Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.8#347
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#101
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#341
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 4.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.9% 30.2% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 64.8% 44.0%
Conference Champion 3.1% 8.4% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 3.7% 11.0%
First Four1.3% 4.3% 1.1%
First Round0.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.70.0 - 1.7
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.20.0 - 2.9
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.9
Quad 30.2 - 3.40.3 - 8.3
Quad 48.5 - 10.98.8 - 19.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 86   UNC Greensboro L 58-79 5%    
  Nov 10, 2018 115   @ Wake Forest L 66-84 2%    
  Nov 12, 2018 32   @ Maryland L 59-85 0.4%   
  Nov 14, 2018 156   @ Hofstra L 70-85 5%    
  Nov 19, 2018 99   @ Marshall L 72-91 2%    
  Nov 21, 2018 331   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-70 29%    
  Nov 29, 2018 313   Central Connecticut St. L 66-72 39%    
  Dec 01, 2018 319   Presbyterian L 66-71 41%    
  Dec 15, 2018 259   @ Tennessee St. L 62-71 14%    
  Dec 19, 2018 20   @ Virginia Tech L 62-90 0.5%   
  Dec 21, 2018 68   @ Minnesota L 65-88 1%    
  Dec 28, 2018 290   @ East Carolina L 69-77 18%    
  Jan 05, 2019 348   @ South Carolina St. W 76-75 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 351   @ Delaware St. W 70-68 46%    
  Jan 14, 2019 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 36%    
  Jan 19, 2019 339   Morgan St. L 72-74 51%    
  Jan 21, 2019 345   Coppin St. L 69-70 59%    
  Jan 26, 2019 302   @ NC Central L 65-72 20%    
  Feb 02, 2019 352   @ Florida A&M W 72-69 50%    
  Feb 04, 2019 299   @ Bethune-Cookman L 78-85 20%    
  Feb 09, 2019 351   Delaware St. W 70-68 66%    
  Feb 11, 2019 341   Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 57%    
  Feb 16, 2019 305   @ Howard L 74-81 20%    
  Feb 18, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 69-78 16%    
  Feb 23, 2019 348   South Carolina St. W 76-75 62%    
  Feb 25, 2019 353   Savannah St. W 88-85 69%    
  Mar 02, 2019 352   Florida A&M W 72-69 69%    
  Mar 07, 2019 302   NC Central L 65-72 37%    
Projected Record 8.8 - 19.2 7.2 - 8.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.9 0.9 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.8 1.2 0.1 8.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 4.5 1.7 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 5.8 2.3 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.7 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 4.7 4.1 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.5 4.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.4 0.9 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.4 2.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 6.4 12th
Total 0.2 1.5 2.9 5.3 8.5 10.4 12.5 13.5 12.7 10.6 8.5 6.0 4.2 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 95.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-2 76.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
13-3 45.1% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 22.1% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 4.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 13.2% 13.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 27.3% 27.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 0.8% 20.6% 20.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
13-3 1.9% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.6
12-4 4.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.3 3.9
11-5 6.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 5.8
10-6 8.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.4
9-7 10.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.5
8-8 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
7-9 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.5
6-10 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-11 10.4% 10.4
4-12 8.5% 8.5
3-13 5.3% 5.3
2-14 2.9% 2.9
1-15 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
0-16 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1% 0.4% 16.0 0.4