Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#193
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.3#247
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#237
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 18.6% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 66.5% 71.5% 43.1%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 82.2% 71.0%
Conference Champion 20.7% 22.2% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.5% 5.2%
First Four3.2% 3.3% 3.1%
First Round15.5% 17.1% 8.0%
Second Round1.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 82.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.90.1 - 1.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.2 - 2.9
Quad 20.6 - 1.90.8 - 4.8
Quad 32.7 - 3.93.5 - 8.7
Quad 412.8 - 4.916.3 - 13.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 313   Central Connecticut St. W 71-64 83%    
  Nov 09, 2018 144   @ Utah St. L 70-73 29%    
  Nov 11, 2018 21   @ Mississippi St. L 63-78 5%    
  Nov 15, 2018 238   @ Quinnipiac W 72-69 48%    
  Nov 19, 2018 152   Utah Valley L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 21, 2018 133   Iona L 74-78 35%    
  Nov 27, 2018 324   @ Sacred Heart W 75-67 68%    
  Dec 01, 2018 205   Bowling Green W 74-73 63%    
  Dec 05, 2018 4   @ Duke L 66-86 2%    
  Dec 12, 2018 315   @ Bryant W 79-72 64%    
  Dec 16, 2018 245   Oakland W 74-71 70%    
  Dec 22, 2018 215   @ Wagner W 69-68 45%    
  Dec 29, 2018 274   Marist W 76-72 74%    
  Dec 31, 2018 78   @ Boston College L 70-78 16%    
  Jan 09, 2019 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-70 65%    
  Jan 12, 2019 124   @ Vermont L 66-71 26%    
  Jan 16, 2019 327   @ Maine W 76-67 71%    
  Jan 19, 2019 306   Umass Lowell W 80-73 79%    
  Jan 23, 2019 316   New Hampshire W 70-63 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 278   @ Albany W 70-66 55%    
  Jan 30, 2019 269   Binghamton W 70-66 73%    
  Feb 02, 2019 222   @ Stony Brook W 70-68 46%    
  Feb 06, 2019 214   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-70 45%    
  Feb 13, 2019 327   Maine W 76-67 85%    
  Feb 16, 2019 124   Vermont L 66-71 46%    
  Feb 21, 2019 316   @ New Hampshire W 70-63 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 306   @ Umass Lowell W 80-73 62%    
  Feb 27, 2019 269   @ Binghamton W 70-66 54%    
  Mar 02, 2019 278   Albany W 70-66 72%    
  Mar 05, 2019 222   Stony Brook W 70-68 66%    
Projected Record 16.3 - 13.7 9.9 - 6.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 6.2 5.1 3.0 0.8 20.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 7.4 7.0 3.2 0.5 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.3 7.0 4.3 0.8 0.1 17.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.2 1.4 0.2 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.9 0.9 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.4 5.0 7.6 10.1 12.5 13.2 13.6 12.0 9.5 5.7 3.0 0.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 100.0% 3.0    2.7 0.3
14-2 90.5% 5.1    4.0 1.1 0.0
13-3 65.2% 6.2    3.9 2.1 0.2
12-4 34.2% 4.1    1.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
11-5 10.5% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.7% 20.7 13.1 6.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 73.9% 70.1% 3.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12.8%
15-1 3.0% 62.0% 61.4% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 1.5%
14-2 5.7% 47.3% 47.0% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 3.0 0.5%
13-3 9.5% 35.9% 35.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.6 6.1 0.0%
12-4 12.0% 25.0% 25.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 0.9 9.0
11-5 13.6% 16.1% 16.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 11.4
10-6 13.2% 12.1% 12.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 11.6
9-7 12.5% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.5
8-8 10.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.7
7-9 7.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.3
6-10 5.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.9
5-11 3.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-12 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-13 1.1% 1.1
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 3.5 4.9 5.3 83.0 0.1%