IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
IUPUI
Horizon
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#275
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.1	#278
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#301

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#220

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	8.7%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.8	15.3

.500 or above	27.7%	59.7%	26.4%
.500 or above in Conference	44.7%	64.5%	43.9%
Conference Champion	3.9%	8.7%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	9.4%	5.2%	9.6%

First Four	1.4%	2.2%	1.4%
First Round	2.9%	7.3%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.4	0.0 - 0.4
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.8	0.0 - 1.3
Quad 2	0.2 - 2.4	0.2 - 3.7
Quad 3	1.9 - 6.5	2.1 - 10.2
Quad 4	9.8 - 6.9	12.0 - 17.0

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	44	@ Xavier	L	64-80	4%
Nov 10, 2018	298	Eastern Illinois	W	65-63	66%
Nov 14, 2018	78	@ Boston College	L	64-77	8%
Nov 16, 2018	130	@ Richmond	L	65-74	15%
Nov 23, 2018	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	70-67	61%
Nov 24, 2018	296	Grambling St.	W	70-69	55%
Nov 28, 2018	117	Bradley	L	60-70	29%
Dec 01, 2018	111	Ball St.	L	65-75	29%
Dec 15, 2018	270	Western Illinois	L	67-68	60%
Dec 18, 2018	169	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	71-77	22%
Dec 21, 2018	224	@ Morehead St.	L	67-69	32%
Dec 28, 2018	128	@ Northern Kentucky	L	64-73	16%
Dec 30, 2018	138	@ Wright St.	L	62-70	17%
Jan 04, 2019	181	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	68-73	24%
Jan 10, 2019	281	Cleveland St.	W	67-66	61%
Jan 12, 2019	329	Youngstown St.	W	74-69	75%
Jan 17, 2019	235	@ Green Bay	L	71-73	35%
Jan 19, 2019	261	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	64-65	39%
Jan 24, 2019	245	Oakland	L	69-70	56%
Jan 26, 2019	336	Detroit Mercy	W	77-71	78%
Feb 01, 2019	128	Northern Kentucky	L	64-73	32%
Feb 03, 2019	138	Wright St.	L	62-70	33%
Feb 09, 2019	181	Illinois-Chicago	L	68-73	42%
Feb 14, 2019	329	@ Youngstown St.	W	74-69	57%
Feb 16, 2019	281	@ Cleveland St.	W	67-66	42%
Feb 22, 2019	261	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	64-65	58%
Feb 24, 2019	235	Green Bay	L	71-73	53%
Feb 28, 2019	336	@ Detroit Mercy	W	77-71	60%
Mar 02, 2019	245	@ Oakland	L	69-70	36%
Projected Record						12.0 - 17.0	8.1 - 9.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.7	2.1	1.4	0.5	0.0				6.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.2	3.5	3.2	1.1	0.2						9.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.0	4.1	3.5	1.1	0.1							11.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.5	5.3	3.7	0.8	0.1								12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.6	6.2	3.2	0.7	0.0									14.4	6th
7th					0.0	1.1	3.8	5.3	2.8	0.5	0.0										13.6	7th
8th				0.2	1.6	4.5	4.6	1.8	0.3	0.0											13.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	1.9	3.5	2.9	0.9	0.1													9.9	9th
10th	0.2	0.8	1.4	1.7	1.1	0.3	0.0														5.5	10th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.8	6.2	8.8	10.1	11.3	12.2	11.2	9.7	8.4	6.3	4.0	2.6	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	97.5%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	68.1%	1.1		0.8	0.2	0.0
14-4	41.2%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	15.0%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1
12-6	3.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.9%	3.9		2.3	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		91.2%	91.2%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.2%		40.0%	40.0%		13.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.6%		31.1%	31.1%	0.1%	13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4		0.1%
15-3	1.6%		27.8%	27.8%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.1
14-4	2.6%		19.0%	19.0%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.1
13-5	4.0%		12.2%	12.2%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	3.5
12-6	6.3%		10.1%	10.1%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	5.7
11-7	8.4%		6.0%	6.0%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	7.9
10-8	9.7%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.4
9-9	11.2%		2.2%	2.2%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.0
8-10	12.2%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	12.0
7-11	11.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	10.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
5-13	8.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
4-14	6.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
3-15	3.8%																							3.8
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.0	2.1	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%