Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#278
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#267
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#299
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#225
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 8.7% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 33.9% 59.4% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 66.1% 47.0%
Conference Champion 5.7% 10.5% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 5.5% 13.1%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.6%
First Round3.9% 8.0% 3.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.50.0 - 0.5
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.90.1 - 1.4
Quad 20.3 - 2.30.3 - 3.7
Quad 31.8 - 5.62.1 - 9.3
Quad 410.5 - 8.112.6 - 17.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 133   @ Iona L 68-77 14%    
  Nov 14, 2018 223   Boston University L 67-69 53%    
  Nov 17, 2018 162   @ Canisius L 67-73 20%    
  Nov 20, 2018 206   Holy Cross L 61-64 48%    
  Nov 23, 2018 261   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64-65 38%    
  Nov 29, 2018 225   LIU Brooklyn L 72-74 41%    
  Nov 30, 2018 276   Dartmouth L 66-67 50%    
  Dec 08, 2018 183   Monmouth L 67-72 43%    
  Dec 11, 2018 122   @ Yale L 65-74 14%    
  Dec 15, 2018 276   Dartmouth L 66-67 61%    
  Dec 18, 2018 47   @ Providence L 59-75 6%    
  Dec 20, 2018 291   Manhattan W 65-64 63%    
  Dec 28, 2018 159   @ Kent St. L 66-73 21%    
  Dec 31, 2018 268   @ Niagara L 75-76 39%    
  Jan 05, 2019 124   Vermont L 61-70 30%    
  Jan 12, 2019 327   Maine W 71-66 74%    
  Jan 16, 2019 306   @ Umass Lowell W 74-72 47%    
  Jan 19, 2019 214   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-69 31%    
  Jan 23, 2019 222   Stony Brook L 65-68 52%    
  Jan 26, 2019 193   Hartford L 66-70 45%    
  Jan 30, 2019 316   @ New Hampshire W 65-62 50%    
  Feb 02, 2019 269   Binghamton L 65-66 60%    
  Feb 09, 2019 124   @ Vermont L 61-70 16%    
  Feb 13, 2019 306   Umass Lowell W 74-72 66%    
  Feb 17, 2019 327   @ Maine W 71-66 56%    
  Feb 21, 2019 222   @ Stony Brook L 65-68 33%    
  Feb 23, 2019 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-69 50%    
  Feb 27, 2019 316   New Hampshire W 65-62 70%    
  Mar 02, 2019 193   @ Hartford L 66-70 28%    
  Mar 05, 2019 269   @ Binghamton L 65-66 39%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 17.4 7.5 - 8.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.8 4.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.9 5.6 1.8 0.2 13.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 5.6 5.8 1.6 0.1 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.8 1.5 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 4.3 0.8 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.3 9th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.8 4.9 7.3 9.9 11.7 12.4 13.1 11.6 9.2 6.8 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 91.9% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
13-3 63.6% 1.6    1.0 0.6 0.0
12-4 33.4% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
11-5 10.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.3 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 41.3% 40.4% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6%
15-1 0.4% 39.5% 39.4% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2%
14-2 1.3% 41.1% 41.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-3 2.6% 25.6% 25.6% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.9
12-4 4.6% 16.6% 16.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 3.8
11-5 6.8% 12.0% 12.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 6.0
10-6 9.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.5
9-7 11.6% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.0
8-8 13.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.9
7-9 12.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.2
6-10 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-11 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-12 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
3-13 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-14 2.8% 2.8
1-15 1.2% 1.2
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.3 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%