IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#288
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.0	#152
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	29.6%	45.2%	20.5%
.500 or above in Conference	35.1%	44.4%	29.7%
Conference Champion	2.0%	3.5%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	6.9%	12.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Away) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.1	0.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.1	0.1 - 2.3
Quad 2	0.3 - 2.8	0.4 - 5.0
Quad 3	1.7 - 5.2	2.1 - 10.2
Quad 4	8.4 - 5.3	10.5 - 15.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 13, 2018	283	@ Oral Roberts	L	70-71	37%
Nov 16, 2018	98	@ Tulsa	L	66-78	9%
Nov 19, 2018	7	@ Nevada	L	65-89	1%
Nov 23, 2018	332	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	73-68	66%
Nov 24, 2018	305	Howard	W	77-76	54%
Nov 29, 2018	282	@ UC Riverside	L	69-70	37%
Dec 01, 2018	344	Mississippi Valley	W	76-69	81%
Dec 05, 2018	90	UC Irvine	L	63-75	21%
Dec 17, 2018	236	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-71	31%
Dec 19, 2018	343	@ Southern	W	73-66	63%
Jan 03, 2019	93	New Mexico St.	L	64-76	22%
Jan 05, 2019	311	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	78-76	66%
Jan 10, 2019	279	@ UMKC	L	72-73	37%
Jan 12, 2019	350	@ Chicago St.	W	80-70	71%
Jan 24, 2019	204	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	65-69	45%
Jan 26, 2019	114	Grand Canyon	L	65-75	28%
Jan 30, 2019	152	@ Utah Valley	L	68-76	19%
Feb 02, 2019	244	@ Seattle	L	70-72	33%
Feb 07, 2019	350	Chicago St.	W	80-70	85%
Feb 09, 2019	279	UMKC	L	72-73	58%
Feb 21, 2019	114	@ Grand Canyon	L	65-75	13%
Feb 23, 2019	204	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	65-69	27%
Feb 28, 2019	244	Seattle	L	70-72	52%
Mar 02, 2019	152	Utah Valley	L	68-76	36%
Mar 07, 2019	311	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	W	78-76	46%
Mar 09, 2019	93	@ New Mexico St.	L	64-76	11%
Projected Record						10.5 - 15.5	6.5 - 9.5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd										0.1	0.8	1.6	1.4	0.5	0.1				4.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	2.0	3.2	2.2	0.3	0.0					8.1	3rd
4th							0.1	0.9	3.5	4.6	2.1	0.3							11.6	4th
5th					0.0	0.2	2.0	5.7	6.2	2.0	0.2								16.2	5th
6th				0.0	0.3	2.8	7.1	5.9	1.6	0.0									17.7	6th
7th			0.0	1.0	5.1	7.7	4.1	0.8	0.0										18.7	7th
8th		0.2	2.0	5.2	5.0	2.6	0.4	0.0											15.5	8th
9th	0.3	1.5	2.2	1.4	0.3	0.1													5.8	9th

Total	0.3	1.7	4.2	7.6	10.8	13.4	13.6	13.4	11.8	8.7	6.3	4.4	2.3	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	83.8%	0.3		0.3	0.0
13-3	54.7%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1
12-4	28.4%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1
11-5	6.6%	0.3		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		0.9	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																							0.0
15-1	0.1%																							0.1
14-2	0.4%																							0.4
13-3	1.0%																							1.0
12-4	2.3%																							2.3
11-5	4.4%																							4.4
10-6	6.3%																							6.3
9-7	8.7%																							8.7
8-8	11.8%																							11.8
7-9	13.4%																							13.4
6-10	13.6%																							13.6
5-11	13.4%																							13.4
4-12	10.8%																							10.8
3-13	7.6%																							7.6
2-14	4.2%																							4.2
1-15	1.7%																							1.7
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%