Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#261
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#285
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 11.7
.500 or above 33.6% 64.1% 31.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.3% 67.6% 46.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 9.4% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 4.4% 9.3%
First Four0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 7.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.10.1 - 2.0
Quad 20.3 - 2.30.3 - 4.3
Quad 32.2 - 6.42.6 - 10.7
Quad 410.0 - 6.712.6 - 17.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 78   @ Boston College L 64-76 7%    
  Nov 10, 2018 271   North Dakota W 71-70 61%    
  Nov 13, 2018 226   @ Florida International L 66-68 33%    
  Nov 16, 2018 36   @ Cincinnati L 53-70 4%    
  Nov 20, 2018 225   LIU Brooklyn L 71-73 54%    
  Nov 23, 2018 278   Albany W 65-64 62%    
  Nov 30, 2018 65   Buffalo L 67-81 11%    
  Dec 01, 2018 105   Stephen F. Austin L 64-74 20%    
  Dec 06, 2018 202   Drake L 66-69 48%    
  Dec 09, 2018 271   @ North Dakota W 71-70 41%    
  Dec 13, 2018 279   @ UMKC W 69-68 43%    
  Dec 22, 2018 211   @ Western Michigan L 67-70 32%    
  Dec 29, 2018 235   Green Bay L 70-71 55%    
  Jan 03, 2019 281   Cleveland St. W 67-66 62%    
  Jan 05, 2019 329   Youngstown St. W 74-68 77%    
  Jan 10, 2019 245   @ Oakland L 68-69 36%    
  Jan 12, 2019 336   @ Detroit Mercy W 77-70 62%    
  Jan 17, 2019 181   Illinois-Chicago L 67-72 44%    
  Jan 19, 2019 275   IUPUI W 65-64 61%    
  Jan 24, 2019 138   @ Wright St. L 61-69 18%    
  Jan 26, 2019 128   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-72 17%    
  Feb 01, 2019 235   @ Green Bay L 70-71 35%    
  Feb 07, 2019 329   @ Youngstown St. W 74-68 58%    
  Feb 09, 2019 281   @ Cleveland St. W 67-66 42%    
  Feb 14, 2019 336   Detroit Mercy W 77-70 79%    
  Feb 16, 2019 245   Oakland L 68-69 58%    
  Feb 22, 2019 275   @ IUPUI W 65-64 42%    
  Feb 24, 2019 181   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-72 25%    
  Feb 28, 2019 128   Northern Kentucky L 64-72 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 138   Wright St. L 61-69 34%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 17.4 8.4 - 9.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.7 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.7 3.8 1.2 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 4.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.1 9.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 5.1 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 5.4 7.6 9.9 10.9 11.7 11.6 10.6 8.9 6.8 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 89.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 69.2% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.3% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.9% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.7%
17-1 0.2% 6.4% 6.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.4%
16-2 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.7 0.1%
15-3 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 1.5 0.9%
14-4 2.9% 2.9
13-5 5.0% 5.0
12-6 6.8% 6.8
11-7 8.9% 8.9
10-8 10.6% 10.6
9-9 11.6% 11.6
8-10 11.7% 11.7
7-11 10.9% 10.9
6-12 9.9% 9.9
5-13 7.6% 7.6
4-14 5.4% 5.4
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%