90.7%	0.4		0.4	0.0
15-3	79.3%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	49.8%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2
13-5	23.8%	0.7		0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	7.2%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.3%	3.3		1.6	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		96.4%	96.4%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.2%		39.3%	39.3%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		34.8%	34.8%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.3
15-3	0.9%		30.1%	30.1%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6
14-4	1.7%		20.4%	20.4%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.4
13-5	3.0%		12.7%	12.7%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	2.6
12-6	4.6%		7.2%	7.2%		15.9																0.0	0.3	4.3
11-7	6.5%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	6.3
10-8	8.5%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.2	8.3
9-9	9.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	9.8
8-10	11.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
7-11	11.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
6-12	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
5-13	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
4-14	8.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
3-15	5.6%																							5.6
2-16	3.6%																							3.6
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.2%	2.2%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.6	97.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%