IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#219
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.0	#229
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.6	#146

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.1%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.7	15.7

.500 or above	41.9%	44.1%	13.0%
.500 or above in Conference	30.1%	31.4%	12.5%
Conference Champion	1.8%	2.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	22.4%	21.2%	37.8%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.4%
First Round	1.8%	1.9%	0.2%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.2	0.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.3	0.2 - 2.5
Quad 2	0.7 - 3.1	0.9 - 5.7
Quad 3	3.4 - 5.9	4.3 - 11.6
Quad 4	8.4 - 3.7	12.7 - 15.3

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	350	Chicago St.	W	83-70	93%
Nov 15, 2018	204	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	68-69	47%
Nov 16, 2018	147	Weber St.	L	70-75	35%
Nov 18, 2018	321	San Jose St.	W	72-66	72%
Nov 28, 2018	258	@ Sam Houston St.	W	71-69	47%
Nov 30, 2018	28	@ TCU	L	69-84	6%
Dec 04, 2018	329	@ Youngstown St.	W	81-73	66%
Dec 08, 2018	295	Southern Utah	W	79-75	73%
Dec 19, 2018	279	UMKC	W	75-72	68%
Dec 22, 2018	335	Jackson St.	W	70-62	84%
Jan 05, 2019	170	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-72	30%
Jan 08, 2019	184	Akron	L	72-74	52%
Jan 12, 2019	205	Bowling Green	L	75-76	57%
Jan 15, 2019	186	@ Northern Illinois	L	72-74	33%
Jan 19, 2019	111	Ball St.	L	72-79	37%
Jan 22, 2019	184	@ Akron	L	72-74	32%
Jan 26, 2019	126	@ Toledo	L	73-79	23%
Jan 29, 2019	135	Eastern Michigan	L	65-71	41%
Feb 02, 2019	211	Western Michigan	L	73-74	58%
Feb 09, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	74-86	11%
Feb 12, 2019	205	@ Bowling Green	L	75-76	38%
Feb 16, 2019	142	Ohio	L	73-78	44%
Feb 19, 2019	159	Kent St.	L	72-76	47%
Feb 23, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	72-79	21%
Feb 26, 2019	135	@ Eastern Michigan	L	65-71	24%
Mar 02, 2019	126	Toledo	L	73-79	41%
Mar 05, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	L	72-74	52%
Mar 08, 2019	211	@ Western Michigan	L	73-74	40%
Projected Record						12.7 - 15.3	6.8 - 11.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	1.5	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0					4.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	2.2	2.1	0.7	0.1							5.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.5	2.9	0.9	0.1	0.0							6.8	5th
6th								0.3	2.2	4.1	1.4	0.1									8.2	6th
7th							0.2	2.1	4.2	2.1	0.1	0.0									8.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.6	4.4	2.8	0.3											9.3	8th
9th					0.2	1.8	4.7	3.5	0.5	0.0											10.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	2.2	4.9	4.0	0.8	0.0												12.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.7	3.0	4.9	3.9	1.0	0.0													13.5	11th
12th	0.8	2.6	3.9	4.7	2.5	0.6	0.1														15.2	12th

Total	0.8	2.6	4.7	8.0	9.7	11.3	11.6	11.1	10.2	9.7	7.3	5.1	3.7	2.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.3%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	68.3%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	45.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	19.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%													0.0
17-1	0.1%		52.6%	19.3%	33.3%	9.9							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		41.3%
16-2	0.2%		48.7%	27.4%	21.2%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		29.3%
15-3	0.7%		32.0%	26.0%	6.1%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5		8.2%
14-4	1.1%		15.3%	13.9%	1.4%	12.4									0.0			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			1.0		1.6%
13-5	2.2%		10.5%	10.5%	0.0%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.0		0.0%
12-6	3.7%		7.8%	7.8%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.4
11-7	5.1%		4.3%	4.3%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.8
10-8	7.3%		1.9%	1.9%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	7.1
9-9	9.7%		1.8%	1.8%		15.0															0.0	0.1	0.0	9.5
8-10	10.2%		1.4%	1.4%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.0
7-11	11.1%		0.9%	0.9%		15.6																0.0	0.1	11.0
6-12	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8																0.0	0.1	11.5
5-13	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-14	9.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
3-15	8.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
2-16	4.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
1-17	2.6%																							2.6
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		2.0%	1.9%	0.1%	13.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.4	98.0		0.1%