Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#302
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#321
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#311
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 34.3% 18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 53.8% 84.5% 53.4%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 94.5% 87.6%
Conference Champion 24.5% 48.9% 24.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four15.5% 15.9% 15.5%
First Round10.2% 25.4% 10.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.2
Quad 20.1 - 1.50.1 - 3.8
Quad 30.6 - 2.80.8 - 6.6
Quad 413.0 - 6.713.8 - 13.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 18   @ Clemson L 54-75 1%    
  Nov 13, 2018 36   @ Cincinnati L 52-71 2%    
  Nov 15, 2018 205   @ Bowling Green L 67-72 23%    
  Nov 20, 2018 129   @ George Mason L 63-73 11%    
  Nov 23, 2018 263   Nicholls St. L 70-72 43%    
  Nov 24, 2018 343   Southern W 68-62 70%    
  Dec 01, 2018 304   McNeese St. W 70-69 62%    
  Dec 08, 2018 175   @ Appalachian St. L 66-73 19%    
  Dec 13, 2018 304   @ McNeese St. W 70-69 41%    
  Dec 16, 2018 221   @ Coastal Carolina L 64-68 26%    
  Dec 19, 2018 71   @ Saint Louis L 55-70 6%    
  Jan 05, 2019 299   Bethune-Cookman L 74-75 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-61 59%    
  Jan 14, 2019 351   @ Delaware St. W 68-59 69%    
  Jan 19, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 68-61 79%    
  Jan 21, 2019 339   Morgan St. W 70-65 73%    
  Jan 26, 2019 347   N.C. A&T W 72-65 80%    
  Jan 28, 2019 353   @ Savannah St. W 84-74 72%    
  Feb 02, 2019 299   @ Bethune-Cookman L 74-75 41%    
  Feb 04, 2019 352   @ Florida A&M W 70-60 72%    
  Feb 09, 2019 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-61 76%    
  Feb 11, 2019 351   Delaware St. W 68-59 84%    
  Feb 16, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 67-69 35%    
  Feb 18, 2019 305   @ Howard W 72-71 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 353   Savannah St. W 84-74 86%    
  Feb 25, 2019 348   South Carolina St. W 74-66 81%    
  Mar 07, 2019 347   @ N.C. A&T W 72-65 63%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 13.2 10.7 - 5.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.1 6.8 7.5 5.0 1.3 24.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.5 7.3 5.6 1.7 0.1 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.6 2.2 0.2 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 4.3 1.9 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.7 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.4 5.3 7.8 10.8 13.0 13.8 13.7 12.8 9.2 5.2 1.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
15-1 97.5% 5.0    4.4 0.7 0.0
14-2 81.9% 7.5    5.3 2.0 0.2
13-3 52.7% 6.8    3.1 3.1 0.6 0.0
12-4 22.5% 3.1    0.8 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.8% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.5% 24.5 14.9 7.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.3% 79.9% 79.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3
15-1 5.2% 63.0% 63.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 1.9
14-2 9.2% 44.4% 44.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.8 5.1
13-3 12.8% 33.3% 33.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.2 8.6
12-4 13.7% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9 10.8
11-5 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 1.9 11.9
10-6 13.0% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.0 12.0
9-7 10.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 10.5
8-8 7.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.7
7-9 5.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.3
6-10 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-11 2.0% 2.0
4-12 0.9% 0.9
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 17.6 81.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%